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Cliff Deal Likely To Include Wind Tax Credit, Aides Say | North Salem Realtor
A potential last-minute deal on the fiscal cliff is likely to include an extension of an expiring wind-energy tax credit, according to congressional aides.
The deal taking shape Monday would include tax breaks adopted by the Senate Finance Committee earlier this year, aides with knowledge of the talks said. Among them was a one-year extension of the tax credit, with slight modifications that would allow wind-farm developers to claim the credit for projects that begin construction by Jan. 1, 2014.
As the law currently stands, only projects that are completed and connected to the electricity grid by the end of 2012 can claim the credit.
Aides cautioned that the fiscal-cliff deal and its components weren’t final. Any package agreed to by lead negotiators also would have to be passed by the Senate and House.
President Barack Obama, speaking Monday afternoon about the emerging deal, referred to clean-energy tax credits without mentioning wind power specifically. He said the deal “would extend tax credits for clean-energy companies that are creating jobs and reducing our dependence on foreign oil.”
The cost of extending the wind-energy credit could be about $12 billion over 10 years, according to the Joint Committee on Taxation. Wind energy provides about 3.2% of U.S. electricity.
The tax credit is worth 2.2 cents for every kilowatt hour of electricity generated by a wind farm, so long as the facility is connected to the grid by the expiration date.
The last-minute renewal of the credit would arrive after months of heated battle. Proponents of wind energy, including clean-energy advocates—but also many Republicans from states such as Iowa and Colorado with healthy wind-power sectors—argued that extending the credit was key to preserving 75,000 jobs in the wind-energy business. They said that the expiration of the tax credit would have cost 37,000 jobs.
Opponents say that at a time of fiscal austerity, extending the credit is too expensive. Additionally, critics of wind power say it does little to make electricity generation more environmentally friendly because wind farms require some traditional sources of power as back up.
Power companies had also joined the fray. Exelon Corp., EXC +2.34% one of the largest utilities in the U.S., lobbied not to extend the credit, saying the subsidy distorts electricity prices and makes the company less likely to add new generating capacity.
NextEra Energy Inc., NEE +1.38% the largest U.S. wind generator, pushed to extend the credit.
If the credit is extended, attention would likely turn to ways to modify how the government supports wind energy. One proposal, endorsed by the wind lobby itself, would phase out tax credits over several years, giving the industry a chance to close the cost gap with traditional sources of power while still enjoying some government support.
Another proposal, introduced in Congress last summer, would make it easier for individuals to invest in renewable-energy projects by giving them the same tax treatment—access to master limited partnerships—that oil and gas projects receive. By widening the pool of investors, it could reduce capital costs, which could make renewable energy more competitive with traditional power sources.
The months of uncertainty over the credit’s extension mean that plenty of damage already has been done to the project pipeline and wind energy’s manufacturing base.
Uncertainty surrounding the credit led companies throughout the industry to lay off employees in 2012, from big makers of wind turbines such as Siemens AG SIE.XE -0.59% to small outfits that make some of the 8,000 components that go inside each machine. Also, because wind-farm developers hurried to finish projects in 2012 before the credit expired, a good part of the pipeline for future projects has already been installed, which will further damp the prospects for 2013.
By allowing wind projects that begin construction in 2013 to become eligible, the Senate Finance Committee’s version of the extension would support wind-farm construction over at least the next two years. A one-year extension without that modification would have been essentially useless, given that it can take between 12 and 24 months to build a wind farm.
Impact of proposed tax increase for high earners would be marginal | North Salem NY Real Estate
Editor’s note: This story has been updated to clarify that under the Obama administration’s proposed revisions to income tax rates, taxpayers in the highest tax bracket would not only pay a higher marginal tax rate on income above $398,350, but would also be affected by proposed adjustments to the lower brackets and other changes.
The Republicans in Congress and President Obama are in the process of fighting World War III over tax rates for upper-income taxpayers.
The president wants to raise rates on taxpayers earning more than $250,000 per year. The Republicans introduced a plan, later withdrawn, to increase rates only on those earning more than $1 million per year.
With all this going on, now is a good time to understand the term “marginal tax rate,” because that is what all the fighting is about.
It sounds complicated, but it’s actually very simple: Your marginal tax rate is the tax you pay on your next dollar of income. For example, if your marginal tax rate is 28 percent and you earn $1,000 this week, you’ll owe $280 in federal income tax.
It’s important to understand that your marginal tax rate applies only to your next dollar of income, not all your income.
Thus, a person with a 28 percent marginal tax rate would not pay a 28 percent tax on all of his income. As shown in the table below, in 2012 a single taxpayer would pay a 10 percent tax on his first $8,7000 in income, a 15 percent tax up to $35,350, and a 25 percent tax up to $86,650. The 28 percent rate would apply only on taxable income over $85,650.
So a single taxpayer with a taxable income of $90,000 in 2012 would pay his 28 percent marginal tax rate on only a tiny sliver of his income: $4,350. This would amount to $130.50 in additional taxes (3 percent of $4,350).
Tax rate
Taxable income if single Taxable income if married, filing jointly The Republicans in Congress would like to extend the 2012 rates into 2013 and later. However, President Obama disagrees. His proposal, shown in the following chart, would preserve the 2012 rates for most taxpayers, except for single people earning more than $203,600 or married taxpayers who make more than $247,000. These taxpayers would have higher top brackets.
Obama’s proposed 2013 tax rates
Tax rate
Single Married, filing jointly The crucial point is this: When we’re talking about raising taxes on people earning over $398,350 from a marginal tax rate of 35 percent to 39.6 percent, as President Obama has proposed, the 39.6 percent rate will only apply to income over $398,351.
So a person with $399,351 in income would pay a total tax of $396 on his last $1,000 in income instead of $350 under the old rates — a difference of $46. However, because of adjustments to the lower brackets and other changes, such a taxpayer would pay a total additional tax of $6,513 on all his taxable income under the Obama plan.
It hardly seems worth it to bring the U.S. government to a grinding halt to prevent such a relatively minor increase in taxes on high earners.
Talk of big changes at FHA may be just that — for now | North Salem NY Real Estate
Editor’s note: After this story was written, Sen. Bob Corker announced that the Federal Housing Administration has committed to several changes to FHA mortgage programs. In return, Corker says he will support Acting FHA Commissioner Carol J. Galante’s nomination to be FHA commissioner (see Inman News story).
Corker released a letter from Galante, who promised FHA would “move on” several policy changes by Jan. 31, 2013:
- Increase underwriting criteria for borrowers with FICO scores between 580 and 620 by establishing a maximum debt-to-income ratio.
- Increase the down payment requirement and the insurance pricing for loans between $625,000 and $729,000 to protect FHA against loss on high balance loans that are outside Fannie and Freddie conforming loan limits and scale back the government’s footprint in the housing market.
- Place a moratorium on the full drawdown reverse mortgage program to assess its viability after $2.8 billion in losses.
In her letter to Corker, a Tennessee Republican, Galante said FHA is finalizing a letter to lenders that will require borrowers with FICO scores below 620 to have a total debt-to-income ratio of no more than 43 percent to be eligible for processing through FHA’s automated underwriting system, TOTAL Scorecard. Borrowers with DTIs exceeding 43 percent will have to be processed manually, with lenders documenting compensating factors such as a larger down payment or higher level of reserves.
Galante said FHA will raise the minimum down payment on loans between $625,500 to $729,000 from 3.5 percent to 5 percent. Since June, FHA has been pricing mortgage insurance premiums for loans in that range at 150 basis points, instead of 125 basis points. Another premium increase announced in November will raise the premiums to 155 basis points — the maximum currently allowed by law.
The combination of higher down payment requirements and increased mortgage insurance premiums is aimed at scaling back the FHA’s market share of those loans.
The original story appears below:
Imagine the implications for housing markets if any of the following changes to FHA mortgage programs were made in the months ahead:
- Minimum FICO scores for new applicants get raised to 620 from the current 580 for all borrowers.
- Maximum loan limits in high-cost areas are reduced to $625,500 from the current $729,750, or limits are cut to pre-recession levels across the board.
- The entire reverse mortgage (“HECM”) program, which dominates the U.S. market, is shut down for two years.
- A minimum 20 percent down payment is required for anyone seeking an FHA loan within seven years of a foreclosure. Today the standard is three years following foreclosure to qualify for a new loan with a 3.5 percent down payment.
You might assume that drastic changes like these would be long shots under the current administration, but think again. More than a few eyebrows were raised when HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan told a Senate committee hearing earlier this month that he was either already considering each of these options, or at least open to doing so.
Huh? Haven’t two consecutive heads of FHA — former Commissioner David Stevens and Acting Commissioner Carol J. Galante — defended the 580 FICO limit for low down payment borrowers, and in fact urged lenders to be more open to such applicants, especially those whose low scores are attributable to recession-era job losses and other unforeseen economic jolts?
Absolutely. So it was a bit of a surprise to hear Donovan tell Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) that raising the FICO minimum “is something we are actually looking at. I think it is likely that we take additional steps” on scores as the Obama administration puts together its upcoming budget. “I agree that we need to be looking at perhaps adjusting on the FICO side.”
Donovan also told Corker that FHA is “working on changes” to the three-year minimum time period before applicants who had been foreclosed upon could obtain an FHA loan.
On loan limits, he said he’s in total agreement with Corker that they should be lowered, scaling back FHA’s maximums to where they were before the first economic stimulus legislation passed in 2008.
As to the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) reverse mortgage program, Donovan stopped short of endorsing a moratorium on new loans, but said “we do believe we need to make changes” in the program. “We could … create a moratorium,” he said, but only at the cost of “eliminating an option for some seniors” who need to pull cash from their homes.
Following the hearing, HUD officials declined to elaborate further on Donovan’s remarks or on any immediate plans for FHA policy changes. In fairness, Donovan qualified several of his remarks during the hearing.
On FICO scores, he said that the agency continues to believe that some lenders have “overcorrected” in their underwriting by placing high “overlays” — extra fees — on FHA borrowers with scores below the lenders’ own requirements, which tend to be 40 to 60 points higher than FHA’s minimum.
On the issue of the post-foreclosure wait period, he added that what’s needed most is clearer criteria on which applicants represent low risks to the agency, and therefore should qualify for the three-year minimum, and those who represent higher risks. “I would agree that our (current) standards are not clear enough” to accomplish this, Donovan said.
Regarding the HECM program, Donovan also noted that his preference would be to make structural changes that would limit future insurance fund losses, rather than totally shutting it down through a two-year moratorium. In the recent annual independent actuarial report on FHA’s financial status, reverse mortgages accounted for an outside $2.8 billion of the agency’s $16 trillion-plus projected shortfall in reserves.
So what are we to make of Donovan’s remarks to the Senate banking committee? Is FHA pursuing some of this stuff for 2013? Or are other factors at work here behind the scenes?
It’s definitely more of the latter than the former.
HUD has been waiting all year for Congress to pass legislation called the FHA Emergency Fiscal Solvency Act of 2012 (HR 4264), a bill that would give the agency more latitude to raise premiums when loan vintages go sour, strengthen its ability to claw back money from lenders who don’t follow underwriting guidelines, and give it other powers HUD feels it needs to reduce losses and raise reserves.
The House passed the bill in September with strong bipartisan majorities, but the Senate hasn’t taken action. If it doesn’t, the bill dies Dec. 31 at the end of the current congressional session. The Senate also hasn’t voted on the long-pending nomination of Galante to be the FHA commissioner. Donovan badly wants both.
But Republican hardliners in the Senate, including Corker, think the House-passed FHA bill doesn’t go far enough, and they potentially stand in the way of its enactment during the remaining days of this month. Corker has sponsored an amendment calling for a 620 FICO minimum, a two-year reverse mortgage shutdown, lower loan limits and 20 percent down payments for mortgage applicants who experienced a foreclosure during the preceding seven years.
Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson (D-S.D.), on the other hand, wants to rush the FHA bill to a floor vote without amendments, which would preclude consideration of the Corker amendment. That’s why the colloquy he had with Donovan might open the door both to passage of the FHA reforms, plus an understanding that HUD would take a hard look at Corker’s proposed changes in 2013.
How all this works out is still up in the air. The Senate is preoccupied with weighty end-of-the-year battles over the “fiscal cliff” and other issues. Sen. Johnson may not be able to rush the bill to the floor without amendments.
But one way or the other, Donovan’s on-the-record public agreements to “work with” Corker and the Republicans on credit scores, loan limits, HECMs and down payments post-foreclosure could have important impacts on FHA customers in 2013 and beyond.
Could increased consumer confidence mean fewer renters? | North Salem Real Estate
Don’t let conflicting inspections kill your sale | North Salem NY Real Estate
The Foreclosure Iceberg is Slowly Melting | North Salem NY Real Estate
The shadow and visible inventories of foreclosures accumulated during the processing slowdown in the wake of the Robogate scandal are slowing shrinking, absorbed by healthy demand so health that distress sales are actually rising faster on a national basis that full-priced homes.
CoreLogic reported Monday that October prices that exclude distress sales rose only 5.8 percent while prices that include distressed sales increased on a year-over-year basis by 6.3 percent in October 2012, the biggest increase since June 2006 and the eighth consecutive increase in home prices nationally.
In a separate report, CoreLogic said that despite the demand only 58,000 foreclosures were completed in October, a year-over-year decrease of 17 percent and a decrease of 25 percent from September.
There are still 1.3 million foreclosures in the visible inventory, a decline of only 13 percent from a year ago, when there were 1.5 million backlogged in the final months before the AG settlement was reached. Some 3.9 million foreclosures that have been completed since the housing crisis began in September 2008.
With demand strong and new standards in place, the pace of foreclosure completions could pick up next year. Where this will happen is very import to investors. As time passes, the differences between markets in judicial and non-judicial states continue to increase, and a handful of markets, largely in the Midwest and Northeast, today are the hotbeds of foreclosure activity
Here’s how CoreLogic sees the geography of foreclosure completions:
- The five states with the highest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 months ending in October 2012 were: California (105,000), Florida (95,000), Michigan (68,000), Texas (59,000) and Georgia (54,000).These five states account for 49.0 percent of all completed foreclosures nationally.
- The five states with the lowest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 months ending in October 2012 were: South Dakota (19), District of Columbia (64), Hawaii (452), North Dakota (511) and Maine (643).
- The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of all mortgaged homes were: Florida (11.1 percent), New Jersey (7.7 percent), New York (5.3 percent), Illinois (5.0 percent) and Nevada (4.8 percent).
- The five states with the lowest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of all mortgaged homes were: Wyoming (0.5 percent), Alaska (0.7 percent), North Dakota (0.7 percent), Nebraska (0.8 percent) and South Dakota (1.0 percent).







