Daily Archives: May 28, 2013

Insight: Housing improvement may herald return of U.S. workforce mobility | North Salem NY Real Estate

When David Pendery, a corporate public relations specialist, decided to move his family from Colorado to Illinois this year for work, his biggest worry was whether he would be able to sell his home quickly.

It took just three days.

“We certainly thought selling our house would take longer,” said Pendery, who started in February at Kerry Ingredients, a flavoring provider for the food and beverage industries.

Pendery’s experience may be on the extreme side, but his case may be a sign of a revival in one of the historical advantages of the U.S. job market: the ability of workers to go where the jobs are.

For much of the past five years, falling house prices effectively locked people in their homes, since many were “underwater” – owing more on their mortgages than they could raise by selling.

At the same time, double-digit unemployment across much of the nation meant there were few jobs to move for anyway.

That may be changing. While far from their 2006 peak, home prices in major metropolitan areas have been rising since early 2012. If that persists, it should make it easier for Americans to move and for employers to match job seekers with available jobs, lowering the jobless rate and increasing overall economic productivity and growth.

“Until the real-estate market picked up, people wouldn’t even consider a move without the certainty that they could sell their homes,” said Jerry Funaro, vice president of global marketing for TRC Global Solutions, a domestic and international relocation service based in Milwaukee.

“Companies are now more inclined to make offers since we’re seeing real estate markets across the country coming back,” he said. “Last year, the pace of business started to improve and that momentum has continued in 2013.”

Housing added to growth last year for the first time since 2005, and single-family home prices recently notched their biggest annual rise since mid-2006.

Increased hiring, meanwhile, pushed the jobless rate down to 7.5 percent in April, its lowest in more than four years.

In 2013, employers have added an average of 196,000 jobs per month, although economists say that is still too few to absorb the nearly 22 million Americans who have lost a job, been forced to accept a part-time position or left the workforce altogether.

SERIOUS DETRIMENT

“The lack of housing mobility has been a serious detriment these last few years and, frankly, is something we haven’t seen much of since the Great Depression,” said Russell Price, senior economist at Ameriprise Financial Services in Troy, Michigan.

The unemployment rate reached 10 percent in late 2009, the highest in nearly three decades.

While mobility is not as robust as it was before the crisis, Price said the economic cycle is “about at the point where these types of structural employment problems start to fall away.”

 

The U.S. Census Bureau found that the number of people who moved last year rose to 35.6 million, pushing the overall mover rate to 12 percent from 2011’s record low of 11.6 percent, the first rise in four years. Long-distance moves ticked up as well.

 

Insight: Housing improvement may herald return of U.S. workforce mobility | Reuters.

Home price rise sets seven-year record in March: S&P | Armonk Real Estate

U.S. single-family home prices rose in March, racking up their best annual gain in nearly seven years in a further sign that the strengthening housing recovery is providing a source of support for the economy, a closely watched survey showed on Tuesday.

The S&P/Case Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas gained 1.1 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, topping economists’ forecasts for a 1 percent rise.

Prices in the 20 cities jumped 10.9 percent year over year, beating expectations for 10.2 percent. This was the biggest increase since April 2006, just before prices peaked in the summer of that year.

All 20 cities covered by the index saw yearly gains for the third month in a row. Average prices in March were back at their late-2003 levels.

Prices in Phoenix continued their sharp ascent, rising 22.5 percent from a year earlier. Other standouts included San Francisco, up 22.2 percent, and hard-hit Las Vegas, up 20.6 percent.

The housing market turned a corner in 2012, several years after its far-reaching collapse. The recovery has picked up since as inventory tightened, foreclosures eased and historically low mortgage rates have attracted buyers.

For the first quarter of this year, the seasonally adjusted national index rose 3.9 percent, stronger than the 2.4 percent gain of the final quarter of last year.

 

The data provoked little reaction in financial markets. Wall Street was poised to open higher as comments from central banks around the world reassured investors that supportive monetary policies would remain in place.

 

 

Home price rise sets seven-year record in March: S&P | Reuters.

Bankruptcy judge rejects efforts to stop foreclosures on Miami condo projects | South Salem Real Estate

Developer Renzo Renzi’s attempt to stop foreclosure auctions on two Miami condominium projects through Chapter 7 filings has failed.

Renzi’s companies lost an $18.2 million foreclosure judgment in Miami-Dade County Circuit Court in December, and used the Chapter 7 filings in January to stall the auctions.

 

Bankruptcy judge rejects efforts to stop foreclosures on Miami condo projects | HousingWire.

Trulia: Buyers look for vacation homes nearby | Waccabuc Real Estate

According to Trulia, the two most-searched vacation ZIP codes in America are both in Cape May, NJ: Ocean City and North Wildwood. The top vacation areas also include Kissimmee, Marco Island, and Panama City Beach, all in Florida. In California, the most popular locations for a vacation home are Big Bear Lake and Lake Arrowhead near Los Angeles, and in the north, Truckee and South Lake Tahoe.

To see the entire study by Trulia ($29.47 0%), click here.

 

Trulia: Buyers look for vacation homes nearby | HousingWire.

Why housing is not boosting the economic recovery | Cross River Real Estate

The Wall Street Journal writes that those expecting a quick return to the “virtuous cycle” by which rising prices, home sales, and housing construction feeds further consumer spending will have to wait until Americans feel more comfortable borrowing and until banks feel more comfortable extending credit, according to new commentary by Pimco.

The Pimco strategists outline four primary blockages that could restrain the housing sector’s ability to play the traditional role boosting the economy during a recovery. To see them, click here

 

Why housing is not boosting the economic recovery | HousingWire.

Refi, purchase apps switch places over the years | Katonah Real Estate

Mortgage applications posted that the refinance share of overall mortgage activity slightly fell to 74% of total applications, the Mortgage Bankers Association said.

Despite the small drop, the refinance share of mortgage applications has hovered around 75% for quite some time.

But a quick look back in history paints a more intriguing story.

Wade Betz, vice president of sales with Guardian Mortgage, has tracked his personal purchase application volumes versus refinancing activity since he started at the firm in 2006.

Since Betz began, the refinance and purchase shares of mortgage activity have performed a 180.

According to Betz, in 2006, he had 75.54% purchase and 24.46% refinance application levels. In 2007, he posted 77% purchase and 23% refinance volumes.

However, the housing market crash in 2008 shook up the mortgage market and the percentage rapidly changed gears.

In 2008, Betz said he had 63.98% purchase and 36.02% refinancing activity, compared to 32.60% purchase and 67.40% activity in 2009.

The switch in percentages has stayed heavily on the refinance side since the crash, with Betz posting 63.91% in 2010, 56.23% in 2011 and 69.45% in 2012.

Most recently, Betz posted 40.49% purchase and 59.51% refinancing activity.

But try not to get too comfortable.

The market is likely to switch again and revert back to a purchase market in coming years. The faulty loans from the housing crash will fade out, and purchase applications will once again become king.

 

Refi, purchase apps switch places over the years | REwired.

Census Bureau: New home sales ascend | Bedford Hills Real Estate

New home sales ascended in April, rising to 454,000 homes sold. New single-family home sales inched up 2.3% in April, above the revised March rate of 444,000.

April sales are up a dramatic 20% from the year-ago estimate of 352,000, according to data from the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Analysts at Econoday noted that sales are rising in the new home market despite limited supply, a mix that’s driving prices sharply higher.

“Price readings are skyrocketing, up 8.3% in April alone for the median price to $271,600. The average price, at $330,800, is up 15.4% in the month,” the analysts said.

They added, “These readings, which are not based on repeat transactions, can be volatile but the year-on-year gain, at 14.9% for both the median and the average, is very convincing and mirrors gains in yesterday’s existing home sales report.”

The median sales price of new homes sold in April picked up from $247,000 to $271,600 in the most recent month. April’s average sale price was $330,800.

At the end of April, the number of new homes for sale rose to 156,000 units, compared to 153,000 units in March. This represents a 4.1-month supply of homes at today’s sales pace, down from March.

“Home price appreciation was billed as perhaps this year’s big economic story, a story that appears to be playing out and that points to rising confidence and spending among homeowners,” according to Econoday.

 

Census Bureau: New home sales ascend | HousingWire.

FHFA: Home prices continue climb | Pound Ridge Real Estate

Upward momentum in home prices remained strong in the first quarter of this year due to the Federal Reserve quantitative easing program, which continues to help asset prices rise in the housing market.

As a result, home prices inched upward 1.9% from the previous quarter. This is the seventh consecutive quarterly price rise in the purchase-only, seasonally adjusted index, according to theFederal Housing Finance Agency.

From the first quarter of 2012 to the first quarter of 2013, home prices rose 6.7%.

“The housing market has stabilized in many areas and homebuilding activity has strengthened in recent quarters,” said Andrew Leventis, principal economist of FHFA.

He added, “That said, labor market weakness and still-elevated foreclosure pipelines remain hindrances to a more robust recovery.”

The FHFA house price index, which is calculated using home sales price information from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, rose 1.3% over the last quarter.

The FHFA HPI revealed that of the nine census divisions, the strongest increase in home prices was in the Pacific, which posted a 4.4% price increase in the latest quarter. Conversely, the Middle Atlantic division posted the weakest come prices, increasing 0.3% from the prior quarter.

Of the 75 most populated metropolitan areas in the U.S., the Jacksonville, Fla. metropolitan statistical area reported the greatest price increase, with a 9.3% jump between the further and first quarters. The Bridgeport, Stamford, Norwalk, CT, metro saw a 3.5% drop in prices over that same period.

The monthly seasonally adjusted purchase-only index for the U.S. has increase for 14 consecutive months, the FHFA explained.

 

FHFA: Home prices continue climb | HousingWire.