Tag Archives: South Salem Luxury Homes

Will Low Down Payments Bring First-timers Home? | South Salem Real Estate

Suddenly More first-time buyers are buying homes.  More are making down payments even as lenders rush to sign up for the new 3 percent down programs launched by Fannie and Freddie in November.  Coincidence or can we connect the dots?

It’s too soon for the new programs to have an impact on sales, but the odds are good that when they do the first-timer spike in sales may turn into a trend.  Loosening standards, improving incomes, soaring rents–whatever the cause, as the New Year begins there’s a refreshing new wind blowing throughout housing markets coast to coast.

According to the National Association of Realtors, first-time homebuyers accounted for 31 percent of existing home sales in November (29 percent in October 2014; 28 percent in November 2013.  Initial December data indicated a pickup of purchases from first-time buyers in November, likely a result of the improving job market and the decline in interest rates to 4 percent.

Zillow predicts that first-time buyers who stayed out of the market – either for demographic reasons or because they just couldn’t find the right entry-level home – will have a breakthrough year in 2015.rding to Zillow.  Zillow’s predictions are based on data showing rents continuing to skyrocket while the for-sale market levels off. That economic reality, increased inventory, and millennials getting married and having children after delaying those choices, will give buyers more negotiating power.  In fact, Zillow predicts the millennial generation will overtake Generation X as the biggest group of home buyers in 2015.

Meanwhile the majority of first-time home buyers making a low down payment appears to be uptrend. Among first-time buyers reported to be obtaining a mortgage in the months of September through November, about 66 percent made a down payment of 6 percent or less.  This is a decline from the 77 percent figure in early 2009, but an improvement from the 61 percent figure at the beginning of 2014.  In 2014 the average down payment for first-time buyers was

On December 8, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced the acceptance of loans originated with a 3 percent down payment under certain qualification guidelines to increase credit availability to first-time buyers meeting eligibility standards. In the case of Freddie Mac, borrowers will be required to participate in a borrower education program. In the case of Fannie Mae, borrowers will still have to meet the standard eligibility underwriting requirements such as those relating to income, employment, and debt, and borrowers will be required to purchase private mortgage insurance. Borrowers making a low down payment may still face higher costs for risk adjustment (called loan level pricing adjustments) in the case of GSE-backed loans.

Within weeks, mortgage lenders—all non-banks—began lining up to announce they were going to participate.

First out of the box to sign up for FHFA program were 360 Mortgage Group and ditech, both with 97% LTV into their product offerings.   Guardian Mortgage Company, Citywide Financial in San Diego, Houston lender AMCAP Mortgage and Michigan-based United Wholesale Mortgage were among of the first to announce they would participate in the GSE programs.

Meanwhile, before the details were even announced, Bank of America came out saying that it does not plan on easing its mortgage standards or offering 3% down mortgages, despite regulators seeking to expand lending.  Wells Fargo said it is currently in the process of examining the new product.

 

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http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2015/01/connecting-the-dots-are-low-down-payments-bringing-first-timers-home/

 

 

Historic Philadelphia Victorian with 1920s Addition | South Salem Real Estate

 

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Location: Philadelphia
Price: $1,750,000
The Skinny: An unusual historic home in the Northwest Philadelphia neighborhood of Chestnut Hill is on the market for the first time ever, or at least since H. Louis Duhring, Jr. acquired it. Duhring, who designed many of the homes George Woodward commissioned for the neighborhood, had a four-story wing in the Arts and Crafts style added to the home in the 1920s. This new back end to the stone-clad, circa-1860 Victorian brought the total square footage to about 10,000, which counts two apartments reached via a “grand, skylit stairwell,” and a “library/music room” with an original stone fireplace. There’s also a greenhouse and a pool in back.

First brought to market back in June, the dwelling is listed for $1.75M with design store proprietor and Kurfiss Sotheby’s associate broker Virginia Baltzell, whose family owns the property. She thinks it would make a great B&B.

 

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http://curbed.com/archives/2014/12/11/h-louis-duhring-chestnut-hill-philadelphia-home-for-sale.php

 

The Employment Situation in November – 3-2-1, Lift Off! | South Salem Real Estate

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that payroll employment expanded by 321 thousand in November, an increase well above expectations. Monthly employment gains prior to November have averaged 233 thousand in 2014. Job gains in September and October were revised upward by a total of 44 thousand. The average workweek for all employees and average hourly earnings rose. Job gains were widespread. These labor market gains coupled with recent output growth point to an economic recovery that is gaining momentum (Momentum).

blog emp 2014_11_1

From the separate household survey the BLS reported the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.8 percent in November. The report characterized the number of long-term unemployed and under-employed persons (those employed part-time who would prefer full-time work) as little changed in November, but these numbers have been trending down steadily from their peaks. In November these two categories declined by a total of 278 thousand. The labor force expanded by 119 thousand and the labor force participation rate held at 62.8 percent where it has been since April after several years of troubling declines.

Overall this is a very strong report. Jobs are being added at a robust pace, the labor force is expanding, at 5.8 percent, the unemployment rate is at the high end of what some economist might call normal (between 5 and 6 percent). If November’s progress can be sustained economic commentators should be over the moon by next spring.

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2014/12/the-employment-situation-in-november-3-2-1-lift-off/

How Can Holiday Shopping Impact Mortgage Approvals | South Salem Real Estate

The holidays are full of generosity and giving, but these feelings can end up costing consumers if they aren’t careful. During the holidays, many stores will try to entice more spending by offering massive discounts for consumers who open a store card. Because of this, the huge increase in holiday shopping is coupled with many people opening new credit cards.

Unfortunately, one of the reasons stores make these “great offers” is so they can lure consumers who are in a shopping frenzy into opening a card with high interest rates and payments. This translates into huge profits for the store and customers stuck with inflated costs for merchandise sometimes equaling triple or more the value of the original purchase, since there are stores online such as ForSale.plus which offer a great variety of products for shopping.

To make matters worse, many store cards offer lower limits to start, so charging up a balance that is close to the limit can cause large score drops due to balance-to-limit ratios on revolving credit (mostly credit cards), putting consumer’s credit scores in a vulnerable position. Another problem with opening new credit is that it reduces the average age of credit. This reflects a higher risk borrower and will drop credit scores.

It’s important to note that for mortgages, even a minimal score drop can affect the score threshold and pricing. Depending on the current credit scores and profile, even if the drop is 2 points under the score threshold needed for the best pricing consumers can wind up paying hundreds of thousands of dollars more over the life of the 30 year loan. This can also mean the borrower cannot afford the amount of loan they were planning on. So opening a Bloomingdale’s card at the wrong time could end up causing a family to lose their dream neighborhood and needing to purchase a smaller house in a less desirable school district. Most individuals opening a store card during the holiday season are not thinking about the huge impact it may have on their family’s future.

What shoppers should remember when holiday shopping is that charging on a regular credit card is a better idea if they plan on paying the balance off a month or two prior to applying for a mortgage. In addition, since credit grantors do not hold card holders responsible for fraudulent charges, it is much better to use a credit card rather than a bank debit card. If a thief gets a hold of the debit card number the losses may be far greater. Essentially, using credit is not a bad thing if one knows the rules of credit and how timing can impact score drops.

​Feel free to reach out to us if you have any credit questions or reports you would like reviewed!

Contact Tracy:

Do you have any credit questions?
Tracy Becker, President
155 White Plains Road
Suite 200
Tarrytown, NY 10591
or  (toll free) 866-388-9400
F :(914) 524-5014 ​​

Builders Continue Optimism | South Salem Real Estate

The November NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose four points to a level of 58 as builders continue to see promise in home selling. This marks the fifth consecutive month for the index to remain above the tipping point of 50 after a slow beginning to the year.

All three components rose with current sales rising five points to 62, expected sales rising two points to 66 and traffic rising four points to 45. These levels are close to but do not exceed the recent peaks of 63, 67 and 47 respectively in September.

The single-family recovery has been hesitant in 2014 with some modest movement forward held back by a slower than expected beginning. Single-family starts averaged 925,000 (on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis) in the first quarter, the same as calendar 2013. They made a modest improvement since then to an average of 1,024,000 in the third quarter.

NAHB expects the fourth quarter to bring continued improvement to that figure but the annual rate for 2014 is still likely to advance by less than 10 percent.

Builders are reflecting the optimism they receive from their customers as potential home buyers benefit from very low mortgage rates, affordable new home prices and price appreciation of their existing home. Pent up demand will push single-family production above 800,000 next year, particularly from current home owners who have experienced the normal life cycle changes that usually drive home buying but has been delayed.

November HMI

 

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2014/11/builders-continue-optimism-3/

 

Mortgage applications continue to slide, down 2.6% | South Salem Real Estate

 

Mortgage applications dropped again this week, falling 2.6% from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 31, 2014.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.6% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3% compared with the previous week.

The Refinance Index decreased 6% from the previous week.  The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 3% from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 1% compared with the previous week and was 13% lower than the same week one year ago.

The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 63% of total applications from 65% the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity decreased to 7.4% of total applications.

The FHA share of total applications increased to 9.5% this week from 8.9% last week.  The VA share of total applications remained unchanged at 10.7% this week and the USDA share of total applications remained unchanged at 0.9% this week.

 

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http://www.housingwire.com/articles/31954-mortgage-applications-continue-to-slide-down-26

Should you rent or buy? | South Salem Real Estate

Analysts may huff and they puff, but is the market blowing another housing bubble?

Earlier this month Trulia, the online real estate marketplace, released a report detailing its research into the wisdom of buying versus renting. Which option should you choose? As it turns out, buying makes more sense than renting in all 100 of the markets studied, but the devil is in the details.

Using a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage with a 20 percent down payment as the baseline, Trulia found that on average buying is 38 percent cheaper than renting. However, the advantage dissipates rather dramatically as the size of the down payment and the number of years buyers plan to remain in the dwelling grow smaller. An interactive map compares different scenarios.

Does this mean you should start putting open houses on your calendar? Not necessarily. As this Reuters graphic shows, August prices for the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city index grew at a 5.6 percent year-over-year average. All 20 markets showed price increases, although the rate of  increase slowed for the eighth straight month, which Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist, sees as evidence that we aren’t on the verge of a bubble. As price increases decelerate, speculation shrinks as well.

Taken together, the evidence suggests that buying is advantageous, but not so urgent that one needs to pounce now in order to avoid being left out in the cold.

U.S. home prices, August 2014

Housing Fails to Overcome U.S. Home-Loan Rates | South Salem Real Estate

 

Falling U.S. mortgage rates stem from the housing market’s inability to withstand increases last year, according to Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Corp.’s Merrill Lynch unit.

The CHART OF THE DAY tracks an index of loan applications to buy homes, as compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Hartnett mentioned the indicator in a report two days ago that described weakness in housing as “the biggest macro story of the year,” outweighing economic slumps inChina and Europe.

This year’s average reading for the home-purchase index would be the lowest for an entire year since 1995. On a weekly basis, the indicator has fallen as much as 30 percent from last year’s peak, reached in the first week of May.

Thirty-year mortgage rates rose 1.11 percentage points from the start of May through the end of June to 4.46 percent, according to data compiled by Freddie Mac. The national average stayed above 4 percent until this month.

“Both the supply of and demand for residential mortgages in the U.S. remains very weak,” wrote Hartnett, based in New York. “Thus, the U.S. mortgage market could not cope with the jump in rates in 2013.”

Rates had to decline this year “to a more stimulating level,” he wrote. This week’s 30-year average, 3.92 percent, was 0.56 point lower than at the end of last year. The fixed rate is headed for its fourth annual drop in five years.

 

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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-24/housing-fails-to-overcome-u-s-home-loan-rates-chart-of-the-day.html?cmpid=yhoo

Housing Starts Rise 17.8% Year-Over-Year In September; 6.3% Up From August | South Salem Real Estate

Construction of new homes rose 6.3% in September and permit activity increased, suggesting that the gradual housing recovery is continuing, data released Thursday by the U.S. Commerce Department shows.

September groundbreakings rose to a seasonally adjusted, annual rate of 1.017 million, up from August’s revised 957,000. September’s rate was 17.8% higher than the pace of 863,000 one year earlier, and fell within the range expected by economists surveyed ahead of the release by Bloomberg Bloomberg.

Building permits also bumped up 1.5% in September, to an annual (seasonally adjusted) rate of 1.018 million, over August’s revised 1.003 million level. September’s permit numbers are 2.5% above one year earlier.

Despite the increase in September activity in both permitting and housing starts, builders confidence is down slightly, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo. Yesterday the group released its Housing Market Index, which shows that builder confidence in the market for new, single-family homes fell five points, to a level of 54, in October. Any number over 50 indicates that more builders view the market as favorable than as poor.

“After the HMI posted a nine-year high in September, it’s not surprising to see the number drop in October,” said NAHB’s chief economist David Crowe. “However, historically low mortgage interest rates, steady job gains, and significant pent up demand all point to continued growth of the housing market.”

September’s numbers show that builders are continuing to bet on multi-family housing. While permits issued for single-family homes were relatively flat at 624,000 (0.5% below August’s revised 627,000) in September, permitting rose by 7% for buildings with five or more units, to 369,000 in September from 345,000 in August. Similarly, groundbreakings on single-family homes stood at a rate of 646,000 in September, just 1.1% above August’s revised figure. Starts on buildings with five or more units were at 353,000, up 18.5% from August.

 

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http://www.forbes.com/sites/erincarlyle/2014/10/17/housing-starts-rise-17-8-year-over-year-in-september/

Mortgage rates dip below 4 percent | South Salem Homes

Mortgage rates are moving below 4 percent for 30-year fixed conforming loans with balances below $417,000 for the first time since they spiked in June 2013. It’s not a huge move by the numbers, but psychologically it could be a major boost—potentially prompting a leap of faith for home buyers, but more likely a push for those looking to refinance existing loans.

“Rates have been under a bit of pressure so far this morning,” Mortgage News Daily’s Matthew Graham said Tuesday. “The first few rate sheets are right on the edge of 3.875 percent. Four percent would still be significantly more prevalent today, but 3.875 percent is out there for a few lenders.”

Mortgage rates, which loosely follow U.S. bond yields, have moved lower this month amid volatility in the U.S. stock market as well as weakness in financial markets overseas and global growth concerns. The average rate on the 30-year fixed had been stuck around 4.5 percent for much of the past year, falling slightly during the summer. On a loan of $400,000, the savings since that higher level is not dramatic, about $150 a month, but that might be enough for today’s ultra-sensitive buyers.

“Rates dipping below 4 percent might increase the sense of urgency for some home buyers,” said Craig Strent, CEO of Rockville, Maryland-based Apex Home Loans. “That might be tempered, though, by low inventory in many areas, the result of which could increase competition for good homes, raising the sale price and potentially wiping out the benefit of the lower rate.”

For refinancers, however, especially doing a no-cost refinance, it could be worth the trouble.

“Lower interest rates will impact refinancing for people who bought late in 2013 and early 2014. They can get half a percent off their rate now,” noted Logan Mohtashami, a loan officer with AMC Lending Group in Irvine, California. “Some who are looking to take their private mortgage insurance off their home will take advantage of these rates with their higher home price.”

While the government has provided just over 3 million underwater borrowers the opportunity to refinance to lower rates through its Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), rising home prices have brought thousands of other borrowers, who did not qualify for that program, back into the black and therefore eligible to refinance. Then there are those who purchased their homes in just the past year, when rates were in the 4.75 percent range, who could also benefit, although that is a small population.

“As has always been the case, we need to spend more time at newly acquired lows for a significant portion of eligible and interested borrowers to be able to take advantage of them,” said Graham, who says rates could go even lower from here.

 

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https://homes.yahoo.com/news/mortgage-rates-dip-below-4-163300092.html