Daily Archives: April 2, 2013

People Are Becoming More and More Confident in Housing Market | Bedford NY Real Estate

The housing numbers are all heading in the right direction. Home prices up, foreclosures down and, perhaps the most important, consumer confidence in housing swelling. Even as sales of new and existing homes bounce up and down month to month, the desire to buy is growing. The percentage of Americans who say owning a home is an essential part of the American dream has hit a three-year high at 79 percent, and the percentage who say it is better to own than rent grew by four points to 69 percent, according to the CNBC All-America Economic Survey. Perhaps the biggest surprise in the survey is that despite a raging, record-high stock market, more Americans believe a home is a better long-term investment than stocks.

The gains can partially be attributed to a slowly recovering first-time homebuyer cohort. First-time buyers have been lagging the recovery until now, making up barely a third of home buyers in February, compared to the historical norm of 40 percent. First-time buyers accounted for 34.5 percent of home purchase transactions in February, according to a new survey from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance. Even more encouraging is that traffic of these buyers is rising as well, hitting a four-year high on the same survey.

“First-time homebuyers are the wildcard in the upcoming spring-summer home buying season,” said Thomas Popik, research director for Campbell Surveys. “We see strong first-time homebuyer traffic, but it’s still not clear that the traffic will translate into increased purchases, because first-time homebuyers are dependent on low down-payment financing, such as FHA mortgages.”

Housing prices appear strong on the surface | South Salem NY Real Estate

On the last Tuesday of each month, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Prices Indices are released. Based on the most recent release of this information, average U.S. residential home prices have increased approximately 8.1 percent over the past 12 months.

Driven by a combination of persistently low mortgage borrowing rates, moderately improved unemployment rates and a reported scarcity of supply, the increased demand for the average residential home is pushing prices upward. Additionally, family formation rates are recovering from the downturn experienced during the recent recession.

Leading the price recovery over the past 12 months are areas such as Phoenix, San Francisco and Las Vegas. Case-Shiller reports these areas have seen price increases of 23 percent, 18 percent and 15 percent, respectively, over the past 12 months. Some of these locations are also areas that suffered some of the greatest price declines several years ago.

A material portion of the overall demand for existing residential housing units is being driven by institutional buyers. Some estimates indicate as much as 20 percent to 30 percent of residential home purchases over the past couple years have come from various types of institutional buyers.

Hong Kong’s surging real estate prices shed light on rising inequality | Katonah NY Real Estate

HONG KONG — There are few places for ordinary people to escape the mobs of tourists, touts and handbag hawkers in Tsim Sha Tsui — Hong Kong’s commercial hub — but for members of the city’s upper crust, there’s always the Platinum Lounge.

Tucked away in the perfume section of luxury retailer Lane Crawford, the Platinum Lounge is available to cardholders who spend more than $10,000 a year at the department store. Inside this opulent oasis, uniformed attendants bring free drinks and mushroom quiche on silver trays. An original Andy Warhol screen print hangs from the wall.

I am here on the invitation of Don, 30, for whom the platinum membership is an afterthought. A member of the city’s elite, Don said that in a typical month, he spends around $13,000 on his credit cards, though in December the total came to $65,000. The free miles he earns on these sums have taken him to Japan, Thailand, Singapore, Morocco,Germany, and Malaysia in the last year alone.

3 Hurdles to Facebook Graph Search Success | Pound Ridge Realtor

Facebook believes they can change the way we search by offering a direct look into trends and information within our social networks. This vision has manifested itself into a product known as Graph Search. Facebook claims that this new product will “help users find people that share similar interests, explore your world through photos, and discover restaurants, music and more.” Graph Search has exciting potential since the product puts social discovery and big data analysis into the hands of millions. While these ideas are exciting for social innovation, Facebook still needs to answer to investors about how this search product translates into revenue – a prospect which requires user engagement with commercial intent. Here are 3 big hurdles that the social network will need to clear before it’s off to the races with its users as well as investors.

Conformity & Consumer Behavior

From a commercial perspective, all of the speculation around the power behind knowing exactly where your friends eat, shop, vacation, etc relies on the assumption that everyone wants to be just like their peers. This hypothesis has been challenged in numerous psychological experiments, most notably in studies related to human conformity. Experiments in human conformity found that the majority segment of people (middle-status) don’t want to be just like their friends. Rather, they want to be more like those who influence their friends.

Harvard Business School study on conformity and consumer behavior in online purchasing resulted in similar findings. Purchases by middle-status members in the Korean social network Cyworld were influenced by top-status members rather than their peers. Furthermore, the study found that none of the three major groups are influenced by their peers. So if you believe the well-documented human conformity theory will continue to hold true, then Graph Search and other similar social tools will not be used to a large degree for the discovery of products and services based on your social network. Why use Graph Search to find out what your friends like when you can simply visit your influencers’ Facebook pages to see what the they like?

If You Build It, Will They Revolt?

The most interesting use of Graph Search that I found during this Beta release was in the documentation of strange Facebook Graph Searches. This is an entertaining example of how transparent your personal information has become with Graph Search. It is still yet to be known how individual users will respond to being publicly included in searches like these, especially in countries with limited human rights such as China or Iran. Facebook users may revolt by deleting data within their profiles or the profile altogether, both of which would considerably lower the value of the Facebook. Considering the backlash against companies like Google that even go so far as to anonymize user data, it is logical to expect a huge backlash against what many users may believe to be an extremely transparent invasion of privacy.

Past Social Search Strike-outs

The idea of searching within your social network is nothing new. Live Twitter updates used to be a part of Google search until the social giant ended the deal in 2011. The same conversations took place back then about ‘disrupting’ search with information from your social network, but the speculation failed to change the way we search or open up new revenue streams.

Even today Google already contains personalized search feature that includes recommendations from people in your social network known as Search Plus Your World. This function had a mostly quiet release and still has yet to ‘disrupt’ the search industry. However, the mere existence of Facebook as a social network has already proven that they don’t have to be the first to market to be the most successful player on the field.

The potential of allowing all users to harness Facebook’s data within a search portal is an exciting prospect with huge potential for enhanced human connection, understanding, and innovation. If these hurdles can be overcome, then Graph Search could be the game-changing application that we all hope it can be.

Aaron Aders

Aaron Aders

Aaron Aders

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