Tag Archives: Westchester Real Estate

Home sales close in on three-and-a-half year high | Armonk Real Estate

Home resales rose in April to the highest level in nearly 3-1/2 years and prices surged, offering the economy a buffer from the stiff headwinds posed by belt-tightening by Washington.

The National Association of Realtors said on Wednesday existing home sales advanced 0.6 percent to an annual rate of 4.97 million units, the highest level since November 2009.

The data underscored the housing market’s improving fortunes as it starts to regain its lost glory. Resales were 9.7 percent higher than the same period last year.

“It’s quite supportive of the overall economy,” said Michelle Meyer, a senior economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch in New York. “It’s a cushion against some of the other concerns in the economy.”

Economic activity appears to have slowed somewhat early in the second quarter as the effects of higher taxes and deep government spending cuts started filtering through.

Manufacturing, in particular, has been showing strains, but housing has held up surprisingly well, with the gains in home values helping to boost consumer confidence and retail sales.

The ripples from housing’s recovery have also extended to the jobs market, where construction employment has been rising.

That should limit the degree to which the economy slows this quarter. It expanded at a 2.5 percent annual pace in the first three months of the year.

U.S. stocks were narrowly mixed in afternoon trading. Treasury debt prices were lower while the dollar was higher against a basket of currencies.

PRICES SOAR

Tight supplies in some parts of the country have constrained the pace of home sales, but sellers are starting to wade back into the market, attracted by rising prices.

In April, the median home sales price increased 11 percent from a year ago to $192,800, the highest level since August 2008. It was the fifth consecutive month of double-digit gains.

With prices rising, more sellers put their properties on the market. The inventory of homes on the market rose 11.9 percent from March to 2.16 million.

That represented a 5.2 months’ supply at April’s sales pace, up from 4.7 months in March. It remained, however, below the 6.0 months that is normally considered a good balance between supply and demand.

The market has been helped by monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve that has kept mortgage rates near record lows. On Wednesday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke made clear he was not yet ready to retreat from the U.S. central bank’s monthly $85 billion asset purchase program.

Adding to signs that the housing recovery was becoming firmly established, distressed properties – which can weigh on prices because they typically sell at deep discounts – accounted for only 18 percent of sales last month.

That was the lowest since the Realtors group started monitoring them in October 2008. These properties, foreclosures and short sales, had made up 21 percent of sales in March.

In another bright sign, properties are selling faster. The median time on market for homes was 46 days in April, down from 62 days the prior month. That was the fewest days since the NAR started monitoring that number in May 2011. Before the market collapsed in 2006, it usually took about 90 days to sell a home.

 

Home sales close in on three-and-a-half year high | Reuters.

Investors Exit London for Cities Led by Birmingham: Real Estate | North Salem Real Estate

For most property investors, the U.K. is a country with one city.

Private-equity firms, pension funds and millionaires from Russia to Qatar spent more on real estate in London than the rest of the country for the first time last year, lifting values there while prices elsewhere sank. Now investors such as Legal & General Group Plc (LGEN) and Aviva (AV/) Plc are being attracted by higher returns available from cheaper real estate outside the capital.

The value of income-producing properties outside London fell 7.2 percent from September 2011 through March while rising 7.4 percent in the city’s center, as a double-dip recession prompted buyers to avoid all but the safest prime assets, according to Investment Property Databank Ltd. That pushed non-London yields, or income as a percentage of the price, to 6.5 percent in March compared with 4.3 percent in London’s most expensive districts, IPD said.

“The shift away from core to a higher-risk mentality is the dominant trend that I see in 2013 and 2014,” Joe Valente, head of research and strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, said in an interview. “Not everyone is well equipped to go up that risk curve.”

That doesn’t mean all markets are appealing. Investors are focused on properties with steady rental income or those that can be put to better use. Few in the property industry predict that commercial property values outside the capital will appreciate meaningfully until the U.K. economy improves.

Birmingham, Manchester

Pension funds and insurance companies like Legal & General and Aviva are hunting in larger regional cities such as Birmingham and Manchester, where the value of some properties has started to rise and the amount of empty space is lower than in previous recessions.

The Co-Operative Group Ltd.’s headquarters in Manchester was bought by Chinese sovereign wealth fund Gingko Tree Investment and German fund Grundbesitz Europa in February, a person with knowledge of the deal said. The price was 142 million pounds ($216 million), according to the person, who asked not to be identified because the matter is private. Gingko declined to comment.

Billionaire George Soros’s Quantum fund got a slice of the development market outside London when it bought 5.7 percent of Development Securities Plc (DSC) in January and increased its stake to 6.8 percent this month, according to stock exchange filings. About 90 percent of the developer and property investor’s income-producing assets are outside London, according to its annual report

 

Investors Exit London for Cities Led by Birmingham: Real Estate – Businessweek.

U.S. Commercial Real Estate Forecast Reveals ‘Modest Optimism’ | Mt Kisco Real Estate

Industry executives currently have a “modestly optimistic” outlook on the U.S. commercial real estate market, as economic fundamentals show slow yet steady improvement, according to the latest Sentiment Index from The Real Estate Roundtable. However, public policy uncertainties and concerns over a potential rise in interest rates cast doubts on the market’s future.

“Commercial real estate executives are seeing increased interest in transactions outside healthy core markets, but that sliver of good news is mired in anxiety, centered on whether the development of pro-growth policies could fall victim to political gridlock,” says Jeffrey DeBoer, president and CEO of the Real Estate Roundtable.

The company’s survey for the second quarter of 2013 reveals an overall Sentiment Index of 69 – unchanged from the previous quarter and one point lower than in the second quarter of 2012. The overall index score is based on the average of two indices: the Current Conditions Index (which stands at 71, up one point from the previous quarter) and the Future Conditions Index (67, unchanged since the first quarter).

Figures above 50 indicate a positive market trajectory, the Real Estate Roundtable notes. This quarter’s index indicates that senior commercial real estate executives continue to see favorable trends in both values and capital availability in major gateway markets, but remain nervous about how a potential rise in interest rates and political uncertainty could worsen market conditions.

 

 

MortgageOrb: U.S. Commercial Real Estate Forecast Reveals ‘Modest Optimism’.

MYRTLE BEACH: Better real estate market means scattered tight inventories | Waccabuc Real Estate

There was a time not that long ago when Grand Strand Realtors were pleading for a lower inventory of foreclosures so sales of traditional homes could pick up.

That’s happened, as remains clear in the April real estate activity report by SiteTech Systems.

But behind the numbers, another potential problem could be lurking: low inventory.

The new low inventory, though, involves the number of traditionally-marketed homes for sale and available lots to put them on. While it’s not a crisis and no one’s saying it’s going to get that way, a tightening of available properties to sell to eager buyers could raise prices which, at some point, could suppress demand.

“The inventory is being pressured in all segments on the south end,” said Lee Hewitt, broker in charge at Garden City Realty.

Hewitt said he believes buyers will accept some price increases, but he’s not sure how much is too much that will cause them to put their money back in the bank.

“It’s going to be interesting how it plays out in the next three, four, five months,” he said.

It’s not just the Murrells Inlet area that is seeing a shrinking inventory, said Todd Woodard, SiteTech’s owner.

Inventories are tight in the Carolina Forest and Forestbrook/Socastee areas as well.

The situation has gotten serious enough, though, that it has prompted one Realtor to send an email seeking potential sellers.

Read more here: http://www.myrtlebeachonline.com/2013/05/21/3498105/better-real-estate-market-means.html#storylink=cpy

 

 

MYRTLE BEACH: Better real estate market means scattered tight inventories | Real Estate | MyrtleBeachOnline.com.

Housing market now the ‘tailwind’ pushing economic growth | Cross River Real Estate

It was only a few years ago that the housing market helped drag the U.S. economy into the gutter, but times surely have changed.

In its monthly economic forecast on Monday, Fannie Mae said it believes the recent slowdown in economic growth may be short-lived thanks to the strong rebound of the housing market, which will serve as the economy’s “tailwind” through the rest of the year and even into 2014.

“If (home purchase) demand awakens further and more jobs are added each month, economic activity should step up compared to 2012 levels with housing acting as a significant contributor to growth,” the report said.

After a strong start to 2013, Fannie Mae noted economic growth has been tapering off in recent months “partly due to fiscal drags including sequester.” But with further anticipated improvements in the financial and housing markets, Fannie Mae expects the nation’s economy will grow 2.2 percent by year-end from 2012. That’s a modest gain, but still better than the 1.7 percent and 2 percent year-over-year economic growth the U.S. saw in 2012 and 2011, respectively.

“Employment numbers are getting better, albeit it at a relatively slow pace, and the April employment picture should help boost consumer sentiment toward the economy overall,” Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan said in the report. “Spending grew in the first quarter at a surprisingly strong pace, and although this rate is unlikely to hold up, consumers continue to show signs of resilience in the face of fiscal concerns.”

 

 

Housing market now the ‘tailwind’ pushing economic growth – Phoenix Business Journal.

Bedford NY Luxury Market Inventory Report | RobReportBlog

5/22/13

Bedford NY Area Luxury Real Estate Market Report

Over $2,000,000
Homes for Sale165
Homes Sold (6 Mos.)27
Homes in CC, pending, sold44
Inventory- sold36.66 months
Inventory- sold, cc, pending22.51 months

 

Bedford NY Luxury Market Inventory Report | RobReportBlog.

Housing inventory shortage lifts prices | Katonah NY Real Estate

The home value forecast from Pro Teck Valuation Services reveals the impact low housing inventory has on home prices, which it calls the sold-to-list price ratio. 

In the May update, the Honolulu, Tucson, San Francisco and Chicago metro areas are highlighted to determine how the indicator has been useful from a historical perspective as well as in current market conditions to best predict home price appreciation in markets. 

“While many were predicting that REO and the ‘shadow inventory’ would keep real estate markets depressed, in reality the shortage of housing inventory has lead buyers to bid more competitively against one another leading to significant home price increases and tighter housing conditions,” said Tom O’Grady, CEO of Pro Teck Valuation Services. 

The sold-to-list price ratio typically fluctuates between 92% and 98%, but can exceed 100% in very hot markets, according to the authors of the home value forecast. 

 

Bedford New York Real Estate | Bedford NY Homes by Robert Paul Realtor » Blog Archive » Housing inventory shortage lifts prices | Katonah NY Real Estate.

Housing inventory shortage lifts prices | Katonah NY Real Estate

The home value forecast from Pro Teck Valuation Services reveals the impact low housing inventory has on home prices, which it calls the sold-to-list price ratio. 

In the May update, the Honolulu, Tucson, San Francisco and Chicago metro areas are highlighted to determine how the indicator has been useful from a historical perspective as well as in current market conditions to best predict home price appreciation in markets. 

“While many were predicting that REO and the ‘shadow inventory’ would keep real estate markets depressed, in reality the shortage of housing inventory has lead buyers to bid more competitively against one another leading to significant home price increases and tighter housing conditions,” said Tom O’Grady, CEO of Pro Teck Valuation Services. 

The sold-to-list price ratio typically fluctuates between 92% and 98%, but can exceed 100% in very hot markets, according to the authors of the home value forecast. 

“The sold-to-listed price ratio has historically lead home prices by approximately six months over the past three real estate cycles and its turning points have been excellent signals for the same in condo prices,” added O’Grady. 

The May home value forecast update also provides a listing of the top-10 best and worst performing metros as ranked by its market condition ranking model. Sales/listing activity and prices, months of remaining inventory, days on market, sold-to-list price ratio and foreclosure and REO activity are all indicators of the best and worst markets.

“Two of the top markets this month are in Nevada (Las Vegas-Paradise and Reno-Sparks), both of which had been very distressed since their respective market peaks in 2005 and 2006. Also, California continues to be well represented on the list by Los Angeles, Oakland, and Sacramento metros,” said Michael Sklarz, principal of collateral analytics and contributing author to Home Value Forecast.

Sklarz added, “Nashville’s metro area is a new entrant this month. Although the market has a more shallow correction than many of the other markets in the recent recession, it appears to be experiencing improving overall economic conditions and one of the most affordable markets in the U.S. now.”

“The bottom ranked metros also represent an interesting mix around the U.S. While all have nine to thirteen Months of Remaining Inventory, many of the indicators are showing positive trends even for the bottom metros area this month,” added Sklarz.

 

Housing inventory shortage lifts prices | HousingWire.

Top housing markets for the next five years | Bedford Hills Real Estate

 

Business Insider drew on the latest data to identify the best housing markets for the next five years. The top 15 cities are ranked by the projected annualized change in home prices between Q4 2012 and Q4 2017.

Business Insider also included the median home price, median household income, unemployment rate, and the change in home prices since their peak, to offer a broader view of the local economy and housing market.

Click here to visit Business Insider’s list of top housing markets.

Top housing markets for the next five years | HousingWire.

Home values rise 5% for sixth consecutive month | Bedford Real Estate

For the sixth straight month, home value appreciation was at or exceeded 5%, according to data from Zillow. More specifically, home values rose in April to $158,300. 

Home values jumped 5.2% over year ago levels, Zillow ($59.41 0%)reported, reaching their highest level since June 2004.

A majority of the 365 metros — 55% to be exact — experienced home value appreciation in April from March. Sacramento saw the largest monthly increase, with home values jumping 3.4%. Las Vegas and San Francisco also reported monthly increases of 3% and 2.8%, respectively. 

Looking forward, home values from April 2013 through April 2014 are predicted to rise 4% to approximately $164,648, according to Zillow. This is a drop from the 5.2% annual rate of appreciation reported between April 2012 and April 2013 and indicates a shift in supply and demand in some of the hardest-hit markets. 

“April marks the sixth straight month of annual home value appreciation of 5% or above, the longest such streak since the height of the bubble in 2006. In the short-term, this has been welcome news for homeowners. But in the long-term, this cannot be sustained, and consumers entering the market today should not expect this kind of appreciation to last,” said Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries. 

Humphries added, “Overall, we expect home value appreciation to moderate as more supply comes on line over the next year, but in some areas, runaway home value appreciation, combined with expected interest rate hikes in coming years, runs a real risk of pricing out many potential buyers. Home values in these areas will have to flatten or even fall to come back in line.”

Chicago was the only metro that did not experience year-over-year home value increases. More than half of the 30 largest metros covered saw double-digit percentage increases.­

 

 

Home values rise 5% for sixth consecutive month | HousingWire.