Daily Archives: October 11, 2012

What not to use online home value estimates for | Bedford Corners Realtor

Q: What is your take on online home value estimates on houses? My real estate person says they shouldn’t be paid attention to, but I think they’re pretty close. What do you think?

A: Monitoring online home value estimates is a fixation of many a Web-savvy real estate consumer. It can be more than a little addictive to watch the value of your own home, the homes in the areas you’d like to live, and even, some say, your friends’ and relatives’ addresses move up and down with the market. I strongly believe that these estimates can be useful, if you understand how they are determined, how they can be skewed, and what they should and should not be used for.

Let’s explore precisely these issues now:

1. Understand how these home value estimates are determined. Ten years ago, if you wanted to get any sort of idea what a home might be worth, you had to consult with a real estate agent (or a few, if you wanted to get to a relatively reliable number), hire an appraiser (at the cost of a few hundred bucks) or, well, sell the house! I say that because the well-accepted definition of a home’s value is entirely dependent upon what a qualified buyer would pay for it at any given moment, in an arm’s-length transaction (“arm’s length” simply indicates that it’s not an insider deal, but rather a deal between strangers).

Article continues below

This means that a home’s value changes over time, reflecting market dynamics like supply, demand, interest rates and the mortgage lending environment, so ultimately, any projection of a home’s value is truly only an estimate unless and until the home is sold — then, the sale price is the definitive answer of what the property was worth at closing.

This also means that the best way to estimate a home’s value is to look at what similar, nearby homes have actually sold for, as close as possible to the time the home’s value is being estimated. That’s what appraisers do; that’s what real estate agents do; and that’s ultimately what these online home value estimates attempt to do.

These websites build algorithms, just a funny word for calculations, that do their best to replicate the home value estimation process of real estate professionals, by pulling a description of your home from the public records available from your city or county, pulling other publicly available records of the recent sales prices of similar or comparable homes in your area, and making mathematical adjustments to create a rough estimate of your home’s price based on how similar or different it is from the “comparables” (especially on measurable factors like number of bedrooms, bathrooms and square footage) and how your overall local real estate market has moved in the time since those comparables actually sold.

2. Understand the margin for error and the factors that make your own home’s estimate more or less reliable. Keep in mind that the key difference between an automated online estimate of a home’s value and the estimate your appraiser or agent might provide is the fact that the latter are professionals (and humans!), with the ability to detect physical, aesthetic, condition and location nuances that a computer relying on public record data will simply never be able to appreciate. As a result, online estimates have a much larger margin of error than the estimates of human professionals typically do.

Many online sources actually provide the data on how accurate (or inaccurate) their home value estimates are on a monthly, city-by-city basis, if you snoop around in the fine print portions of the website. I’ve seen some say they are as accurate as being within 7 percent of the home’s later sale price, on average, in a given town, and others say they are as inaccurate as 40 percent or more off in a city. That would mean that on average, in a specific town, homes actually sell for 40 percent more or less than the value estimate the site provided for that same property in the month that it sold!

And that’s really inaccurate. The error potential for online estimates is precisely why most real estate agents find them to be wildly unreliable, especially when they can offer you a human, professional estimate (of course, sellers probably think that human professionals have other issues, like bias, which is sometimes true, but the subject of a different article!).

One way you can begin to assess how accurate your home’s estimate is likely to be is to understand the circumstances that impact these estimates’ reliability. Automated online estimates are more likely to be accurate when:

  • The home and surrounding homes are newer (public records are more likely to be accurate for newer homes).
  • Your home has not had many unpermitted upgrades or additions.
  • Your home is located in a tract or subdivision where most surrounding homes are similar aesthetically and otherwise.
  • Your home is located in a neighborhood, district and town where the areas within a few miles’ radius are relatively similar in school district quality and desirability to buyers.

On the other hand, automated online estimates are less likely to be accurate when:

  • Your homes and surrounding homes are older.
  • Your home and/or surrounding homes have had lots of changes and additions over the years.
  • Your home is located in an area where nearby properties vary widely in style, size, even usage types (i.e., you have single-family homes, apartment buildings, condos and commercial properties all in the same area).
  • Your home is located near the boundary of a city, county, school district or neighborhood that is very different from yours.

3. Be careful what you use estimates for. Because of these strengths and weaknesses, it’s critical that you be very careful what you use online home estimates for.

I believe that the best uses are to track movements in the value of your home and your area’s homes over long periods of time, like you might want to do if you are considering refinancing when you get to a certain value or if you want to apply to your lender to have a private mortgage insurance policy removed at a certain value benchmark.

You also might use these online estimates to determine whether your home’s value is so far off from its tax-assessed value that you should consider applying to have the assessed value reduced.

However, I don’t think these online estimates are well-used to determine the list price of your home. Overpricing is such a serious, potentially harmful misstep (it turns otherwise interested buyers off and can cost you thousands if you overprice and your home lags on the market) that I’d encourage you to opt for getting several estimates of your home’s value from experienced, local agents or even to get a formal appraisal, if your budget allows. Use these human professionals’ value estimates as the basis of your home’s list price.


7 free tech tools for brokers and agents | Chappaqua Realtor

Technology doesn’t have to be expensive or hard to use. It doesn’t have to take up space on a computer — it can reside in the cloud.

Some of the best and easiest-to-use software is free and can be found on the Internet. Any piece of technology that saves time or money or makes life easier is worth exploring, even if it isn’t used directly for selling real estate.

Here are some of my favorite free services. These apps are not just for Realtors, and have a large and sometimes very loyal user base, which is why they are continually upgraded and new features are added:

IFTTT — IFTTT is a service that lets you create powerful connections with one simple statement: If this (trigger), then that (action). IFTTT is free and it is very cool. The possibilities or recipes are endless. For example, I can set it so the action of taking a picture using Instagram triggers Evernote to create a note.

Article continues below

The site is filled with free recipes, examples and ideas, and there are 52 channels. A channel is an application like Gmail, or Evernote or Foursquare. A check-in on Foursquare could trigger a note to Evernote or a post to Blogger, or an Instagram photo could automatically be sent to Dropbox.

LastPass — I forget passwords and hate to write them down. Some of the sites I use require that I create strong passwords that I forget, and others require that I change my password on a regular basis. I gave up on remembering and tracking all of that a couple of years ago and use a free version of LastPass. One master password gets me into the “vault” where my passwords are stored, but there is so much more.

The LastPass extension is in my Web browser and I have LastPass set up to sign me into some of the websites and services I use on a regular basis. There is a mobile app, but I have found that I can use the Web browser on my phone or iPad and access my passwords that way, too. My passwords are available to me anywhere that I have Internet access.

Skitch — Skitch isn’t as great as it used to be. The last update took some features away, but I am going to go out on a limb and suggest that the features will be brought back. Skitch works on mobile phones and on computers. I use it on my phone and tablet for sketches or to draw on screen prints.

On my computer I use it for making screen shots that I can draw or type on. Very handy for bloggers and Realtors. Skitch is now part of Evernote so I can automatically store my Skitch creations in Evernote. On phones with the Android operating system, Skitch is a button built right into Evernote and a stand-alone app. There is a Skitch website where Skitch images can be posted and shared.

Google Drive — Google Drive is similar to Dropbox but not the same, and I use it differently. Google Drive is where I write and store all of my articles for Inman News. Dropbox doesn’t have a built-in word processor.

The word processing program built into Google Docs is as good as Microsoft Word (at least for my uses) and seems to be superior to anything I can find for word processing on the Macintosh. Google Drive works with Google Docs, and I can start a new document right in Google drive on any device no matter where I am. I can’t lose it because it gets saved in the cloud.

Ribbet! — When my favorite Internet-based photo editing site Picnik closed down, I was upset. I know that Picnik has been integrated into Google Plus but it isn’t a stand-alone program anymore and parts of it are missing. Ribbet! is the new Picnik. The free version is wonderful, and the premium version is amazing and free at the moment. The site is great for editing photos and for adding effects, captions and frames. Ribbet! is a wonderful tool for creating images for blog posts or for real estate marketing.

Pixlromatic — photo editing software available on mobile devices and on the Internet. There are several related products on the Pixlr site, including Pixlr, which has many if not all of the features found in Photoshop elements, and it is free. Pixlr-o-matic is fun and I can even make a poor-quality photo look artistic by applying some filters and maybe a frame. It works with pictures that have already been taken or can be used with the camera in an Android, iPhone, iPad or a webcam on a computer.

Chrome browser — advertised as a “fast free browser.” I love Chrome. It even works on computers that are so slow they make me want to cry. Chrome doesn’t slow my computer down even when I have 30 tabs opened and it never crashes. Check out the Chrome Web store and find browser add-ons for everything I mentioned in this article except IFTTT.

How to Use Eyeline Matching for Smooth & Logical Video Storytelling | Cross River Realtor

Before planning any video shoot, it’s important to have a good understanding of how the footage is going to be edited as this can make a big difference in how you approach the shoot.  There’s a big difference between shooting and then editing versus shooting for the edit.  Ideally you’ll always be shooting for the edit as it leads to a more efficient production when you know who will be editing, what equipment is needed, what shots are required for continuity, etc…

On this week’s Reel Rebel video production tip episode, Stephen explains an important concept to nail down when shooting for the edit called “eyeline matching.”

YouTube Preview Image

What is Eyeline Matching? Continuity Editing

Eyeline matching is a film editing technique associated with continuity editing to help establish a logical coherence between shots and make the storytelling smooth, logical and continuous. Eyeline matching is one of the basic building blocks of movie making for a narrative film or story.  Eyeline, as you might guess, refers to the trajectory of the looking eye.  Eyeline matching isn’t just about seeing what the character is looking at, it’s about the angle at which they’re looking at it.  It applies often to other characters, but also applies to anything that can be looked at.

This technique is based on the premise that the viewers will want to see what the character they are watching on the screen is viewing.  This means there will be a cut to show what is being looked at by the character on screen.  It can be:

  • An object
  • A view
  • Another character

The eyeline match will begin with a character looking at something off-screen.  It is then followed by a cut to the object or person at which he is looking.  For instance, a man is looking off-screen to his left, and then the film cuts to a television that he is watching, a character he is looking at, etc.

If you’re watching a movie, and a character is looking off screen at something, your natural expectation is to next see what that character is looking at.  That’s almost always the case, but you can’t just get any old shot of whatever that character is looking at.  You are trying to sell the reality of the film.  This means that when you cut to the shot of whatever you’re character is looking at, the audience needs to believe that they’re looking at it through the eyes of your character.

Examples of Eyeline Matching

For example, Character A, is clearly the star of the show.  Let’s say he’s deciding which pair of shoes to wear.  In the shot, you can see that not only is Character A looking off camera, he is looking DOWN and off camera.  Your audience will expect to see a high angle shot looking down on whatever he is looking at, in this case his shoes, as if from Character A’s point of view.  In shot A you see the angle at which Character A, is looking.  This is his “eyeline.”  In shot B you see what he is looking at from that same angle.

Alfred Hitchcock’s “Rear Window,” is one example of a film that makes frequent use of eyeline matches.  The main character is confined to his apartment.  He looks out its rear window often at events in the buildings across from him.  Hitchcock frequently cuts from the character looking off-screen to the focus of his gaze.

Here’s an example from The Stendhal Syndrome (La Sindrome di Stendhal, Italy,1996) where the Director, Dario Argento has his protagonist Anna looking at Botticelli’s The Birth of Venus (c1485).

The Stendhal Syndrome (La Sindrome di Stendhal, Italy,1996)

The term “eyeline match” can also refer to the practice of setting off-camera eyelines for single shots of characters within a scene.  They are shot so that when these shots are cut together, each of the characters appear to be looking at the correct character, without any confusion. Factors influencing the position of the off-camera eyeline are usually placed off camera, but sometimes are by giving the on-camera actor a mark to look at.  These factors include the 180 degree rule, camera lens/height/distance to subject and geography of the set.  For example, you take matching close-ups of two actors in a scene.  They are shot on the same lens with the camera placed at matching heights.

The eyeline match creates order and meaning in cinematic space.  It gives the viewer what they want and are expecting to see and it can really bring a story to life for the viewer.

Vacant Homes Plague Neighbors | Chappaqua NY Homes for Sale

Deborah Jackson in front of her Chicago home.

The vacant home next to Deborah Jackson’s house has been an eyesore and magnet of blight for much longer than the Chicago homeowner would care to remember.

The roof of the empty townhouse, which is connected to Jackson’s, is shredded and caved in, causing water to leak through Jackson’s walls. Overgrown bushes and bramble peek over the property’s 4-foot fence, and possums and stray cats — instead of a nice family — live inside.

The derelict property, which has been vacant for the better part of 15 years, even appears to pose safety risks. Jackson’s granddaughter was once struck in the face by a detached piece of the home’s roof; sometimes trespassers pay unsettling visits; and the home is infested with snakes.

“Anytime I see people or have heard people, I would always call the police,” she said. “I’m looking at a jungle out here. I can’t sit on my patio. My grandkids don’t want to visit me because of the snakes.”

Unfortunately for Jackson, it’s not the only vacant property in close proximity that causes the 59-year-old schoolteacher distress. The home to her left and the two directly across the street from her in the foreclosure-ravaged South Side Chicago neighborhood of Pullman are also unoccupied.

Jackson’s story captures the heavy toll that vacant homes can take on their neighbors’ quality of life, and, at the same time, it highlights a reality that is galling to residents in hard-hit areas: Many such properties are often left to deteriorate by banks.

Foreclosure nation

The neglected yard next to Deborah Jackson’s home.

Since the housing collapse began, about 4 million Americans have lost their homes to foreclosure, resulting in a persistent glut of vacant homes on the market. Banks and other investors have managed to whittle down this supply somewhat in the past two years.

But according to online foreclosure marketplace RealtyTrac, there are still about 532,000 homes in the possession of banks or government-sponsored investors, and most of them are vacant and not listed. In addition, many of the 950,000 homes that RealtyTrac says are not yet repossessed, but still in some stage of foreclosure, have already been vacated.

The spotlight is usually on the economic impact of vacant homes: their tendency to drag down prices by selling at steep discounts and bloating housing supply. But sometimes less explored are the intangible effects of the empty properties on neighboring homeowners.

Magnets of blight and crime

Ed Jacob, executive director of Neighborhood Housing Services of Chicago, said vacant homes can burden neighbors — some of whom are teetering on the brink of foreclosure themselves — and even put them in harm’s way.

Snakes and other pests have infested the yard of the abandoned home.

“They become magnets of crime. They’ll get stripped of all their copper,” Jacob said of the vacant properties. “People use them to stash their drugs. It’s a huge psychological effect on homeowners who are hanging on.”

Jackson is no stranger to this phenomenon. Thieves looted a neighboring abandoned property to her left — a different home than the one that’s infested with snakes. Authorities later told her that there was a danger of a gas explosion happening at the home because the burglars had removed the furnace.

“They took everything that wasn’t nailed down,” she said.

Vacant properties can cast such a dark cloud over their communities that, when those homes are finally purchased, it’s sometimes cause for celebration.

Ihsan Atta of Brookfield, WI, recalled living next to a vacant home for months that was teeming with rodents and had overgrown bushes. People living in the neighborhood had become so put off by the decrepit property that when an investment firm snapped it up recently, neighbors rejoiced.

“One neighbor went by— I thought she was so happy, she was going to kiss me,” said Marty Boardman, chief financial officer of Rising Sun Capital Group, the home investor that bought the property.

Are banks to blame?

The blight of vacant properties is often the fault of the financial institutions that own or oversee them. Those financial institutions — whether it be banks or government-backed organizations such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration — sometimes fail to keep up on the properties’ maintenance.

“Often that means that the lawn’s not being mowed and maintenance isn’t being done on the property, and so it’s just going to be an eyesore in the neighborhood,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of  RealtyTrac.

Financial institutions sometimes turn a blind eye to vacant properties in their portfolios because they either don’t want to pay or can’t afford maintenance costs, experts say.

Labeling some financial institutions “slumlords,” consumer advocates and local governments have tried to hold their feet to the fire.

The City of Los Angeles brought a lawsuit against Deutsche Bank and U.S. Bancorp for allegedly failing to maintain some of their repossessed properties. Also, the National Fair Housing Alliance filed complaints with the Department of Housing and Urban Development against U.S. Bancorp and Wells Fargo for allegedly neglecting repossessed properties concentrated in minority neighborhoods.

If financial institutions sold foreclosures quickly, such properties would have less of a chance to grind on neighborhoods. But according to RealtyTrac, a repossessed property takes an average of 195 days to sell. And that’s after the average 378 days that a home takes to be repossessed by a bank, a period during which the home may be vacated by its former resident.

“Banks don’t know how to sell houses. They’re not very good at it,” said Boardman, whose company flips 30 to 50 homes a year. He pointed to a recent deal in which, he said, it took Chase two months to find an employee who actually had the authority to approve a sale.

‘My hands are kind of tied’

Jackson said that she recently convinced the Chicago Department of Streets and Sanitation to clear debris out of the snake-infested backyard of the abandoned property that abuts her home, a job that she said took three hours for 11 men to complete.

Ideally, either a bank or the city will repossess the home and rehabilitate it. Public records suggest that the home has not been repossessed yet, according to RealtyTrac. But that’s out of Jackson’s hands.

Meanwhile, she’s tried to contact banks tasked with caring for some of the other four vacant homes neighboring her so she can nudge them into tending to the properties. But that’s proved impossible so far.

Two of the vacant homes — much like 80 percent of all repossessed properties in the U.S., by RealtyTrac’s measure — are not listed, so she can’t identify their owners.

She said only one of the four vacant homes surrounding her has a for-sale sign, but no one has answered calls from her or her neighbors when they have dialed the phone number on it.

She’s also tried to determine the other properties’ owners by searching public records, but she has been unable to identify some of the deed-holders and unable to reach the others.

Many concerned neighbors, as well as capable buyers, have hit the same roadblocks, experts say. Bureaucratic ineptitude, profit-driven asset-management strategies and the overall complexity of a securities market where mortgages once traded hands like hot potatoes are all to blame.

Despite the challenges, Jackson said that she is determined to reach the owners of the blighted homes that have tainted her neighborhood for years.

“But right now my hands are kind of tied,” she said.

Installing a Home Wine Cellar | Armonk NY Homes

If you have expensive bottles of wine cluttering your home, it may be time to find storage for your wine. By using a self-storage finder, you can locate a facility that specializes in wine storage, or you can opt to build a wine cellar in your home. Although it is a considerable expense, wine cellars are excellent investments, as not only do they ensure that your wine is protected, but they also increase the value of your home.

Location

When choosing the location for your wine cellar, you should focus on windowless areas that don’t get frequented often. Basements, attics and garages are usually good choices. It’s very important that the space is windowless because sunlight will raise the temperature in the room and spoil the wine. You also want to ensure that your location has adequate ventilation and receives very little in the way of vibration.

Temperature

Generally speaking, you want to maintain a temperature of 55-58 degrees Fahrenheit and a humidity of 50-75 percent. Homes usually average a temperature of 70 degrees and a humidity of 20-30 percent, so you’re going to have to make some renovations.

Renovations


Floor: With the humidity set at 50 percent or higher, carpet is sure to harvest mold and mildew, so if there is any carpet in the room, you will need to replace it with hardwood, granite tiles or porcelain tiles.

Walls: If the room is already finished, you should place foam insulation on the walls. If unfinished, you can use standard insulation and then hang drywall over it. Even though the cooling unit will go in later, you will want to run your electrical and drain lines during the construction process.

Door: In order to maintain stable temperature and humidity levels, you should replace the door with an insulated, weather-stripped door.

Odors

Be wary of any locations in the home that are in close proximity to aromas. For example, you do not want your wine cellar located next to your kitchen, as the odors can infiltrate the wine corks and spoil the wine.

Lighting

Use dimmable, recessed lighting in the ceiling. Even though it is arguably less harmful than sunlight, artificial lighting can also ruin wine.

Maintenance

Unlike most significant home renovations, wine cellars require very little maintenance. In fact, other than ensuring that the climate stays controlled, you can pretty much leave your cellar alone.

Organization

The trick to maintaining an effective wine cellar is organization. Once you have all your wine racks assembled, there is a litany of ways to organize your collection— by region, vineyard, vintage, year or grape variety, to name a few. The key is to be consistent.

Related:

John Donegan is a writer at SpareFoot, the online marketplace where you can find and reserve a self-storage unit with comparison shopping tools that show real-time availability and exclusive deals. John lives in Austin, TX and occasionally directs videos for rap artists.

Note: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinion or position of Zillow.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Continues to Rise | Mount Kisco Real Estate

Mortgage rates for 30-year fixed mortgages rose this week, with the current rate borrowers were quoted on Zillow Mortgage Marketplace at 3.26 percent, up from 3.18 percent at this same time last week.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate hovered between 3.18 and 3.28 percent for the majority of the week, dropping to the current rate this morning.

“Mortgage rates rose slightly at the end of last week following the release of the Federal Open Market Committee’s meeting minutes and a stronger than expected jobs report,” said Erin Lantz, director of Zillow Mortgage Marketplace. “This week, we expect rates to remain fairly steady since we do not foresee any new announcements that have the potential to offset the optimistic tone set by last week’s employment figures.”

Additionally, the 15-year fixed mortgage rate this morning was 2.63 percent, and for 5/1 ARMs, the rate was 2.52 percent.

What are the rates right now? Check Zillow Mortgage Marketplace for up-to-the-minute mortgage rates for your state.

*The weekly rate chart illustrates the average 30-year fixed interest rate in six-hour intervals.