The government’s failure to overhaul mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is pushing the U.S. toward nationalization of the mortgage market, and would-be homeowners will be the losers if competition between private companies isn’t restored.
That’s according to Jim Millstein, the former Treasury Department official who oversaw the reorganization of American International Group Inc., who thinks the government will have to get into the business of reinsuring mortgages if it wants to restore the private sector’s role in mortgage securitization, and reduce taxpayer exposure to Fannie and Freddie.
Millstein, the Treasury Department’s chief restructuring officer from 2009 to 2011, says neither the Obama administration nor Congress has put forward a workable plan to lift mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of conservatorship.
Increasing the fees charged by the companies and taking all of their earnings threatens to make Fannie and Freddie “permanent wards of the state,” Millstein argues in an editorial he co-wrote with Phillip Swagel, a professor at the University of Maryland School of Public Policy.
Millstein and Swagel have proposed legislation that would create a new government reinsurance program, and turn Fannie and Freddie into one of many private “first loss” insurers that would pay into it.
Four years after the takeover of Fannie and Freddie, they say, “the government now backstops 90 percent of all new mortgages and has no plan to reduce its market share, no plan to protect taxpayers against future losses on the trillions of dollars of mortgage credit underwritten since the firms were placed under government control.”
The Treasury Department’s decision to claim Fannie and Freddie’s earnings as dividends is intended to make sure that taxpayers recoup the $141 billion they’re still owed from bailing the companies out (Treasury has invested $187 billion in the companies and received in $46 billion in dividends). But the government’s “cash sweep” prevents Fannie and Freddie from building up capital reserves that would protect taxpayers against potential losses on $4.5 trillion in mortgage guarantees, Millstein and Swagel argue.
In a similar fashion, recent increases in Fannie and Freddie’s guarantee fees mandated by the Federal Housing Finance Agency would seem “sensible and long-overdue,” the two maintain. Fannie and Freddie, they say, “had grossly underpriced the insurance they provided on mortgages before the crisis, putting taxpayers at risk for the bailout that inevitably came and making it difficult for other private companies to compete with them.”
But the fees are still “significantly below” what private companies would charge, and the increases are all going to the government, rather than helping Fannie and Freddie build up capital and reserves.
“With Washington hungry for revenue, there will be inexorable pressure to milk Fannie and Freddie’s guarantee fees to support other government spending,” Millstein and Swagel warn. “The losers will be potential homeowners, as mortgage availability will be determined by government regulators rather than by private firms competing for their business.”
Ironically, they say, the quickest way to get Fannie and Freddie out of conservatorship and restore competition among private firms is for the government to get into the mortgage reinsurance business. Millstein and Swagel envision a system in which private mortgage insurers would take on a growing proportion of the first loss on bad mortgages before government reinsurance would kick in.
Fannie and Freddie would themselves be transformed into private, “first loss” insurers, and forced to compete with other private companies willing to pay the government for reinsurance.
With “strict regulation to ensure that community banks can originate and securitize mortgages on an even playing field with the giant banks,” competition would breed new entrants in mortgage finance. Any of them, including Fannie and Freddie, could fail without the threat of a housing market collapse, Millstein and Swagel maintain.
A government reinsurance program will be a tough sell to conservatives, they acknowledge. But the government, having placed Fannie and Freddie in conservatorship, is already “creeping” toward nationalization of the mortgage market.
A government reinsurance program with private insurers ahead of the government is perhaps the only way, they say, to shrink Fannie and Freddie’s portfolios, reduce taxpayer exposure, and jump start a competitive private market.
“Today, we’re doing massive guarantees through the conservatorships of Fannie and Freddie,” Millstein tells the Wall Street Journal’s Nick Timiraos. “But it’s a ham-fisted, convoluted way of delivering the guarantee. Taxpayers aren’t being protected at all. There’s no capital ahead of us.”
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Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac take finger off automatic repurchase trigger | Bedford NY Real Estate
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said the government-sponsored enterprises won’t require lenders to automatically repurchase loans with early payment defaults, reversing course on a key provision in the government-sponsored enterprise’s new representation and warranty framework.
Early payment defaults occur when a borrower misses a payment during the first three months of the loan.
The GSEs had previously said that under their new guidelines, early payment defaults would automatically trigger a repurchase request from the agencies — no matter how well documented the loan was. In letters released to lenders Friday, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said that “upon further review, it has determined that the automatic repurchase trigger will not be implemented.”
The new representation and warranty guidelines, announced by the Federal Housing Finance Agency in September, are scheduled to go into effect for loans originated on or after Jan. 1, 2013.
Under the reps and warrants clause of the mortgage contract, GSEs have the option to force a lender to buy back a loan that breaches certain representations made about the loan upfront. The changes being pushed through for 2013 are positioned as an effort to relieve at least some of that pressure for lenders, although some have questioned whether the changes will help or hurt the mortgage market.
So-called buyback risk has been routinely cited by lenders as a key reason certain loans aren’t being made, at numerous industry conferences during 2012. This risk has already materialized in the form of reducing bank earnings, with Fifth Third Bancorp ($15.02 -0.1001%) reporting earlier this week that the bank’s third-quarter earnings were affected by a reserve holding against future rep and warranty claims.
Both letters issued by the GSEs also spelled out for the first time key repurchase alternatives either Fannie or Freddie may choose to offer lenders, incuding indemnification and loss sharing, among other alternatives.
The GSEs also warned lenders to expect more loan reviews, saying its sampling of performing loans for rep and warranty review “will likely increase in aggregate across all loans and lenders,” as both mortgage giants expand their discretionary review process on loans they guarantee.
Bedford NY Real Estate | Mortgage rates hover near record lows as home construction picks up
House of Week: Restaurateur’s Artful Chicago Home | Bedford NY Real Estate
Inspector, contractor disagree on settlement concerns | Bedford NY Realtor
DEAR BARRY: When we bought our home, our contractor was with us on the day of the home inspection. They both inspected the attic but had different opinions. The inspector said there were no problems, but our contractor said the ceiling joists were separated more than an inch from a beam. The inspector took a second look and said this was due to old settlement and was not a problem.
We should have listened to our contractor because since moving in we’ve noticed other evidence of building settlement. The front and back walls are leaning and the floor is sloped in one corner. If we had known all of this, we would not have bought the house. Do we have any recourse with the home inspector? –Dora
DEAR DORA: The home inspector apparently did not do an adequate job and should be accountable for failure to report observable defects. Separated framing in an attic is not something to dismiss as “old settlement.” Instead, your inspector should have recommended further evaluation by a structural engineer.
Recourse, however, is a legal issue that varies from state to state and is largely affected by the terms of the contract that you signed when you hired the inspector. These are points to review with an attorney. In the meantime, you should find out if the home inspector is insured for errors and omissions. If major repairs are needed, insurance coverage could determine whether the matter is worth pursuing.
But before you do any of these things, you should hire a structural engineer to determine the extent of the problem, whether it is a major issue or just old settlement, as reported by your inspector. Once you have an engineering report, you will know what work is needed and can obtain bids from contractors. At that point, you’ll be prepared to pursue recourse.
It is also recommended that you obtain a second home inspection. But this time, try to find an inspector with many years of experience and a reputation for thoroughness. If your home inspector missed evidence of building settlement, he probably missed other issues that need to be discovered.
DEAR BARRY: Our buyers backed out of the purchase contract because the home inspector’s repair estimates were very high. I was wondering if it is legal for a home inspector to provide such estimates. We and our agent were very angry with the inspector. Now our home is back on the market. Should we attempt to fix all the problems addressed in the inspection report before we can make a sale? What should we do now? –Yvonne
DEAR YVONNE: Some home inspectors provide repair estimates. Most do not. Whether the estimates in this case were accurate or inflated is the big question. The only way to know for sure is to get bids from contractors. Once you do that, you will know what is actually needed to make repairs.
At that point, you can repair some or all of the defects. Those that you do not repair can be disclosed to future buyers, along with the contractor’s bids.
Home prices in Southern California hit four-year high | Bedford NY Real Estate
Southern California is on the rebound when it comes to home prices, but sales are beginning to fall as inventory levels decline, DataQuick said in a report Friday.
During the month of September, counties in Southern California saw the median home price edge up to $315,000, a 1.9% jump from $309,000 in August and a 12.5% increase from September of 2011.
It’s also the highest median in more than four years.
San Diego-based DataQuick attributes the jump to a modest supply of homes for sale and demand sparked by recent levels of affordability in the market.
Still, prices are ticking up and sales are falling with low-end deals and foreclosure resales hitting five-year lows.
Low mortgage rates and a falling supply of homes are doing two things in the region: sparking new sales and cutting back on supply levels. Meanwhile, more mid-to-high end homebuyers are moving into the market to pick up the slack while taking advantage of low interest rates.
“It appears that not quite half of the 12.5% year-over-year gain in last month’s median sale price can be attributed to a shift in the types of homes selling,” DataQuick said. “In September, price levels for the lowest-cost third of Southern California’s housing stock rose 13.2% year-over-year, while they rose 7.7% in the middle and 3.5% in the top third.”
Sale levels fell with only 17,859 properties sold in the counties of Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange during the month. That number is down 20.4% from the 22,438 sales recorded a month earlier and down 1.6% from last year.
Home Buyer Qualifying Income | Bedford NY Real Estate
In addition to metropolitan area prices, NAR Research estimated qualifying income for each metropolitan area in the first quarter of 2012. This article will review what qualifying income is and how we estimated it. How does calculated qualifying income for the median priced home compare to the income of potential buyers in your area?
Qualifying Income
When a home buyer seeks a mortgage for a home purchase, the lender will review the amount of income the potential buyer earns. Total gross income will be compared to the total housing payment to ensure that the home buyer is not spending more than a prudent percent of their income on housing. This should help ensure that lending is responsible and home ownership is sustainable (1).What’s prudent? In its guidelines, the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) suggests that total house payment not exceed 31 percent of gross income . HUD’s total house payment includes principle and interest but also includes payments for things such as mortgage insurance and homeowner’s insurance.
Because NAR’s analysis will exclude some factors that HUD includes in the total house payment, we use a more conservative ratio of 25 percent to create the metro area qualifying income. In other words, qualifying income is set to equal four times the calculated annual mortgage principal and interest payments (2).
Other Criteria Needed to Qualify
Having enough income relative to total house payment is just one factor that will be considered in a home buyer’s application for a mortgage. A lender will also consider a borrower’s other debts and the total paid to service those debts relative to income, as well as credit history, demonstrated ability to pay, financial reserves, and other factors.All of these factors will be considered in the analysis done by a lender before approving a home buyer’s request for a mortgage.
However, the qualifying income analysis provides a rough snapshot of how affordable some markets are. Here are some highlights:
The full list of metro areas and qualifying incomes is available here.
(1) HUD Mortgage Credit Analysis: In its total house payment calculation, HUD includes many payments that are not included by NAR in the analysis such as real estate tax escrow payments, hazard or mortgage insurance, among others. Also HUD allows the payment to income ratio to exceed 31 percent if compensating factors are present. See the document for details, particularly section 4155.1 4.F.2.b Mortgage Payment Expense to Effective Income Ratio.
(2) At this time, prevailing mortgage rates are near and often under 4 percent, thus a 4 percent mortgage interest rate figure was used in calculations as a conservative estimate. Mortgage payments are estimated assuming a fully amortizing 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Down payment assumptions vary and are explicit in the analysis.







