Daily Archives: May 20, 2012

Mortgage fraud ringleader sentenced to more than 4 years | Mount Kisco NY Real Estate

Nathan Orms was sentenced to 4.5 years in prison for leading a mortgage fraud ring in Ohio.

Between 2004 and 2006, roughly the duration of the housing bubble, Orms defrauded lenders of more than $26 million in fraudulent mortgage applications, using straw buyers and other tactics.

Most of the properties ended in foreclosure, while Orms and seven other conspirators funneled $2.5 million to themselves.

The scheme involved fraudulent appraisals, falsified loan applications and fraudulent closing documentation.

Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine, with the help of a state task force, indicted Orms in the summer of 2011. In February, Orms pleaded guilty to 10 counts corrupt activity charges and nine counts of money laundering.

Franklin County Judge Richard Sheward sentenced Orms Friday.

Fitch predicts housing bottom in 2013 | North Salem NY Real Estate

U.S. home prices could drop another 7.8% before reaching bottom next year, Fitch Ratings said in a report released Thursday. 

A Fitch report from director Stefan Hilts forecasts steady economic growth and inflation levels that are close to 3% annually. The combination of the two could cause prices to reach bottom by next year, leading the market into a slow recovery, analysts with the firm said.

“The economy continues to grow with economic indicators on a positive trajectory and pointing to a recovery,” Fitch said. “But struggles remain. High unemployment, a declining labor force, stagnant wages, and a large delinquent inventory across many parts of the country are slowing the recovery’s momentum.”

States like Arizona and Michigan, which were hit with hefty price declines, are starting to see a turnaround, Fitch asserted.

Arizona saw small quarterly gains for the first time in two years in the most recent report and Michigan is beginning to stabilize, the study suggested.

While those markets stabilize, prices are falling in the Northeast as inventory backlog starts to move onto the market. Fitch says New Jersey and New York alone have watched prices drop 10% and 7%, respectively, over the past five quarters. The ratings giant expects further drops in those states in the coming months.

The state of Georgia also became an interesting case study for Fitch, with the ratings giant reporting that home prices in the state are now 32% lower than 2000 levels. However, Georgia is very much a divided state with the affluent northern suburbs of Atlanta and central city area holding onto their values and the overall economy collapsing to the city’s south.

State, regional job employment improves slightly | Waccabuc Real Estate

With the coming summer, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a slight, but steady improvement for the job market in April, showing that the unemployment rate dropped in 37 states and Washington, D.C., with payroll jobs increasing in 32 states from the previous month.

The BLS numbers remain similar to the March statistics, but slightly better as April and the beginning of the warmer season typically signals more hiring. States like Arizona, which saw a 0.4% drop in unemployment from March, and Oklahoma which also saw a 0.4% decrease, point to a slow recovery to the job market.

National unemployment stands at 8.1% in April, which is only a 0.1% decrease from the previous month and down 0.9% decrease from a year ago.

The positive trend is offset by the jobless rate rising slightly in five states: Colorado, Maryland, New Jersey, Rhode Island and Utah. However, with the exception of Utah, which saw a 0.2% increase in unemployment, all of these states only increased their unemployment rate by 0.1%.

The states with the highest monthly improvements in nonfarm employment included Hawaii with +0.8%, followed by North Dakota at +0.7% and Indiana at +0.6%. Of the states with a decline in employment, New Hampshire showed the biggest drop of -0.8%, followed by Alaska at -0.7% and Vermont at -0.5%. The annual data shows, however, that overall nonfarm employment increased in 43 states and Washington, D.C., from the same month last year.

The more extreme examples of unemployment remain unchanged from the previous month. Nevada continues to suffer the highest unemployment rate at 11.7%, while North Dakota boasts the lowest unemployment rate of 3%.

The Bureau of Labor Statistic’s employment report shows seasonally adjusted data for the regional and state level, as seen here:

Silicon Valley housing market gets Facebook bump | Cross River Real Estate

While the rest of the county buzzed Friday about Facebook’s ($38.23 0.2318%) first day as a public company, real estate agent Brian Chancellor saw the effect months earlier.

Chancellor put a client’s house on the market in February for roughly $1.2 million — a bit underpriced, he said. The home in Palo Alto, Calif., sits adjacent to Menlo Park, the home of the social-media darling.

Twenty days and 38 offers later, the house sold for $1.65 million.

“It’s not uncommon that even when somebody goes well over the asking price … they may not get the home,” Chancellor said. “There are people who are putting in phenomenal offers and still not prevailing.”

As Facebook and its social media and tech brethren boom, so, too, does the housing market in Silicon Valley and surrounding areas. In San Mateo and Santa Clara counties, home sales rose 34% and 13% in April from a year earlier, according to San Diego-based DataQuick. San Francisco Bay Area sales as a whole grew 13%.

The Silicon Valley market picked up visibly starting in late January, said local real estate agent Francis Rolland. Reports surfaced around that time of an imminent Facebook IPO.

There just might be a little too much excitement, Rolland said. Some waited for the IPO to get into the market, and he said they might later find out it won’t change much.

“It’s a real effect, but it’s too hyped in a way,” Rolland said.

It’s not just about Facebook, Chancellor said, with tech-world newbies Yelp ($18.64 -2.63%), Twitter, LinkedIn ($99.02 -5.93%) and Zynga ($7.16 -1.11%) along with standbys Apple ($530.38 0.26%) and Google ($600.40 -22.65%) all based in Silicon Valley or San Francisco.

“Facebook is leading the pack, but there’s money here from tech companies,” Chancellor said.

It’s storyline already known by Chancellor, an area agent for nearly two decades. Now-defunct companies like Pets.com disappeared almost as quickly as they appeared on the scene in the late 1990s and early 2000s during the dot-com bubble.

“The difference is that the techies of today are a little bit more self-aware,” Chancellor said. “The dot-com boom really was just greedy to say the least. I think this generation is more thought out.”

Prices, no matter how outrageous, aren’t rising quite as quickly this time around, said Suzanne Yost, president of the Silicon Valley Association of Realtors. The median price remained flat from April 2011 at $550,000 in San Mateo County, though rose 9.3% to $513,500 in Santa Clara County, according to DataQuick

Yost said appraisals are more stringent now than previous boom times, though there’s also awareness on the part of buyers.

“What we saw then was a much more rapid increase in prices,” Yost said. “We’re not seeing that yet here.”

A sparse amount of new construction is also limiting options for buyers, Yost said. The area’s geographic mix of hills and ocean makes for few empty patches of land.

Properties are moving fast, with reasonably priced homes spending just two or three weeks on market, Yost said.

Those looking to rent don’t have much of an option, with just 76 new units completed in the San Francisco metro since the second quarter 2011, according to research firm Marcus & Millichap.

Some prospective tenants, Chancellor said, will offer to pay more than the asking price or give six months’ rent upfront.

“It’s not to say we don’t have our issues, but as far as bright places to go in the world, we’re it,” Chancellor said

Housing markets recover faster in nonjudicial foreclosure states, report says | South Salem NY Homes

How quickly a local market recovers in terms of home prices and real estate activity may be contingent on whether it’s located in a judicial or nonjudicial foreclosure state, Capital Economics said .

Judicial foreclosure states require financial firms to handle default proceedings within an official court of law, while nonjudicial foreclosure states offer a set of rules and processes that are streamlined and designed to occur outside of court.

Paul Diggle, property economist for Capital Economics, cited data Friday from the Federal Housing Finance Agency index, showing home price growth in the fourth quarter of 2011 declining 0.3% from the previous quarter within judicial foreclosure states and 2.3% from year-ago levels. On the other hand, home prices grew 0.3% in nonjudicial foreclosure states quarter-over-quarter while falling a slight 1.6% over the previous year.

The crux of the report is that nonjudicial foreclosure markets are performing better in terms of price stabilization.

“We think that differences in foreclosure procedures will continue to affect state-level house price trends, with nonjudicial states outperforming,” said Diggle. “After all, as foreclosure pipelines are brought down to healthier levels in nonjudicial, high burn-through states, supply conditions can more rapidly tighten to the point that they support price growth.”

He believes low burn-through rates in judicial foreclosure states keep houses on the market for longer periods of time, pushing prices downward.

While the Capital Economics report suggests nonjudicial foreclosure states help local economies re-stabilize the markets in an efficient manner, Tom Feltner, vice president of the Woodstock Institute, says there are many elements that impact local home prices aside from the type of foreclosure state the property resides in. Those factors include demand, credit availability and local confidence in the market.

Feltner declined to classify one method of foreclosure as more effective or market-supporting than the other.

“I think that from our perspective, there are obviously a lot of challenges with moving properties through the judicial process,” Feltner said. “It takes more time, but I think as part of that process, there are more inbuilt foreclosure intervention points for homeowners who are working through the process of trying to save their home,” he said.

“I think in terms of whether or not it’s better to move properties through faster or not, it’s most important to ensure the borrower has every single opportunity to save their home.”  

Feltner said with the robo-signing settlement in the past, it’s likely judicial and nonjudicial foreclosure states will see foreclosure timelines speed up.

Diggle with Capital Economics expects a similar trend and worries about the impact of a slew of foreclosures hitting judicial foreclosure states all at once. “[T]he risk that the robo-signing settlement prompts the rapid transfer of homes in foreclosure into the visible supply is surely a much greater threat to the house price outlook in judicial states, where the foreclosure backlog is that much larger,” he said.

Feds seek higher penalties in lieu of admission of guilt requirements | Katonah NY Real Estate

Federal regulators rejected the idea of requiring an “admission of guilt” in settlements with financial institutions, but the Securities and Exchange Commission asked for the flexibility to clawback higher penalties.

And some lawmakers expressed interest in granting it.

A House subcommittee held a hearing Thursday to consider changes over settlement practices. A recent deal between the SEC and Citigroup ($26.01 -0.4%) received the most attention. Citi could be required to return $285 million to investors of a $1 billion collateralized debt obligation tied to risky mortgages.

U.S. District Court Judge Jed Rakoff rejected the settlement in November because Citi did not have to admit guilt in the case despite evidence its bankers believed the CDO was faulty even as they sold it to their clients. Rakoff also pointed out investors lost $700 million from the instrument, far more than what they would get back. The SEC and Citi appealed, and a ruling on that appeal is still pending in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit.

A proposal surfaced during the hearing that would require federal regulators to at least get the financial institution to admit guilt in settlements.

Each representative from the SEC, Federal Reserve, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. thought such a proposal would be a bad idea.

“If we were required to get the admission we would have more delay and fewer victims would be able to get their money back,” said Robert Khuzami, SEC Director of Enforcement.

“The system would be less safe and sound with the requirement to get the admission because we wouldn’t be able to take corrective action as quickly,” said Richard Osterman, FDIC general counsel.

Instead, SEC Chairwoman Mary Schapiro wrote to the Senate recently asking for an expansion of the penalty limits in these cases. Khuzami made the point again Thursday.

“When we impose a penalty, we can’t base it on all the wrongs that arose out of the financial crisis,” Khuzami said. “We have to base it on the evidence of the particular transaction at issue. We can’t get investor losses as a penalty. We are limited to disgorgement, which is the amount the company earned on the transaction and a penalty equal to the disgorgement. We can’t get the investors losses.”

SEC has a tier penalty system. Tier three currently allows for up to a $725,000 penalty per violation, per institution. Schapiro asked to increase that limit to $10 million. She also asked to use investor losses in negotiations or three times the gain of the transaction.

In the Citi case, the bank netted $160 million in profits on the faulty CDO.

“There are instances where investor losses so dwarfs the disgorgement and the gain that we could get, that you would like some more authority,” Khuzami admitted.

Rep. Scott Garrett, R-N.J., asked to be included on the letter so that the committee could consider expanded penalty limits.

Frustration with the lack of accountability after the crisis crossed both aisles during the hearing.

“I am one of those who reads the settlements and wonders why didn’t someone go to jail?” said Rep. Carolyn McCarthy, D-N.Y.

Rep. Bill Posey, R-Fla., said stiff penalties could have an effect.

“I think when you prosecute people and you penalize them severely, that changes bad behavior,” he said. “And when you put somebody in jail, that really changes bad behavior. I don’t see anybody going to jail. All the criminal activity on Wall Street — I just see a real lack of accountability in prosecution.”

Still, outside of the SEC request for more flexibility for higher penalties, each of the other federal regulators believed they had the tools necessary to police the industry.

Daniel Stipano, chief counsel for the OCC, said it issued roughly 2,200 enforcement actions in last four years. Scott Alvarez, general counsel for the Fed, said it issued three times more formal actions in the years after the crisis than the five years prior.

“My hope is not so much that we raise the amount of enforcement actions, but that the industry gets back to a better more coherent, more safe and sound compliant mode,” Alvarez said.

Bedford Hills Real Estate | REALTORS® International Commercial Transactions Reach 20%

  • International investors have always been attracted to the quality and stable fundamentals of U.S. commercial properties.
  • After the 2008-09 recession, the percentage of cross-border investments in U.S. markets has risen from six percent in 2009 to 10 percent in 2011*.
  • In comparison, 20 percent of Realtors®’ sales of commercial properties were made to international clients and investors, according to the 2012 Commercial Lending Survey.

*Source: Real Capital Analytics

Bedford NY Homes | REALTORS® Handle Diverse Commercial Property Portfolio

  • Investment activity recorded a positive 2011. Based on data from Real Capital Analytics, more than 13,000 major properties traded hands during 2011, totaling $205.8 billion in sales, representing a 51 percent increase from 2010.
  • The data analyzes properties priced at $2.5 million and above. Based on the 2012 Commercial Lending Survey, REALTORS® handle an even larger number of transactions of properties valued at less than $2.0 million.
  • The aggregate portfolio composition in this value spectrum is varied and representative of small business across the U.S.
  • Multifamily sales were the largest property type, accounting for almost 20 percent of the market, followed by land sales, comprising 13 percent of sales. Industrial warehouse sales rounded up the top three, with 12 percent of transactions.

Pound Ridge NY Homes | REALTORS® Report Local Banks as Largest Source of Finance Capital

  • Lending conditions continue to remain tight for commercial real estate investments. This is especially pertinent for small businesses and investors looking for properties in secondary and tertiary markets.
  • In the wake of the post 2008-09 recession shakeout, large banks have been reluctant to underwrite commercial real estate investments.
  • According to the 2012 Commercial Lending Survey, large national banks accounted for only 21 percent of commercial deals.
  • In contrast, local banks provided the bulk of financing capital for commercial deals, with 64 percent of closed sales.
  • Private investors and regional banks were the other major sources of funding, with 45 percent and 44 percent of sales, respectively.
  • The Small Business Administration provided funding for 29 percent of closed transactions.

REALTORS® Report Cash Sales of Commercial Properties at Close to 30% | Bedford Corners NY Homes

  • Lending conditions continue to remain tight for commercial real estate investments. This is especially pertinent for small businesses and investors looking for properties in secondary and tertiary markets.
  • In addition to tight underwriting, down-payment conditions also require substantial commitment. According to the 2012 Commercial Lending Survey, 72 percent of closed sales required a down-payment larger than 20 percent to secure financing, with seven percent of loans requiring 50-60 percent loan-to-value ratios.
  • REALTORS® report that cash transactions account for almost 30 percent of sales.