24/7 Wall St.: The U.S. home prices have begun to rebound in the past year. And in the most expensive markets, where the average home sells for well over $1 million, recoveries are among the strongest, increasing between 20% and 50% in most cases.
According to Coldwell Banker Real Estate, there are at least ten U.S. cities where the average listing price for a home in the first six months of this year exceeded $1.2 million. The majority of these are located on or near the California Coast. For example, San Jose suburb Los Altos, homes sold in the first half of the year averaged a $1.7 million price tag. Based on data provided by Coldwell Banker, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed the most expensive cities for buying a home.
In an interview with 24/7 Wall St., Coldwell Banker COO and President Budge Huskey explained that for the first time in years, residents of the country’s most expensive housing markets are largely professionals working in or very near their home. In prior years, he explained, many of the most expensive communities were simply very desirable for wealthy families or individuals, without necessarily being employment centers. Many of these people were retired or worked from home.
“Now,” Huskey said, “the emphasis is on those markets that are in proximity to true, strong business centers, where employment has been consistent, and the overall level of wealth and wages has been high relative to other opportunities within the country.”
These expensive markets are concentrated around the tech industry, which has remained strong throughout the recession. As a result, many of these cities and suburbs are near the heart of California’s Silicon Valley. Six are located in either the San Francisco or San Jose metropolitan area. These are areas driven by the tech boom, explained Huskey. “In an area like Los Altos, for example, you’re looking at a location that is 15 minutes away from the headquarters of such corporate giants as Google and Facebook.”
Income in the expensive housing markets is among the highest in the country. According to U.S. Census Bureau data, median household income in these cities far exceeds the U.S. median income by at least $20,000. In Saratoga, California, one of the cities on our list, median income is nearly triple the U.S. figure of $51,914.
The two cities not in California on this list are Kailua, Hawaii, and Rye, New York. In the case of Rye, the city is located within the expensive Westchester County, within commuting distance from New York City. According to Huskey, desirable communities with access to New York City have remained stable and high-priced.
In Kailua, located on the island of Oahu — the same island as Honolulu — high prices are reflective of most of the real estate market in Hawaii. The state has limited available property, explained Huskey, which drives up prices. “While there’s only one particular market in Hawaii that reached the top ten, Hawaii proved the most expensive on an aggregate measure.”
Based on data published by Coldwell Banker in its annual Home Listing Report, 24/7 Wall St. identified the country’s most expensive cities for buying a home. Homes in these cities had the highest average listing price between January and June of this year. Markets with less than ten four-bedroom, two-bath homes were excluded from the survey. We also examined data on vacancy rates, median price per square foot, and changes in price from real estate listing service Trulia. Information on income, educational attainment, and poverty rate, among other data, is from the U.S. Census Bureau.
These are the 10 most expensive cities to buy a home:
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10. San Carlos, CA
<strong>Avg. listing price:</strong> $1,230,880 <strong>Median household income:</strong> $110,929 <strong>Pct. households $200,000+ income:</strong> 30.3% As of 2010, the median income of households in San Carlos was more than double the U.S. median of $51,914. Over 30% of households in San Carlos earned more than $200,000 per year, more than five times the national rate of 5.4%. San Carlos is one of the most expensive housing markets in the San Francisco metropolitan area. Over a twelve month period, ending in October, it had the nation’s highest median home price per square foot at $473 among all homes listed, according to Trulia. In San Francisco, the median age of home inventory was just 45 days as of the third quarter of 2012, according to Realtor.com, lower than in all but seven markets. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
9. Carmel-by-the-Sea, CA
Avg. listing price: $1,232,167 Median household income: $74,489 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 18.7% Carmel-by-the-Sea, a small coastal city in California, is well-known for its former mayor, actor Clint Eastwood. Currently, the average four-bedroom, two-bathroom home in the city lists for more than four times the nationwide average listing price of $292,152. With nearly 19% of households earning more than $200,000 in 2010, many families and individuals in the small town can afford expensive properties. One house, despite being not much larger than 2,000 square feet, is currently listed for nearly $4.5 million. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
8. Kailua, HI
Avg. listing price: $1,238,208 Median household income: $91,082 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 14.7% Kailua is one of just two cities on this list not located in California. The O’ahu Island city is 12 miles northeast of Honolulu, which had a vacancy rate of 2.7% — better than most areas but considerably worse than the other areas on the list. As of October, the median price per square foot for a home in the Honolulu area was $398, more than in any other metro except for San Francisco. According to Trulia, a 0.75 acres plot of land, which includes 128 feet of beachfront, is currently for sale for $16 million in Kailua. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
7. Rye, NY
Avg. listing price: $1,312,250 Median household income: $146,069 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 53.0% The average listing price for a four-bedroom home in Rye is more than $1,300,000, or more-than $1 million above the U.S. average. Employees in the often high-paying finance and insurance industries accounted for a 27.8% of employed population in Rye in 2010, well above the 7% average rate nationwide. As of 2010, 53% of households earned more than $200,000 annually, more than any other expensive city, and nearly 10 times the national rate of 5.4%. Additionally, just 1.3% of households lived below the poverty line versus 13.8% nationwide. Among the properties available for sale are a five-bedroom, 7,446 square feet waterfront home for $12.9 million and a 34.2 acre plot of land for $19 million. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
6. Los Gatos, CA
Avg. listing price: $1,444,214 Median household income: $120,971 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 37.5% Los Gatos is one of several cities near San Jose on this list. Like these cities, Los Gatos likely benefits from the overall boom in the San Jose real estate market, which currently has the lowest vacancy rate of all metro areas surveyed by Trulia at just 1%. Currently, a number of unique properties are available in the city, including an 11,000 square feet property with an eight stall horse barn and a garage that fits 12 cars listed at slightly under $13 million. Also for sale is the former home of Apple Inc.’s co-founder Steve Wozniack. It is currently listed for $4.5 million. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
5. Palo Alto, CA
Avg. listing price: $1,495,364 Median household income: $120,670 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 39.3% In Palo Alto, 48.7% of adults have a graduate or professional degree — well more than four times the national rate of 10.3%. The city’s proximity to Stanford University, one of the top universities in the nation, may be partly the reason behind the city’s highly educated population. Among the companies headquartered in the city are Hewlett-Packard and Tesla Motors. The city is a large employer of highly skilled employees, as 25.3% of its workers are employed in professional, scientific and management occupations, well above the 10.4% of workers nationwide. Perhaps the most famous resident of Palo Alto is Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, who Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
4. Menlo Park, CA
Avg. listing price: $1,506,909 Median household income: $107,860 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 34.9% Menlo Park is one of just four cities where the average listing price for a four-bedroom home exceeds $1.5 million. As of 2010, the median income in the city was slightly below $108,000. However, the recent Facebook IPO has been a windfall to the area. In June, real estate listing service Zillow reported that the “proportion of million-dollar listings” in Menlo Park — where Facebook is headquartered — rose by 87% between the company’s IPO filing and its first day as a public company. Among the houses available in Menlo Park are a five-bedroom home with a gym, theater area and wine cellar, which is listed for $4.6 million, and a six-bedroom 5,200 square feet home that’s listed for slightly under $5 million. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
3. Saratoga, CA
Avg. listing price: $1,582,434 Median household income: $145,023 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 43.1% Though home prices in the nearby San Jose metro area fell by 25.1% peak-to-trough, Saratoga is yet another example of how the Silicon Valley housing market has recovered. Currently, the median price per square foot for homes in San Jose is $337, according to Trulia, more than all housing markets except San Francisco and Honolulu. Prices for many homes in the area have skyrocketed, according to listings on Zillow. A home currently listed for nearly $10 million last sold for just over $2.1 million in 2000, while a home listed for $14.9 million last sold in 1994 for just over $1 million. As of 2010, 43.1% of Saratoga households earned more than $200,000 per year, while 40.9% of adult residents had a graduate degree, versus 10.3% nationwide. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
2. Newport Beach, CA
Avg. listing price: $1,658,000 Median household income: $107,007 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 37.6% Outside of Northern California, Newport Beach is the most expensive city to buy a home. Home prices are so high in the city that in 2009 legendary bond investor Bill Gross bought a nine-bedroom, 11,000 square feet home for $23 million — and then tore it down. In 2011, Gross listed the empty plot of land for $26.5 million. Orange County as a whole has a vacancy rate of just 1.5%, among the ten lowest in the nation. Despite a 32.7% drop in home prices from peak to trough during the recession, Orange County’s median price per square foot is $265. This trails only the Honolulu, New York, San Francisco and San Jose metro areas. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
1. Los Altos, CA
Avg. listing price: $1,706,688 Median household income: $149,964 Pct. households $200,000+ income: 43.6% In Los Altos, the average four-bedroom, two-bathroom home lists for nearly $50,000 more than any other city in the nation. According to Coldwell Banker, for that price a buyer could purchase 28 similar homes in Redford, Mich., the nation’s cheapest housing market. In Redford, the average home lists for just $60,490. Currently, asking prices in the San Jose metro area have risen 12.7% year-over-year, according to Trulia. This is more than nearly every other metro area in the country. Read more at 24/7 Wall St.
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20+ Coupon Sites for the Best Shopping Deals and Bargains | Pound Ridge Real Estate
Real Estate Market Trends: Pending Home Sales Rise | Pound Ridge Realtor
Pending home sales – a predictor of signed housing contracts – rose 5.2 percent in October, according to the latest real estate market trends reported today by the National Association of Realtors.
The association’s Pending Home Sales Index has realized 18 consecutive months of annual gains, reaching a reading of 104.8 in October, the highest level since March 2007, excluding a few spikes stimulated by the first-time home buyers’ tax credit, said the Chicago-based trade association.
“We’ve had very good housing affordability conditions for quite some time, but we’re seeing more impact now from steady job creation, and rising consumer confidence about home buying now that home prices have clearly turned positive,” Lawrence Yun, the association’s chief economist, said in a statement.
Home prices rose more than 11 percent in October 2012, compared to October 2011, according to the association. The gains have raised total home equity by $760 billion since the beginning of the year, according to Yun, a figure that could reach $1 trillion by year end.
The Pending Home Sales Index tracks home purchase contracts that have been signed, but not completed. A sale is typically finalized within 60 months of signing. The index reveals regional real estate market trends, according to Yun. “Contract activity surged in the Midwest and is showing very healthy gains in the South, but was down slightly in both the Northeast and West.”
In other real estate market trends, the Commerce Department yesterday reported a 0.3 percent dip in sales of new single family homes for October of 2012. Despite the drop, the seasonally adjusted annual rate of 368,000 home sales for October is 17.2 percent higher than the 314,000 rate for October 2011. Inventories stand at 147,000, a 4.8-month supply at the current sales rate.
“The latest numbers are right in line with our forecast, which projects that sales will resume a slow, upward trajectory going forward and will end 2012 about 20 percent ahead of 2011,” said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, a Washington, DC, trade association that tracks real estate market trends.
The value of conversation | Pound Ridge NY Real Estate
I don’t think conversation gets the respect it deserves. Consider these facts:
I love my wife. After a little more than half our lives together I can confidently say that she is the most important and influential person I have ever known. She is half my life, literally, as the direct result of conversation. It’s how we fell in love and how we stay that way.
I love my children. They’ve taught me, tested me and have been the fuel propelling me towards my better self. I stagger daily, but will never stop striving to be worthy of guiding them and preparing them for happy lives. Conversation is where the work of parenting gets done. It’s the countless explanations to my three year old and the countless excuses from my teenagers.
I am profoundly grateful for my business partners. Together we are so much stronger, better, faster and fun than we could ever be apart. Conversation is the glue, the playground and key to the magic factory that lets this happen. It is the stone against which we sharpen our ideas and the salve that remedies our failures.
I believe that the quality of our lives is determined by the quality of our conversations. So let’s be good at this. Here are my ground rules:
- Ask questions. There’s no better way to start a conversation. “Have you lived here long?” “Did you hear about (blank)?” “I love your (blank), where did you get it?” are some of my favorites. They are guaranteed to get a reply, but then you need to keep the conversation going. How?
- Be interested first. Great conversation is a dance. It’s give and take, and wit, and repartee… but listening is critical. Instead of waiting for them to stop yapping so you can pivot to your story, try asking follow up questions instead. Like this- “Interesting. I’ve wondered about that, what is it you like most about (blank)?”
- Ask for opinions. This stops questions from feeling like an inquisition and it invites fresh thinking. The question “What’s your opinion?” and statement “In my opinion” both leave room for discussion. It communicates that you’re interested in what they think – and that’s so much more important than how tall, short, fat, rich or pretty we are. When we ask someone what they think, they immediately give us a free upgrade in their good peeps ranking.
- Make friends. If this is your goal you will almost never fail. Meet strangers with an open and accepting heart, and you’ll suddenly find new friends everywhere you go.
And now, a word of caution from my pal William Shakespeare: the tip of the tongue reveals the depth of the mind.
I used to think he was simply referring to intelligence, but he’s really talking about the transparency of our motivations as revealed by what climbs out of our word holes. So be cautious and resist the temptation to ‘always be closing’. Yes, you need sales, but don’t rush it. If you cultivate, nurture and build relationships; sales will follow.
So here’s the simple recipe for increasing opportunity: be more interested.
If you want more opportunity, be interested in more people. It’s just that simple. Stay in touch with them. Start conversations and give them a reason to keep you top-of-mind besides what you do for a living.
If you do this, I promise the rewards will be surprising. You’ll have more fun, make more friends and realize that you don’t need to talk about what you do to do more of it.
Young stars heat up California real estate | Pound Ridge Realtor
Case-Shiller Makes it Official: “We are Now in the Midst of a Recovery” | Pound Ridge NY Real Estate
Two of the nation’s most authoritative national housing price indices today reported significant third quarter price increases over last year at this time, and the chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed that a housing recover is underway.
The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index recorded a 3.6 percent gain in the third quarter of 2012 over the third quarter of 2011, marking the sixth consecutive month of increasing prices. In September 2012, the 10- and 20-City Composites posted annual increases of 2.1percent and 3.0 percent, respectively.
Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) seasonally adjusted purchase-only house price index reported today that deasonally adjusted house prices rose 4.0 percent from the third quarter of 2011 to the third quarter of 2012. FHFA’s seasonally adjusted monthly index for September was up 0.2 percent from August.prices and rose 1.1 percent from the second quarter to the third quarter of 2012.
With significant growth in home prices during the quarter and a modest inventory of homes available for sale, house price movements in the third quarter were similar to what we observed in the spring,” said FHFA Principal Economist Andrew Leventis. “The past year has seen consistent price increases, but a number of factors continue to affect the recovery in home prices such as stagnant income growth, high unemployment levels, lingering uncertainty about the macroeconomy, and the large number of homes in the foreclosure pipeline.”
FHFA’s expanded-data house price index, a metric introduced in August 2011 that adds transactions information from county recorder offices and the Federal Housing Administration to the HPI data sample, rose 1.0 percent over the latest quarter. Over the latest four quarters,the index is up 3.3 percent. For individual states, price changes reflected in the expanded-datameasure and the traditional purchase-only HPI are compared on pages 21-23 of this report.
Average home prices in the S&P/Case-Shiller 10- and 20-City Composites were each up by 0.3 percent in September versus August 2012. Seventeen of the 20 MSAs and both Composites posted better annual returns in September versus August 2012; Detroit and Washington D.C. recorded a slight deceleration in their annual rates, and New York saw no change.
The 10- and 20-City Case-Shiller Composites have posted positive annual returns for four consecutive months with a 2.1 percent and 3.0 percent annual change in September, respectively. Month-over-month, both Composites have recorded increases for six consecutive months, with the most recent monthly gain being 0.3 percent for each Composite.
“In September’s report all three headline composites and 17 of the 20 cities gained over their levels of a year ago. Month-over-month, 13 cities and both Composites posted positive monthly gains. says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices.
“We are entering the seasonally weak part of the year. The headline figures, which are not seasonally adjusted, showed five cities with lower prices in September versus only one in August; in the seasonally adjusted data the pattern was reversed: one city fell in September versus two in August. Despite the seasons, housing continues to improve.
Blitzer said Phoenix continues to lead the recovery with a 20.4 percent annual growth rate. Atlanta has finally reversed 26 months of annual declines with a 0.1 percent annual rate as observed in September’s housing data. At the other end of the spectrum, Chicago and New York were the only two cities to post annual declines of 1.5 percent and 2.3 percent respectively and were also down 0.6 percent and 0.1 percent month-over-month.
“Thirteen of the 20 cities recorded positive monthly returns; Boston, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland and New York saw modest drops in home prices in September as compared to August; Tampa and Washington D.C. were flat. With six months of consistently rising home prices, it is safe to say that we are now in the midst of a recovery in the housing market.”
As of the third quarter of 2012, average home prices across the United States are back at their mid-2003 levels. At the end of the third quarter of 2012, the National Index was up 2.2 percent over the second quarter of 2012 and 3.6% above the third quarter of 2011.
As of September 2012, average home prices across the United States for the 10-City and 20-City Composites are back to their autumn 2003 levels. Measured from their June/July 2006 peaks, the decline for both Composites is approximately 29 percent through September 2012. For both Composites, the September 2012 levels are approximately 9 percent above their recent lows seen in March 2012.
In September 2012, 13 MSAs and both Composites posted positive monthly gains. Home prices in Tampa and Washington DC saw no change from August to September. Boston, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland and New York saw a slight drop in prices in September. Phoenix recorded the highest increase in annual rate, up 20.4% from its September 2011 level. Chicago and New York were the only two cities that fared worse year-over-year with respective annual rates of -1.5% and -2.3 percent.
The table below summarizes the results for September 2012.
2012 Q3 2012 Q3/2012 Q2 2012 Q2/2012 Q1 Level Change (%) Change (%) 1-Year Change (%) U.S. National Index 135.67 2.2% 7.1% 3.6% September 2012 September/August August/July Metropolitan Area Level Change (%) Change (%) 1-Year Change (%) Atlanta 96.06 0.3% 1.8% 0.1% Boston 157.26 -0.6% 0.7% 1.9% Charlotte 116.28 -0.3% 0.6% 3.5% Chicago 116.69 -0.6% 0.7% -1.5% Cleveland 102.10 -0.9% 1.0% 1.4% Dallas 121.57 0.2% 0.1% 4.4% Denver 134.01 0.4% 0.5% 6.7% Detroit 79.82 0.7% 2.1% 7.6% Las Vegas 97.38 1.4% 1.6% 3.8% Los Angeles 174.80 1.0% 1.3% 4.0% Miami 150.24 0.1% 1.0% 7.4% Minneapolis 126.02 1.1% 1.2% 8.8% New York 166.10 -0.1% 0.6% -2.3% Phoenix 120.65 1.1% 1.8% 20.4% Portland 141.10 0.2% 0.5% 3.7% San Diego 160.09 1.4% 0.9% 4.1% San Francisco 143.15 0.5% 0.5% 7.5% Seattle 142.09 0.3% -0.1% 4.8% Tampa 134.90 0.0% 0.4% 5.9% Washington 192.36 0.0% 0.5% 3.2% Composite-10 158.93 0.3% 0.8% 2.1% Composite-20 146.22 0.3% 0.8% 3.0% Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and Fiserv Data through September 2012 Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.
A summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data can be found in the table below.
2012 Q3/2012 Q2 2012 Q2/2012 Q1 NSA SA NSA SA US National 2.2% 1.1% 7.1% 2.4% September/August Change (%) August/July Change (%) Metropolitan Area NSA SA NSA SA Atlanta 0.3% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% Boston -0.6% 0.1% 0.7% 0.5% Charlotte -0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% Chicago -0.6% -0.7% 0.7% -0.1% Cleveland -0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 0.3% Dallas 0.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% Denver 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% Detroit 0.7% 0.4% 2.1% 0.5% Las Vegas 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 0.8% Los Angeles 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% Miami 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% Minneapolis 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 0.4% New York -0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% Phoenix 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% Portland 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% San Diego 1.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.7% San Francisco 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% Seattle 0.3% 0.5% -0.1% -0.2% Tampa 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% Washington 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% Composite-10 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% Composite-20 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and Fiserv Data through September 2012
Where Did the First-time Buyers Go? | Pound Ridge NY Real Estate
With record low interest rates and affordable prices, this was to be the year of the first-time home buyer. Instead, first-timers’ market share has fallen from 39 percent of existing home sales last year to 31 percent in October. What happened?
Asked the Wall Street Journal last May: “It’s been a scary few years for the housing market. But at some point, the nightmare has to end (please?). Is now the time? Should first-time home buyers consider jumping into the market?”
As the year winds down, the answer to those questions, unfortunately, is a resounding no. First-time buyers, who accounted for as much as half of all existing homes purchased at the height of the federal tax credit in 2009 and norm ally account for 40 percent of all sales now have nearly reached the record low of 28 percent recorded in January 2011 when sales plummeted following the expiration of the credit.
Yet these days sales are up while first-timer market share is down. The National Association of Realtors reported September sales rose 2.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.79 million in October from 4.69 million in September, and are 10.9 percent above the 4.32 million-unit level in October 2011.
Investors with deep pockets of cash received a lot of the blame for the tough times many first-timers faced this year, by out-competing them for declining numbers of foreclosures and short sales. Yet NAR’s numbers don’t indicate that investors have not gained at the expense of first time buyers. In October, investors purchased 20 percent of existing homes, up from 18 percent in September; they were 18 percent in October 2011. In fact, investor market share is also at low ebb; last year NAR credited investors with 29 percent of all home purchases.
The vast majority of first-time buyers se financing and fingers have pointed at lenders for the problems that buyers have been having getting financing, but conditions may be improving for borrowers with good credit. Lending standards were tightened dramatically in the years following the housing boom, but very few banks have raised standards since 2010, according to the Federal Reserve’s quarterly Senior Loan Officer Survey. Yesterday Ellie Mae reported that 61.2 percent of purchase loan applications closed in October, the sixth straight month that the closing rate has improved, up from 55.2 percent in April. Moreover, Ellie Mae, which processes 20 percent of all originations, reported that October FHA purchase loans, which are popular with first-time buyers, have a lower average FICO score (700) than all purchase loans (750) and conventional purchase loans (762).
However, FHA’s financial problems have made them more expensive for borrowers and unavailable to hose with marginal credit. Mortgage insurance premiums rose this year and will rise again in January (See FHA Audit Leads to Higher Fees).
Down payments, which rose significantly following the housing crash, are also a barrier to first-time buyers. The days of “no down” loans are over but after rising in 2007 through 2010, down payments actually have declined. The median downpayment made by all homebuyers in 2012 was 9 percent, ranging from 4 percent for first-time buyers to 13 percent for repeat buyers. The median down payment was the lowest since 2009 but still far above the levels during the housing boom, when nearly half of first-time buyers made no downpayment at all. Moreover, dozens of downpayment assistance programs sponsored by state and local housing authorities that provide grants and low interest loans for down payments to qualified applicants have plenty of funding available. Down Payment Resource lists local programs for easy access by borrowers.
There is no doubt the younger workers have suffered more than other age groups in the economic down turn. One result has been a lower rate of household formation, a critical predictor of first-time buyer activity. But according to Catherine Rampell at the New York Times household formation has been picking up. Over the last year, though, household formation has been picking up.
She quotes Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics: “Years’ worth of households that have been pent up will be unleashed in the next few years,” he predicted. “That’s one reason why I’m more optimistic than some other people about G.D.P. growth in the next few years. As we move to the mid-part of the decade, I think those households will get formed and that will power a lot of housing construction and consumption.”
To sum up, 2012 didn’t bring the year of the first-time buyer but it did see competition of with investors in decreasing, financing available with good credit, interest rates still at record lows, easing of down payments, heightened household formation. Perhaps 2013 will bring increased inventories of entry-level homes, higher employment and more new households.
Is the Year of the First-time Buyer yet to come?






