Category Archives: Pound Ridge
US housing construction up 15 percent in September | North Salem NY Real Estate
U.S. builders started construction on single-family homes and apartments in September at the fastest rate since July 2008, a further indication that the housing recovery is strengthening.
The Commerce Department said Wednesday that builders broke ground on homes at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 872,000 in September. That’s an increase of 15 percent from the August level.
Applications for building permits, a good sign of future construction, jumped nearly 12 percent to an annual rate of 894,000, also the highest since July 2008.
The strength in September came from both single-family construction, which rose 11 percent, and apartments, which increased 25.1 percent.
Construction activity is now 82.5 percent higher than the recession low hit in April 2009. Activity is still well below the roughly 1.5 million rate that is consistent with healthier markets.
Still, the surge in construction suggests builders believe the housing rebound is durable.
Builder confidence reached at a six-year high this month, according to a survey by the National Association of Home Builders. The group’s index of builder sentiment rose to a reading of 41. While that’s still below the level of 50 that signals a healthy market, it has steadily climbed over the past year from a reading of 17.
Sales of new and previously owned homes have been slowly improving this year, and home prices are starting to show consistent gains.
Record-low mortgage have encouraged more people to buy. And the Federal Reserve’s aggressive policies could push long-term interest rates even lower, making home-buying affordable for the foreseeable future.
Housing is expected to keep improving next year. But many economists say economic growth will stay muted until companies step up hiring and consumers start spending more.
Though new homes represent less than 20 percent of the housing sales market, they have an outsize impact on the economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to data from the home builders group.
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Holds Steady | South Salem NY Real Estate
Mortgage rates for 30-year fixed mortgages remained flat this week, with the current rate borrowers were quoted on Zillow Mortgage Marketplace at 3.26 percent, unchanged from this same time last week.
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate hovered between 3.18 and 3.28 percent for the majority of the week, dropping to the current rate this morning.
“Last week, rates moved down slightly after the weak jobs report but remained essentially flat after Monday’s stronger-than-expected retail sales figures,” said Erin Lantz, director of Zillow Mortgage Marketplace. “Although this is a fairly busy week for U.S. economic data, we expect rates to remain in this low range as the market awaits the European Union Summit on Thursday and looks for positive news that might offset renewed uncertainty about the health of the European economy.”
Additionally, the 15-year fixed mortgage rate this morning was 2.64 percent, and for 5/1 ARMs, the rate was 2.59 percent.
What are the rates right now? Check Zillow Mortgage Marketplace for up-to-the-minute mortgage rates for your state.
*The weekly rate chart illustrates the average 30-year fixed interest rate in six-hour intervals.
How Much Income Do You Need To Buy A House? | Pound Ridge NY Real Estate
If you’re in the market for a new home, chances are you’ll have to compromise at some point along the way. Maybe you’ll have to commute a little farther than you’d like in order to get the best value for your money. Or perhaps you’ll forgo a huge backyard to be closer to the city.
And when it comes to finances, you might find a disparity between how much house you want and how much house you can purchase given your gross monthly income and other factors.
Home loans are made against your ability to repay. While the mortgage loan is secured against the house, it is really made against your income. That’s what mortgage lenders look for — income to offset liabilities.
Simply put, the amount of income you need to purchase a house will vary by your payment comfort level, including any other monthly debt obligations you might have.
Important terms
Mortgage payment: Principal, interest, property taxes insurance and mortgage insurance, if needed
Consumer debts: Minimum payment obligations on things such as auto loans, credit cards, student loans, personal loans and installment loans
Other debt obligations: Alimony and/or child support or any other court-ordered repayment obligations
Running the math
Here’s a simple formula to calculate the amount of income you’ll need to purchase a home:
Target mortgage payment + consumer debts ÷ .36 = Gross monthly income needed to qualify
Most lenders limit your debt-to-income ratio (how much of your monthly income pays debt) to between 36 percent and 45 percent. While the exact ratio varies by lender and loan type, it’s best to base your calculations on the lower end to ensure that you won’t overextend yourself financially.
So, if your target mortgage payment is $2,000 per month and you have consumer debts of $300 per month, you will need $6,388 gross monthly income to offset your housing expenses and consumer obligations.
Down payment
Your down payment is another important factor in determining how much income you’ll need to buy a home.
Consider the following loan scenario using a purchase price of $300,000 (assuming no other debts) and the current rates on Zillow Mortgage Marketplace.
Conventional loan
- Down payment: 5 percent ($15,000)
- Interest rate: 3.26 percent
- Approximate mortgage payment: $1,770
- Gross monthly income needed: $4,916
So at the end of the day how much income you need to purchase a home is predicated on your monthly income, consumer debt obligations and down payment.
Impact of debt
For every dollar of debt, you will need double that in income. So if you have a $300 car payment, you’ll need at least $600 per month or more in income to offset that debt.
Debt erodes income, and less income translates to less purchasing power.
So, does buying a home make sense?
Yes, so long as the amount you can borrow from Personal Loan Lenders for your desired purchase price is in sync with your debt obligations and, of course, your down payment.
Celebrities and the wealthy find ways to keep home sales secret | Pound Ridge Real Estate
Madonna is selling her Beverly Hills estate, but she doesn’t want you to know about it.
The sinewy singer is asking $28 million for the 16,500-square-foot, French-Normandy-style mansion. You won’t find it, however, on the Multiple Listing Service, Realtor.com or other online marketplaces. Her real estate agent is quietly shopping it among a select network of Los Angeles-area brokers with deep-pocket clients.
This velvet-rope tactic, known as a “pocket listing,” is being used more and more by celebrities and the wealthy in this TMZ age, say real estate agents specializing in high-end properties. Listing publicly just invites paparazzi mischief. With word-of-mouth marketing, there’s no for-sale sign on the front lawn or snoops traipsing through open houses.
Actress Meg Ryan and billionaire venture capitalist Peter Thiel are among the wide-ranging contingent that has bought or sold through pocket listings in the last year.
Also fueling the pursuit of privacy, experts say, is the change in the economy.
The well-to-do have a stronger sense of needing to protect themselves and raise the drawbridge on the details of their lives, said clinical psychologist Stephen Goldbart, the coauthor of “Affluence Intelligence.”
A recent convert to pocket listings is Randy Phillips, chief executive of concert-promotion powerhouse AEG Live, who sold a house late last year outside the MLS. The gated estate he had renovated in Beverly Hills went for $15.5 million, more than Phillips expected to get.
“It’s the only way to sell a great house,” said Phillips, who has a passion for restoring homes. “Once it’s in the MLS, it ages like bread on a shelf.”
Pocket listings have become the signature niche of Ben Bacal of Sotheby’s International Realty in the Hollywood Hills, who estimates about 70% of his business comes from such deals. He worked with Phillips on his sale and sold several other multimillion-dollar houses in Beverly Hills that way.
Bacal plans to expand his role with the launch of an exclusive agent platform for pocket listings. His website already boasts “pocket lister” in anticipation of its start in January.
“It’s a more sensible, low-key way to sell,” he said, and keep a transaction “hush-hush.”
For Matt Pernice of NW Real Estate Brokers in Manhattan Beach, pocket listings are flourishing, making up to a third of all deals in the South Bay communities of Manhattan Beach and Hermosa Beach. The beach cities are popular with professional athletes and the occasional actor because the ritzy coastal location is close to Los Angeles International Airport and the Lakers‘ and Kings’ training facilities in El Segundo.
Pernice also markets the benefits of pocket listings on his website as a buying tool for finding the best homes in a low-inventory market as well as a way to create a layer of privacy.
Some sellers don’t want a sign in the ground, Pernice said. “They don’t want the neighbors to know.”
Beyond pocket listings, a traditional way for well-heeled property owners to shield their identities is to buy real estate in the name of a trust.
A trust name can be whatever the buyer wants. Pernice has seen an increase in the use of Asian trust names among celebrities, perhaps hoping to blend into the sea of international buyers in the Los Angeles housing market.
Not all stars have managed to keep a low profile. Singer Britney Spears‘ use of the Love Shack Trust to buy and sell houses — including the sale this year of her Italian Renaissance-inspired villa in Studio City for $4.253 million — attracted attention because it was so specific.
“You want generic names,” said Jim Cody, managing director for estate, trust and philanthropy services at the national firm Harris myCFO. “The more general the name, the better. When you Google that name you are going to get millions of hits.”
But even mundane names can lose the cloak of invisibility. Nicolas Cage‘s Hancock Park Real Estate Trust became commonly known when he lost his Bel-Air trophy home to tax problems.
In recent years, many wealthy real estate buyers have turned to limited liability companies, Cody said. That legal entity limits an owner’s liability and, like a trust, can use a fictitious name.
Canada housing market cools as household debt grows | North Salem NY Real Estate
September home prices jump as Bay Area housing market shows strength | South Salem NY Homes
Learn How Mobile Will Change Media Forever | Pound Ridge NY Homes
How to convince buyers they’re getting a bargain | North Salem Real Estate
As we discussed last week, the fields of behavioral economics and behavioral finance were created in the hopes of gaining a better understanding of how real people make financial decisions in real life.
Fortunately for all of us, these fields — which draw from the behavioral sciences, economics and personal finance — have generated some findings that are anything but academic. These findings include some powerful insights for those of us trying to make decisions about buying and selling our homes.
Following on last week’s top four behavioral economics insights for homebuyers, here are a handful of the field’s top takeaways for sellers, to help manage your own mindset and to optimize the way you market your home to buyers:
1. Don’t let overconfidence lead to overpricing. Real estate agents are the only commissioned salespeople I know of who, as a general rule, spend much of their time trying to talk their clients down in pricing their product. Why? Because real estate agents know that listing a home at too high a price causes unnecessary woe, drama and failure. Set the listing price too high, and a home will lag on the market, attracting lowball offers. The end result is often a price reduction, or even (worst case) the home doesn’t sell at all.
Overpricing can result from the same overconfidence and overoptimism that causes buyers to make lowball offers on great homes in a hot market and inspires investors to day trade, erroneously thinking they have superhuman stock picking skills. In fact, when you study up on successful amateur day traders, it becomes clear that what they have is less innate skill and more the willingness to voraciously, constantly research the companies and the markets — many, for hours every single day. Many have also placed rules on themselves specifically to counter their own human emotions and irrational tendencies.
And that’s precisely how home sellers can and should deactivate overconfidence when it comes to pricing: Commit to the exercise of sitting down with your agent and poring over the data about what’s going on in your market, the data about what homes have recently sold for in your area, even the data on how long it takes the average home in your market to sell and what the list price-to-sale price ratios are in your area.
It takes time and discipline, but while you’re looking through the comps, your agent can show you the potential rewards: Every market has well-priced, well-marketed homes that sell quickly.
2. Understand the endowment effect. Lest you think, like so many do, that the above point is great for all those other clueless sellers, but certainly doesn’t apply to your innate, uncanny eye for knowing what homes are truly worth, allow me to introduce you to a little something called the endowment effect. Behavioral economist Dan Ariely explains it as follows:
“Simply put, the endowment effect shows that we value the things we own more than identical products that we don’t own. This causes a mismatch between buyers and sellers, where buyers are often willing to spend less than the seller deems an acceptable price.”
Just knowing that what you think is your personal prowess for price-setting is actually a thought fallacy that researchers have known about for years might help you stay committed to making your pricing decision based on the data rather than your fallible gut.
3. Consider offering rebates and credits. Beyond using behavioral econ and finance knowledge to optimize your own decisions, smart sellers can take clues from these fields as to how to max out their marketing to buyers. One such clue is this: Offer rebates, or closing-cost credits.
Retailers and big brands have long known that offering a rebate makes buyers feel better — and less hesitant — about making a purchase, giving them the sense that they will get a bonus or a gift for spending.
This same effect applies with real estate: If you can price your home competitively with similar, nearby listings and offer a closing-cost credit to the eventual buyer, you boost your home’s attractiveness and ability to compete with other listings considerably, reducing the amount of cash a buyer will have to bring in to close the sale and making it that much easier for a buyer to get off the fence.
4. Tell prospective buyers a story. The Atlantic recently did a deep dive into consumer implications of behavioral economics. The article revealed that buyers are more inclined to make purchases where the circumstances of the marketing actually tell the buyers a story that makes them feel like they are getting a bargain, as happened when Williams-Sonoma put a $500 bread maker next to a $300 one and realized that no one bought the expensive one, but sales of the lower-priced machine doubled because of the deal people thought they were getting.
I’m going to take this one further: Don’t just tell a story to make buyers feel like they are getting a good deal when they’re not. But do provide materials to tell buyers the story of the deal they are getting: Keep a binder in the property with the competitive comparables that you believe your home is priced well against. Market your home with photos and descriptions that surface the value your home holds compared to the competition.
And don’t stop there: Stage your home in a way that tells your buyers the story of the life they could lead in your home, whatever that ideal life is for the average buyer who wants a home like yours. And consider writing a love letter about your home and your neighborhood, telling buyers the story of how well loved the home was, and creating a compelling sense of well-being around it.
How Evil Is Your Smartphone? | South Salem NY Homes
In a recent post, ReadWriteWeb’s Adam Popescu vowed to boycott Apple due to its association with Foxconn, the Taiwanese contract manufacturer infamous for sowing despair among its workers. Reading the article, I had to ask myself: Did the maker of my smartphone – a RIM BlackBerry – also help drive workers to suicide? Did it release toxic pollutants into the environment or fuel wars in places far away from its head offices? So I set about looking for the world’s most ethical smartphone. What I learned surprised me.
Participants in the comment thread below Popescu’s article were quick to point out the many electronic products that can be traced to Foxconn. The company’s factories churn out devices for Amazon, Microsoft, and Samsung. In a related Skype chat, ReadWriteWeb editor Ted Greenwald commented that there are no ethical gadgets, period; their manufacture and use are not sustainable, he argued.
Okay, maybe there are no ethical smartphones. But some must be better than others, right?
Ethical Consumer, a UK organisation “researching and recording the social and environmental records of companies” since 1989, is a leader in evaluating products for their impact on human rights, animal rights, the environment, and other factors that might fall under the heading “ethics”. Its report on smartphones isn’t very positive, in general. It awards points from a possible score of 20, and nobody scores more than 10.5.
That said, I was happy to find that my BlackBerry appeared near the top of the heap, just below Amplicom (a maker of cordless phones that doesn’t offer a smartphone as far as I can tell.)
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BlackBerry fell considerably short – behind Apple, Nokia, Toshiba, LG and Samsung – in waste management and the level of toxins in the production process. RIM never filed an environmental report, so Ethical Consumer gave the company a 0 in those areas. BlackBerry’s failures in the green category, however, were enough to bouy its score compared to that of other mobile manufacturers.
The 38 page report by Ethical Consumer is extensive, and includes goodies like: Samsung has ties to human rights abuses in the Congo – as does Toshiba, Motorola and Sony – and Sony has raised flags among animals rights groups for abuses including killing a goat at a promotional party. Several female Nokia factory workers in Thailand had to be hospitalized for severe lead poisoning in 2006, after they were told lead wasn’t harmful. Workers had to buy their own protective gear, like gloves and face masks, and were told to drink a carton of milk a day to remove the birth-defect causing toxin from their bodies. (Milk does not, in fact, help you pee out lead.)
CrackBerry Supports Human Rights
If we are judging how ethical a smartphone is based on its treatment of workers, BlackBerry is near the top. Incidentally, RIM’s report is surprisingly free of negative human rights indicators: no riots, no illnesses, nothing. The worst things about RIM, according to Ethical Consumer, was its failure to file an environmental report and that it had a factory in a repressive regime, namly China.
RIM has (or used to have) factories in Canada, United States, Hungary, Brazil, Asia, and Mexico, where my BlackBerry says it was made in. After a casual disassembly, the small electronic parts in my phone reveal they come from China or Korea, but further information on exactly where and what factory is hard to find, as RIM is notorious for its lack of transparency. According to a 2009 Bloomberg article, “RIM’s five biggest suppliers account for almost 90 percent of its production costs,” suppliers that operate mostly in China. BlackBerry still beats the Android and especially Apple on this factory issue, however, because riots and suicides at RIM factories are unheard of (so far).
Due to declining profits, RIM recently shut down one factory in Canada and one in Hungary, countries with strict labor laws and therefore high wages and good working conditions. There is nothing to indicate that RIM’s failure to dominate the market like it once did is due to its adherence to fair labor laws. Rather, RIM’s decline is a result of mismanagement and lack of innovation leading to low demand.
If RIM Can Do It, Why Can’t Apple?
Apple and its Android competitors don’t have RIM’s problems. So why are they still relying on Foxconn? Apple is incredibly profitable – reputedly the most profitable company of all time.
Apple set the smartphone standard and turned us into a touchscreen society. Why can’t it set the standard in labor conditions? Sources in the know say Apple would love to have its factories closer to home anyway to keep an eye on quality control. According to Ethical Consumer, Apple has been providing unsafe conditions to its overseas factory workers since 2008 and using factories in 10 countries classified as “oppressive regimes” since 2006.
Until Apple moves its manufacturing operations closer to home and/or makes a commitment to setting high standards for its labor practices, I will keep using and loving my BlackBerry despite ridicule from the Apple snobs and Android fanatics. I eagerly await RIM’s upcoming BlackBerry 10 phones.
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