Mortgage Bankers Association CEO David Stevens told the Independent Mortgage Bankers Conference that his hope is for more transparent policy making at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Stevens added that those mortgage players outside of the government-sponsored enterprises should also be able to provide their own input.
“Fannie and Freddie need to start making clear, detailed, fully-baked presentations of planned policy changes of significance in advance,” Stevens said. “Our market is fragile, and the stakes are too high to allow these two companies to continue to throw change after change at lenders, with no avenue for input in the formative stages.”
Newly enforced rules and regulations are making it even more difficult for borrowers to qualify for a home loan, the CEO mentioned. Policies are intersecting and decidedly influencing the future opportunities of homeownership and rental.
Stevens did not skip over the Secure and Fair Enforcement for Mortgage Licensing Act and what he perceives is misguided regulation. “This patently unfair and ineffective law does little to provide assurances to consumers that their loan officer meets minimum qualification and testing standards,” Stevens said.
Additionally, the SAFE Act forces the cost of licensing onto independent mortgage bankers and does not allow talented loan originators to compete fairly in the labor market. “This is unfair, and we aim to change it. It won’t be easy, and it will take time, but we are committed to the objective of securing uniform, federal qualifications and testing standards for all loan originators, regardless of whom they work for,” the CEO said.
In an interview with HousingWire after the session, Stevens reemphasized what he addressed at MBA’s annual Chicago conference last month. “These are really important times because we’ve got these plethora of rules coming out; nobody’s coordinating any of this,” Stevens said. “We’re all in favor of rule makings, we need better regulation, but we need clear coordinating.”
Encouraging his audience to become MBA members in 2013, Stevens emphasized that the time to join is now. “If you don’t join this year and you don’t like Washington, I don’t want to hear it,” Stevens said.
2013 MBA Chairman Debra Still encouraged the conference to see clearly, face squarely the changes that are seen in the mortgage industry and to step up and be the change. “As leaders, it’s our job to create direction and focus for our organizations,” Still said.
Category Archives: Bedford Corners NY
Competition Drives Down Foreclosure Discounts | Bedford Corners NY Real Estate
The national average discount on foreclosures has shrunk by 1.4 percentage points over the past year as competition for foreclosures as inventories tighten is driving prices closer to full-price properties.
Homebuyers nationwide in September could expect a discount of 7.7 percent when buying a bank-owned property (REO) versus the same home in a non-distressed sale, according to a new Zillow analysis.
The discount narrowed from 9.1 percent during the same month last year and has fallen dramatically from a peak national discount of 23.7 percent in August 2009. Zillow compared the actual sale price of foreclosed homes nationwide to the estimated price of the same home were it to sell in a non-distressed transaction.
While foreclosure sales continue to offer buyers discounts over traditional sales in the majority of metro areas, some of the areas hardest hit by foreclosures are also those where the price gap between foreclosed and non-foreclosed homes is the smallest. Areas with the smallest foreclosure discounts in September were Phoenix (0 percent), Las Vegas (0 percent), Sacramento, Calif. (0.7 percent) and Riverside, Calif. (1.8 percent), Zillow found.
“The smallest foreclosure discount is found in places where competition for homes is so high, people there are willing to pay the same amount for a foreclosure re-sale that they would for a non-distressed home simply to take advantage of historic affordability,” said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries. “Additionally, in areas such as Phoenix and Las Vegas, where not long ago one out of every two homes sold was a foreclosure re-sale, buying a foreclosure is no longer just for investors.”
Metro areas with the biggest foreclosure discounts include Pittsburgh (27.4 percent), Cleveland (25.8 percent), Cincinnati (20.2 percent) and Baltimore (20 percent).
Year-over-year foreclosure discounts fell in roughly three-quarters (76.9 percent) of metro areas analyzed, and all metros are down from their peak. Nationwide, foreclosure discounts reached their height in 2008 and 2009, and in some areas peaked at more than 30 percent.
As recently as the second quarter of this year, RealtyTrac reported that the national average price of bank-owned properties was 32 percent lower than the average price of a non-foreclosure home, a slight improvement from a 30 percent discount in the first quarter and also a 30 percent discount in the second quarter of 2011.
One reason for the great difference is the way the two organizations calculate the discount rate is calculated. Zillow’s discount rate is the result of comparing the sale price of a foreclosure to the estimated, non-distressed sale price of the same home. Other reports like RealtyTrac compare the median sale price of all foreclosures sold in a given period with the median sale price of all non-foreclosures sold in the same period.
October Prices Lag in the Midwest | Armonk NY Real Estate
Price growth was strong in every region in October, including the Northeast where prices rose more than any other region. However, Midwest prices continued to trail the nation as the recovery is still fragile in the nation’s heartland.
While current quarterly gains are all under 5 percent, October marks the fifth consecutive month of quarter-over-quarter home price growth. Nationally, prices edged up 2.1 percent over the rolling quarter, higher than over September’s rate of growth. The West came in strong again, with quarterly gains of 3.7 percent. The South posted gains of 2 percent over the rolling quarter, according to Clear Capital’s October HDI Market Report.
Previously trailing in quarterly gains, the Northeast saw the largest jump in regional performance. Up 1.7 percentage points from September, the Northeast posted 1.9 percent growth quarter-over-quarter. Price gains across the low, mid, and top tier sectors all contributed to the region’s quarterly improvement.
Meanwhile, in Midwest quarterly growth of 1.0 percent was 0.9 percentage points lower than September’s. The Midwest tends to see quicker shifts in percentage change due to relatively low price points when compared to other regions. But there are certainly states within the Midwest, like Ohio, that have made notable progress. Ohio’s recorded quarterly gains of 1.6 percent are secondary to its more substantial long term price growth of 15.0 percent since 2008.
Today the National Association of Realtors released median prices for metropolitan areas for the third quarter. Prices in Chicago are down 1.8 percent from a year ago; Madison, WI is down 4.3 percent; Bloomington, IL is down 0.5 percent; and Champaign-Urbana is down 3.6 percent.
Yearly home prices in October came in strong. National gains of 4.6 percent are the highest since August 2010, when the first-time-homebuyer tax credit was enticing buyers.
The West posted its first double digit yearly gains since 2006, at 11.4 percent. While the hard hit region showed little signs of slowing down, it has a long way to go. Current prices are still 42.9 percent below the peak. On par with quarterly trends, the Midwest saw yearly gains soften to 1.1 percent. This, in part, reflects higher prices a year ago when the region saw a short uptick.
October year-over-year home prices in the South and the Northeast made headway; each up at least 1.0 percentage point over September, to 4.2 percent and 2.0 percent, respectively. With yearly growth of 6.8 percent, Virginia outpaced its region by 2.6 points.
The highest performing metros are a diverse group. In October, strong markets like Phoenix and Seattle were bested by Atlanta. However, Atlanta is in the early stages of a recovery, highlighted by a relatively high REO saturation rate of 37.8 percent.
Atlanta’s growth of 8.0 percent over the last rolling quarter represents a significant reversal for the market. Even though REO saturation remains the highest on the list, the new found growth was supported by a 9.7 percentage point drop over the last six months.
While trends are improving, Atlanta’s price points are extremely low, with a median price-per-square-foot of just $58. That’s nearly half the national median price-per-square-foot of $107. Even slight shifts in price can have a relatively large impact on percentage change for Atlanta.
Cleveland’s quarterly and yearly gains of 7.1 percent and 4.9 percent, respectively, outpaced national, regional, and state returns
The group of lowest performing metros are a great example of how housing trends continue to differ market by market. While Ohio and Virginia are doing relatively well overall, markets like Columbus, Cincinnati, and Richmond lag behind top performers, though each has posted yearly growth.
And after coming in as one of the strongest 15 markets four times in 2012, Tampa landed on the list of lowest performing metros in October. Over the last year, the low tier segment has been a key growth driver for Tampa. But, losses of 5.3 percent over the last quarter in Tampa’s low price segment (homes selling for $62,000 and less) created a drag on the overall market’s quarterly gains of 1.5 percent. Additionally, Tampa’s REO saturation rose nearly one percentage point over the last quarter. While this market continues to see measured growth, it’s not on the same trajectory as other markets, like Atlanta.
Tampa is a great example of how seemingly small shifts in the status quo can disrupt the momentum of price gains. The housing recovery has been built upon the delicate balance between declining distressed sales and increased buyer activity. Until more of the middle class has access to credit, the recovery will be constrained.
Buyers Are Bringing Color Back | Armonk NY Real Estate
It’s not uncommon for interior designers and stagers to offer color consultations to homeowners who are struggling with white and unpainted walls. It’s a great way to start a relationship with a potential design client and for the homeowner to “test” out working with an interior designer.
Home buyers recently have been requesting color consultations, too, for a combination of reasons:
Timing is everything
The perfect time to have the walls painted is before any furniture is moved in. Buyers who have contracts on homes but haven’t quite closed yet still want to get started on their decor. In many cases they already have furniture, art and accessories that inspire the wall color for the new home.
Global influence
Buyers are inspired by art, decorative pieces and area rugs selected while traveling and want to highlight their experiences in their home. Art and area rugs are fabulous ways to inspire a room’s wall color and overall palette. Additionally, more global textiles and fabrics are making their way to national home furnishing retailers, and these warm and bold colors are subtly influencing color in the home.
Beyond walls and furniture
Color is more prevalent in design these days, and buyers are starting to have more confidence about using it in their homes. We’re not sure that the avocado fridge is making a comeback, but we are definitely seeing more color being offered in home products — from kitchen sinks to large appliances — as well as continued encouragement about painting the walls from various home design television shows and displays at various hardware stores.
If you’re fortunate to be a buyer or just want your home to feel new, add some color to those walls and “break out of your beige haze!”
5 Smart Moves a First-Time Buyer Should Consider | Bedford Corners NY Real Estate
As a first-time real estate buyer, you probably have no idea how the overall purchasing process works or how to make sure you’re making a smart decision to purchase. And you’ll probably be very surprised to learn how much work it really is just to buy a home. To get you started in the right direction, and this is just a start, here are a few tips that you should consider.
Get lender-qualified and find a good real estate agent
To start off, you should get qualified by a lender to see what price range you can realistically afford and interview some real estate agents to find the right person to represent you in your transaction.
Once you’re qualified and have your price range estimate in hand, you’ll be able to spend your time shopping in neighborhoods that you can afford. But remember: Just because the bank says you can qualify for a certain amount, that doesn’t mean you should spend that amount. Make sure you can actually afford the monthly payment, along with all your other bills.
For real estate sales professionals, you should get referrals for a full-time agent or broker who sells at least five or more properties per year and is well-educated on the process and location where you plan to live. You should call references, check that the agent’s state sales license is up to date and interview them to make sure you’ll be comfortable working with them.
Make sure you plan to be a long-term owner
Once you know your price range and have looked at some properties, it’s time to make sure that you believe you can find a property that you will own for a minimum of five years. If your price range doesn’t match where you want to live, you’d be better off staying a renter and saving some additional money until you can afford where you want to live. This is because an owner really doesn’t earn any equity, on average, in a property for at least five years. That’s the general breakeven point, and you really need to shoot for longer than that as an ownership strategy. The truth is, long-term real estate ownership can be a great way to earn wealth, but short-term ownership usually will diminish your wealth.
Educate yourself
Buying property is probably the most complex, riskiest and expensive thing you will ever do. Do your homework: Talk to real estate owners, go to first-time buyer seminars, check out online material and read some books to learn what to avoid in the buying process. The more you educate yourself, the better the chances that when things go wrong — and they will go wrong — they will only be minor issues, not major headaches.
Find a nice affordable property
The real gems in real estate are the nice, decent shape, moderately priced, boring houses, town homes and condominiums that are within your budget. Most buyers stretch to purchase the most expensive property they can afford. What if you lose your job? How about saving some of your money for retirement? You want your home to be an asset you can afford, not a liability that leaves you with no additional funds over the cost of homeownership. Also, skip the fixers, prize properties or anything that sounds too good to be true: Those always end up having issues, and owners realize, after the fact, that the deal they thought they were getting really was just too good to be true!
Take your time
Realistically it should take you six months or longer to buy a nice quality property that will add to your long-term wealth. Make sure you have a full understanding of what the marketplace has to offer in your price range and that you know what you’re doing.
Those are a few tips to get you started in the right direction. Real estate is buyer beware, so try to make sure you’re one of the buyers who is “aware” of how to make quality wealth-building real estate decisions. Down the road you’ll pat yourself on the back when things work out well.
Mauricio Umansky is most often recognized as the husband of Kyle Richards of “The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills.” | Bedford Real Estate
His full-time job is in real estate, but Mauricio Umansky is most often recognized as the husband of Kyle Richards of “The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills.” The CEO and co-founder of luxury Los Angeles brokerage The Agency, Umansky has his hands full with balancing a successful real estate business, his family and of course, his appearances on TV.
We asked Umansky a few questions before Monday’s premiere of the third season of “RHOBH.”
Zillow: How do you balance reality TV with your real estate business?
Umansky: It’s less about balancing reality TV and my work and more about balancing my family life with The Agency. Whether I’m at work or with the family, I give 110 percent and focus on what I’m doing at that given time. I’m fortunate to have an amazing wife — Kyle helps me keep it all together. My biggest challenge is finding the time to be just with the kids.
Zillow: Has the show helped your real estate business?
Umansky: Before the show ever started, I was already one of the top producers in the country. However, a major component of selling real estate is marketing. I think the show has been beneficial, since it has brought more of a spotlight to me and The Agency, which, in turn, allows us to draw more attention to our listings.
Zillow: Will there be more visibility to your business this year? I understand Kyle has a shop next door to your office.
Umansky: It’s possible. We now both have offices in Beverly Hills. Kyle recently opened KYLE by Alene Too, a retail shop on the corner of Bedford and Brighton, of which I am very proud.
Zillow: How “real” is reality TV? You’ve mentioned before that your wife is so much funnier than the show gives her credit for.
Umansky: I think reality TV is very real, especially our show. It is completely unscripted. And yes, my wife is hilarious. She makes me and the family laugh all the time. I’m not sure that is captured completely on the show, but there are a lot of things that aren’t completely revealed.
Zillow: You just sold Adrienne Maloof’s home. How was that with the timing of the show?
Umansky: The sale of Adrienne’s house was an unfortunate situation. Both Paul and Adrienne are friends of mine, and selling a home of friends getting divorced is never easy. I try and keep it professional, and I try and accomplish my job as quickly and efficiently as possible.
Zillow: How was starting your own brokerage through all this? What are the best parts — and what are the most challenging parts?
Umansky: Amazing! I must say that not only do I have great partners, but we are blessed with a team of highly-skilled, successful agents and incredibly talented people working together toward one common goal – to represent our clients with the highest degree of attention, professionalism and service.
We embarked on a mission to create a brokerage firm with a progressive, definitive culture, and I think we have succeeded in this, although this will always remain a challenge.
5 Great Plants for Indoor Gardens | Bedford Hills NY Real Estate
Does your green thumb start twitching when the weather turns cool? Are you a yard-less soul, yearning for a place to till and toil?
The great news is this: You don’t need acres of rich, black soil in order to reap a harvest. In fact, indoor gardening has become a sustainable and trendy way to grow everything from fruits and veggies to flowers and herbs.
Amy Pennington, author of “Apartment Gardening: Plants, Projects, and Recipes for Growing Food in Your Urban Home” (Sasquatch Books, 2011), lives in a one-room apartment with an east-facing deck. Over the years, she’s crowded the space with dozens of pots, containers, hanging baskets and window boxes.
She considers small kitchen gardens the perfect extension of a well-stocked pantry and has narrowed down her choices to vegetables and herbs that are prolific producers and add big flavor to meals.
Getting started
Indoor gardens can be created in whatever space you have available. Perhaps you’ll want to start with a windowsill or table; shelves provide ample room for plants while taking up little space. Or perhaps you have an entire room to devote to your new garden.
When selecting the perfect growing spot, make sure that adequate light reaches every plant. If using artificial light, HID (high intensity discharge) lights, which hang down from the ceiling and convert electricity into usable energy for plants, are highly recommended. Areas with tile or linoleum floors are best, or you’ll want to use tarps to protect wood floors or carpet from unavoidable drops of water.
A good planting medium is essential when setting up an indoor garden. Soil found outdoors is generally too heavy and dense for use in containers. Instead, shop for a mix that is specific to indoor plants – one that will hold moisture and nutrients, and drain well.
When deciding what to grow, plant size and production should be serious considerations. Growing sweet corn indoors, for example, would be difficult for most considering that stalks grow 6 to 7 feet tall and must be grouped in order for them to pollinate. Then, after a 60- to 90-day growing period, each stalk will only yield two to three ears of corn.
Five smarter, more obvious choices for an indoor garden include:
Herbs
Even the most space-challenged indoor gardeners can find room to grow a couple of varieties of herbs. Fill a planter with quality potting soil, plant your favorite herb seeds and put the pot in a spot that gets about six hours of sunlight each day. Herbs you may want to grow include basil, parsley, oregano, cilantro, rosemary, chives, Vietnamese coriander and thyme.
Tomatoes
Small-fruited varieties of tomatoes often do well in indoor spaces. Cherry-type tomatoes (Tumbling Tom Red, Sweet Chelsea, Sun Gold and Sweet Cherry 100, for example) and grape tomatoes (Juliet, Juliet Roma Grape) will put your gardening skills to the test while producing bowls full of tasty red, orange and yellow fruit. If space is especially tight, consider growing tomatoes in an upside-down planter suspended from the ceiling; the plants grow downward out of a hole in the bottom of the planter.
Salad greens
Lettuce, spinach and endive generally do well when grown indoors. Loose-leaf lettuce is easy to grow and, because lettuce is a short-season crop, you can get an ongoing harvest by making small plantings every week or two. Because lettuce is made up of 90 percent water and has shallow roots, you’ll need to be sure to keep soil evenly moist but not soggy. In a warm, dry house, you’ll likely need to water plants every other day. To prevent fungal diseases, it’s best to water from the bottom using a watering tray. Look for the words “baby” or “little” on the seed packets when selecting the lettuce for your indoor garden.
Radishes
Because they require very little fuss, radishes are perfect for rookie indoor gardeners. Nearly any container will work to grow radishes as long as it’s at least 12 inches across. Unless you have a deep container, you’ll want to plant round (also referred to as “globular”) varieties. Radishes grow so fast that you’ll be ready to harvest in just three weeks. For continuous harvest, make additional plantings every one to two weeks.
Green beans
Yes, healthy beans require a lot of light (at least six hours of sunlight daily), but you can grow them indoors if you’re able to supplement natural sunlight with artificial grow lights. Use a container that’s at least 12 inches deep, and look for varieties of beans suited for container gardens, such as Topcrop, Tendercrop and Derby. Most varieties will be ready to harvest 50 to 60 days after planting.
Mortgage rates, bank stocks plunge post election | Bedford Hills Realtor
The Dow Jones industrial average is plunging post-election, falling by as much as 245 points. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index also falling as much as 27, or 1.6%, with bank stocks taking some of the biggest losses.
Bank of America ($9.39 0.16%), JPMorgan Chase ($40.40 0%) , Wells Fargo ($32.35 0%) and Goldman Sachs Group ($115.27 0%) are all losing stock value as of midday trading.
Investors are selling off because of the fear of what a fiscal cliff negotiation will mean, said chief investment strategist James Paulsen at Wells Capital Management in a statement.
However, with the economic uncertainty comes changes in mortgage rates because investors are piling up mortgage-backed bonds, driving bond prices up. As a result, mortgage rates are heading down, according to active loan officer Dan Green of Waterstone Mortgage.
For mortgage borrowers in locations such as San Jose, Cali. borrowing at the local conforming loan limit of $625,000, with the mortgage price by 1 discount point, lowers the closing cost by $6,255.
The change is also affecting multiple mortgage products such as HARP 2.0 improvement, FHA Streamline Refinance improvement and BA Streamline Refinance improvement, Green is reporting.
What types of emergencies justify landlord entry? | Bedford NY Realtor
Q: Last week the city was working on replacing gas lines in our neighborhood, which required turning off the gas. When they were done, they went house to house, turning the gas on and then going inside to relight pilot lights. They explained that this was a necessary safety precaution. We gave them permission to enter, but our tenants were upset when they found out. Were we in the wrong? –Donna and Mike
A: Many states regulate the reasons for which landlords may enter unannounced and without permission from the tenants. Shared by all of them is entry in order to deal with an emergency, such as to address a suspected gas or water leak, to respond to sounds of distress inside, and so on. The common thread is that landlords may enter to stop serious property damage or personal injury.
Your situation is an interesting wrinkle on the “emergency” nature of your entry. As I understand it, once the gas was shut off at the street, any remaining gas in the house lines was quickly used up by the pilots. Relighting pilots can be tricky, especially when you’re dealing with empty gas lines that have just been reopened. In addition, many pilots are in hard-to-reach places, such as under stoves and in furnaces located in attics.
I suspect that the plumbers come inside to relight the pilots to avert the possibility of any nasty surprises. In other words, they’re coming in so that they can avoid an emergency.
I can’t recall seeing “in order to avoid an emergency” on any state’s list of approved reasons for unannounced entries. But here is where we must get real: If there’s solid engineering or scientific reasons for having a professional relight the pilots, few judges are going to say that you should have kept the pro out of the house, especially when there’s no allegation of misconduct on the part of the plumber.
True, you could have asked them to come back later, after you had either posted appropriate notice (one or two days, in most states) or obtained permission from the tenants. But in the meantime, the gas appliances would have been nonfunctional, and you’d run the risk that the tenants, frustrated with no hot water, heat or stove, would have taken matters into their own hands. That would have been dangerous.
Q: My sister has a physically abusive relationship with her husband. He has threatened to harm their young children if she does not comply with his demands. Can she get out of the lease and move? –Lucy G.
A: Your sister’s best hope is that she lives in one of the 20 or so states that have laws enabling victims of domestic violence to terminate their leases before the terms expire. In addition, several states are considering legislation that would do the same.
States provide tenants with rights when they experience “domestic violence,” “intrafamily violence,” and so on. In a couple of states, termination rights exist when there has been sexual assault or stalking. But who must be the target of these actions?
In a few states, termination rights apply only when the tenant is the victim or intended victim. If your sister lives in one of these states, she may not be able to take advantage of the law. But isn’t the child a tenant too, you ask? A judge may say no, in the sense that a child doesn’t sign the lease and isn’t responsible for paying rent. But, on the other hand, the child is entitled to the benefit of many tenant-protection laws, such as the ban on illegal discrimination, and in the broader sense, could qualify as a tenant.
Perhaps in order to avoid this rather technical problem, many states have taken a common sense approach and have extended protection to the tenant and the tenant’s child or another member of the tenant’s household. Such laws would cover your sister’s situation.
Treasury Bond Demand Most This Year on Fiscal-Cliff Concern | Armonk NY Homes
Treasury 30-year bond yields fell to a two-month low as the U.S. received the highest demand this year at an auction of the debt amid concern lawmakers risk pushing the economy into recession over a budget showdown.
The difference in yields between 10- and 30-year debt narrowed to the least since August with demand for the bonds, as measured by the number of bids submitted compared with the amount of debt sold, the highest since December. Treasuries have risen since the re-election of President Barack Obama and a split Congress on concern they’ll be unable to compromise and avoid a series of automatic tax increases and spending cuts that have become known as the fiscal cliff.
Today’s auction was the final of three offerings of coupon-bearing securities by the Treasury this week totaling $72 billion. Photographer: Ken Cedeno/Bloomberg
Austan Goolsbee, a professor at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business and a former chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, talks about the re-election of President Barack Obama and the outlook for new tax and entitlement legislation. Goolsbee speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)‘The strong auction reflects strong demand,’’ said Priya Misra, head of U.S. rates strategy at Bank of America Corp. in New York, one of the Federal Reserve’s 21 primary dealers that are required to bid on the auction. “If you are worried about the fiscal cliff, the place to be is the long end of the Treasury curve, as the yield there has more room to fall.”
The yield on the current 30-year bond dropped six basis points, or 0.06 percentage point, to 2.77 percent at 2:13 p.m. New York time, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader data. The price of the 2.75 percent security maturing in August 2042 rose 1 6/32, or $11.88 per $1,000 face value, to 99 19/32.
The U.S. faces $1.2 trillion in mandated spending cuts and tax increases starting Jan. 1 if Congress can’t agree to reduce the deficit, which totaled $1.09 trillion in fiscal 2012. The Congressional Budget Office has said the world’s biggest economy would slow by as much as 0.5 percent next year if Congress fails to prevent the measures from kicking in, pushing the economy over what’s become known as the fiscal cliff.
As Obama was re-elected this week, Republicans maintained control of the House of Representatives and Democrats held on to a Senate majority.
Auction Yield
The 30-year bonds sold today drew a yield of 2.82 percent, compared with a forecast of 2.848 percent in a Bloomberg News survey of nine primary dealers. The bid-to-cover ratio, which gauges demand by comparing total bids with the amount of bonds offered, was 2.77, versus an average of 2.59 for the past 10 sales.
Indirect bidders, an investor class that includes foreign central banks, purchased 45.4 percent of the bonds sold today, compared with 26.5 percent at the October sale, which was the lowest level since August 2011, and an average for the past 10 offerings of 32.6 percent.
Direct bidders, non-primary dealer investors that place their bids directly with the Treasury, purchased 12.4 percent on the bonds, versus 14.2 percent at the last sale and an average of 14.4 percent for the past 10 auctions.
Thirty-year bonds have returned 4.3 percent this year, compared with a 2.4 percent gain in the broader U.S. Treasuries market, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes.
Final Sale
Today’s auction was the final of three offerings of coupon- bearing securities by the Treasury this week totaling $72 billion.
The U.S. sold $24 billion of 10-year debt yesterday at a yield of 1.675 percent and auctioned $32 billion of three-year notes on Nov. 6 at a yield of 0.392 percent. Both sales drew lower demand than at previous offerings. Investors bid for 2.59 times the amount of securities available yesterday, versus 3.26 times at the auction in October. For the three-year sale, the figure dropped to 3.41, from 3.96 a month earlier.
“There is definitely concern out there, given the policy and economic uncertainties, and even at these low yields investors are willing to pay up to get the long end,” said Jason Rogan, director of U.S. government trading at Guggenheim Partners LLC, a New York-based brokerage for institutional investors.
Quantitative Easing
Long-bond yields fell yesterday the most in 11 weeks as Obama’s re-election also fueled speculation the Fed will keep buying Treasuries.
The Fed purchased $2.3 trillion of Treasuries and mortgage- related bonds in two rounds of quantitative-easing stimulus from 2008 to 2011 and has begun a third effort. The central bank announced Sept. 13 it would buy $40 billion a month of mortgage- backed securities until the outlook for the labor market improves “substantially.”
Fewer Americans than forecast filed claims for unemployment insurance last week as the effects of Hurricane Sandy started to show up. Applications for jobless benefits fell by 8,000 to 355,000 in the week ended Nov. 3, the Labor Department said today in Washington. A Bloomberg News survey had forecast claims for jobless benefits increased by 2,000 to 365,000 last week.





