Category Archives: Chappaqua
10 States With High Foreclosure Savings | Cross River Real Estate
Housing Market Propels Economy | Cross River Realtor
The U.S. housing market, which plunged the economy into recession five years ago and was a persistent drag on the recovery, is now a key economic driver at a time when other sectors are slowing.
Economists project U.S. gross domestic product growth will slow in the final three months of the year from the sluggish 2% annual rate in the third quarter. Businesses, unnerved by the prospect of federal tax increases and spending cuts known as the “fiscal cliff” taking effect in January, have slowed their pace of investment spending. Defense spending also is expected to slow, further weighing on growth.
But while those economic pillars weaken, an improving housing market is buoying consumers’ spirits and giving the economy its biggest lift since the real-estate boom. Macroeconomic Advisers projects the economy will grow at a 1.4% annual rate in the fourth quarter, with housing contributing 0.4 percentage point. IHS Global Insight is projecting a 1% growth rate, with housing contributing 0.53 of a percentage point—the largest contribution since 2005.
“Housing seems unfazed by the uncertainty that is plaguing other parts of the economy,” said Ben Herzon, an economist with Macroeconomic Advisers.
The real-estate recovery is just beginning, of course, and housing’s role in the overall economy remains diminished by five years of rising foreclosures and falling prices. New loans aren’t easy to come by as lenders grapple with distressed mortgages. Millions of homeowners owe more than their property is worth. Still, housing’s steady improvement is “going to offset some of the slowdown in manufacturing, and it is one of the reasons we think we’re likely not to see a double-dip recession,” said Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae FNMA -1.79% .
Home prices rose 3.6% in September from a year ago, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller National Index out Tuesday. Prices are up 7% through the first nine months of 2012, which is the strongest rise since 2005 and puts prices on a trajectory to beat even the most optimistic forecasts from earlier this year. The gains also are broad-based, with the 20 cities tracked by the Case-Shiller index—except Chicago and New York—showing year-over-year gains.
The housing turnaround has been a boon for real-estate brokers and home builders, some of whom have seen their stock prices more than double this year. Retailers have seen a new stream of customers ready to decorate, furnish and upgrade their homes while investors are splashing out at hardware stores to renovate previously foreclosed homes. Banks, meantime, have posted record mortgage profits amid high refinance volumes and stronger demand for new loans.
Beyond those direct benefits are a number of indirect effects. Rising home values make homeowners feel better about their finances—making them more likely to spend and, with interest rates low, more comfortable about taking on debt. An index of confidence released Tuesday by the Conference Board rose to 73.7 in November, the highest level since February 2008.
“Housing’s share belies its importance to the economy,” said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank DBK.XE +2.32% . “The confidence effects are massive.”
Rising home prices are making consumers feel flush, which may eventually spur them to spend more: New home-equity lines of credit are projected to grow by 22% this year to $77 billion, a three-year high, according to Moody’s MCO -1.18% Analytics. “We can start to see the housing market as an assist to our growth rather than an anchor,” said Frank Blake, chief executive of retailer Home Depot Inc. HD -0.34% on an earnings call this month.
Rising home values have given Clara Soh confidence about her finances—and she is spending accordingly. The 35-year-old senior director at a pharmaceuticals trade group has spent the past five years saving more and spending less. With interest rates low, she recently refinanced a Portland, Ore., home that she has been renting out since her recent move to Washington, D.C. That lowered her payment by $300 a month—while the home has gained $100,000 in value. Now she plans to pay off her 30-year mortgage early and splurge a little: She recently spent $300 on clothes, $1,000 on climbing gear, and $700 on a new bike. “I feel a little more confident about the direction things are going. I have a little more of a cushion,” she said.
While rising prices now are driving the housing market forward, that couldn’t have happened without a painful cycle of losses. Lower prices and rock-bottom interest rates have boosted affordability. The average monthly mortgage payment on a median-price home in October, assuming a 10% down payment, fell to $720 at prevailing rates, down from nearly $1,270 at the end of 2005.
Rising rents and an uptick in household formation have ignited demand, which, in turn, has pushed inventories of homes for sale to their lowest level in at least a decade. The upshot: More buyers are chasing fewer homes, pushing up prices.
“Consumers are trying to find a house to buy and they can’t,” said Ivy Zelman, chief executive of research firm Zelman & Associates. In Phoenix, Maracay Homes WY 0.00% sold out four of its 12 developments this year and will add 10 new ones over the next six months. At Whispering Heights, a Maracay development in Chandler, Ariz., that courts move-up buyers with homes priced from $250,000, the company sold as many as 10 homes a month, up from three a month last year. They sold out in October.
Out-of-sync mortgage laws create housing recovery hurdle | Chappaqua NY Homes
5 Tips on Getting More Traffic To Your Site | Cross River Real Estate
Are You Defining Your Niche Properly? | Cross River Realtor
When I started my blog, I made the mistake of not defining my niche well enough.
In fact, I defined it with one word: “coding.”
Defining the niche my blog targeted with one word was never going to be enough. Perhaps for the pioneers of the internet it was okay, but in this day and age, with millions of websites in the competition, you need more than a one-word topic name for a niche.
I can’t emphasize how important it is to define your niche. You need to be able to know the focus of your blog inside out, what makes it so great and how it’s different from every other blog. A one word simply isn’t enough.
I didn’t know this when starting my blog. But when it did dawn on me, I knew I needed to change. I overhauled my About page, I changed my tagline, and I generally wasted a lot of time deciding on what the heck my site was about.
Luckily for me, the site was still new and unknown, and I doubt a single person noticed my change of focus, but this was time I could have spent building great content and promoting my blog.
I hope that you can learn from my mistakes. So here are the main things you need to think about when defining your niche.
Choose an audience, not a topic
This was the first mistake I made. When you decided what your blog was going to be about, did you choose a topic like business, blogging, or photography? Or in my case, coding?
I did. And it wasn’t long before I realized it wasn’t going to work. Coding is a hugely broad topic, and I had no idea who I was writing for. Beginners? Experienced coders? What kind of coding were they interested in? What needs did they have that I could address?
I didn’t even know my own blog! My blog posts were lacking purpose. They weren’t targeting anyone, they weren’t addressing any needs. No wonder no one was reading them!
Think of all the successful blogs you know. ProBlogger, Digital Photography School, Zen Habits. They don’t just blog about a topic, they’re aimed at a specific audience.
Coding was a weak topic. But those who are learning to write code and want to apply their skills to real projects—now that’s a very clearly defined audience.
Lessons
- Don’t write about something, write for someone.
- Know the focus of your blog, inside out.
- With every blog post you write, ask yourself: what’s the purpose of this blog post and how does it address my audience’s needs?
Differentiate your blog from every other
When I was deciding on my clearly defined audience, there was one big thing I had in mind. How was my blog going to be different from all the rest?
If you’re blogging about blogging, you’re competing with ProBlogger. If you’re blogging about photography, you’re competing with Digital Photography School. If you’re blogging about coding like I am, you’re competing with Tuts+ and SitePoint.
How do you expect to stand out from the pack? You simply don’t stand a chance. Unless you differentiate your blog.
Here’s a little exercise Derek Halpern taught me. Identify the top ten blogs in your niche and for each one, explain how it is unique from all the others. Now decide how your blog can fit in amongst that top ten, with its own unique spin.
In my case, I decided that my blog was going to be focused on coding in the “real world”—guiding people along their learn to code journey, while also helping them apply their skills to real projects.
Lessons
- Identify how your blog is different from all the others in your niche and how it can compete.
- Ideally, choose a unique spin that no other blog shares.
Where do you want your blog to be in a year?
Knowing how you want your blog to grow is something that’s extremely helpful for defining your niche. It’s not as important as the previous two points, but it really does help.
Think about what kind of things you’ll be selling, what components there will be on your website, even how you want your site to look and be designed.
For me, I decided that in a year’s time I wanted to be selling WordPress themes and plugins on my website. So, to prepare for this, I now have a WordPress category in my blog which I add to regularly.
I also know that I want my website to be known as a supportive community for coders. Just knowing this gives me a better idea of what kind of content to add to my blog today.
Lessons
- Have an idea in your head of what your blog will be when it’s fully mature.
- Think about how it will make money, what it will be known for, and how it will look.
- Use this insight to gain a better idea of what to focus your blog on today.
Strengthen your blog’s foundation
It doesn’t matter whether your blog is already established or not. Websites are dynamic—you can change them at any time. So take this advice: laser define your niche and strengthen your blog’s foundation.
What niche does your blog focus on? Tell us in the comments—and no one-word answers please!
Home Buyers To Face Higher New Construction Prices In 2013 | Cross River Homes
Appraisals | Bedford Hills
When Cris Robinson put her Rancho Santa Margarita, Calif., townhouse on the market earlier this year, she noticed that the only nearby homes selling were foreclosures and short sales.
“There wasn’t a single standard sale to (compare) me with,” said Robinson, an equity seller.
Robinson said a buyer offered to pay $317,000, but the appraisal came in at $310,000 — the price at which another home in the neighborhood recently sold. That townhouse was the same model, Robinson said, but it was distressed and needed work. By contrast, her own place had thousands of dollars in custom upgrades, including travertine floors.
A homeowner looking askance at an appraisal is nothing new. But many Realtors also complain that low-ball appraisals are hurting home sales.
The National Association of Realtors says a recent survey indicated that in some cases appraisals are lagging behind the recovering housing market.
Appraisers aren’t always familiar with neighborhoods, and some use foreclosures and short sales as comparable sales without adjusting for them.
Real estate agents note that the low inventory of homes for sale has created bidding wars for many homes, pushing prices higher than recent comparable sales.
In the national survey in September, 1 out of 3 Realtors said they had problems relating to home appraisals in the previous three months. Eleven percent of them said a contract was canceled because an appraised value came in below the price negotiated between the buyer and seller; 9 percent reported a contract was delayed; and 15 percent said a contract was renegotiated to a lower sales price as a result of a lower appraisal.
Appraisers say they don’t set the value of a property; they reflect it. They say neither real estate agents nor homeowners are trained to appraise homes.
A nationwide appraisers’ professional association, meanwhile, cites problems in the way appraisal management companies are assigning and paying appraisers. The appraisal management companies contend that their role is misunderstood.
Appraisers say they are the only people involved in real estate transactions who don’t have a stake in the price of a property or whether it sells.
“We’re there to protect the public trust,” said Sara Stephens, president of the Appraisal Institute, the nation’s largest association of real estate appraisers, addressing a group of real estate investors in Yorba Linda, Calif., last month.
Stephens testified before Congress in June, saying, “We often hear from real estate agents, homebuilders and others that appraisals are ‘killing deals,’ and/or holding back the economic recovery. These accusations are unfounded and misguided. Appraisals are not meant to simply support contracts — they are obtained to help lenders assess their overall risk.
“Fundamentally, it does neither the borrower nor lender any good to enter into a mortgage for more than the value of the property,” she said.
A reflection of value
Gilbert Valdez, owner of Coast Appraisal Network, has been appraising homes for nearly 30 years. “The biggest misconception is we’re out there creating value. We’re not,” Valdez said recently as he stood outside a Fountain Valley, Calif., tract home with a measuring tape and a camera, ready to begin an appraisal. “We have a mirror. We’re going to reflect it exactly the way it is.”
Valdez said a home’s location typically is given the most weight, followed by size and condition. He noted that upgrades don’t necessarily pay off as much as a homeowner may expect. He also said the price gap has been closing between foreclosures and standard sales. Short sales, he said, have been “iffy” and “all over the place,” but even short sales are improving.
Ideally, he said, he’ll use three sales that closed in recent months, a pending sale and a listing most comparable to the home in question. He stressed the word “ideally.”
In the case of Robinson’s townhome, the appraiser could not be reached for comment, and it’s unclear what adjustments might have been made. The townhome eventually sold, Robinson said, but for about $6,000 less than what she and the buyer initially agreed on.
Appraisers were among those blamed for the housing bubble — and bust. In turn, appraisers said they felt pressured by mortgage brokers to bump up their property valuations, which helped to drive deals and got borrowers bigger loans.
Protecting the firewall
In 2007, then-New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo filed a lawsuit against an appraisal company, which led to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac implementing the Home Valuation Code of Conduct of 2009. It required that lenders use a third party, typically an appraisal management company, to arrange for an appraisal. The code of conduct prohibited lenders from speaking directly with the appraiser about the valuation process.
The code was replaced by provisions in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010. In addition to working with appraisal management companies, lenders now can set up their own firms. There still are standards to ensure appraisal independence, and the firewall between the lender and the appraiser on any specific appraisal is supposed to remain intact.
Appraisers complain management companies pay them lower fees, and that many appraisers, after seeing their incomes reduced, have left the business.
The Appraisal Institute says on its website: “Today, many lenders utilize third-party management companies to conduct administrative functions. These firms often seek out the lowest-cost service providers, not necessarily the most qualified.”
The National Association of Appraisal Management Companies disagrees with that description. George Panichas, president of the association, said while the companies take a cut of what a lender pays for an appraisal, the firms provide services for appraisers including quality-control reviews and marketing, which helps appraisers get more business. “There are many reasons why an appraiser will work for a reduced fee,” he said.
He added, “It is undeniable there are a handful of appraisal management companies that will try to grind an appraiser down on fee. (But) the vast majority of appraisal companies, we want to pay the appraiser a good fee because we want a good product.”
Stephens, the institute president, also said some appraisers are being required to use eight to 10 comparable homes, more than twice as many as in the past, and appraisers have been sent as far as 400 miles away to evaluate property.
“Having someone who’s local, someone who understands what’s going on in the market is key,” she told the real estate investors gathered in Yorba Linda.
Panichas said lenders, not the appraisal management companies, are requesting additional comparable homes. And he said appraisers may be sent far distances at times, but they should never accept an assignment unless they’re “geographically competent.”
Getting a second opinion
Appraising real estate is not a black and white matter. Adjustments need to be weighed. Judgment is involved. Even appraisers don’t always agree.
Mortgage broker Dennis Smith cited an appraisal on a small apartment property in Long Beach, Calif. The seller and buyer agreed on a sales price of $730,000. The appraisal came in at $620,000.
Smith said some comparable sales the appraiser used were more than three miles away, and a few were sales dating back more than a year.
The appraisal may have been a challenge, Smith said, “But over $100,000 (lower than) what the seller, listing agent, selling agent and buyer felt the property was worth?”
He found some fresher sales for comparable properties with fewer units, but his appeal was rejected.
“So we canceled with that lender and went to another lender and ordered a new appraisal,” said Smith, co-owner of Stratis Financial in Huntington Beach, Calif. The second appraisal came in at $720,000 — with some of the comparable homes he cited in the appeal.
“Same property, same price, same transaction,” Smith said.
The initial appraiser could not be reached for comment.
Realtor Patti Zermeno said she appealed an appraisal of a four-bedroom, three-bath home on more than five acres in Corona, Calif., that she listed this year.
The contract purchase price was for $565,000, but the appraisal came in at $450,000.
“When the numbers came in low, I called (the loan rep) and told her, ‘I know there’s value there. We need to appeal this appraisal,’” said Zermeno, with Century 21 Award in Rancho Santa Margarita.
She said the lender allowed a second appraisal, which raised the value by $15,000, to $465,000.
That appraisal was still much lower than the contract price. But it didn’t kill the deal.
“We were able to close at $500,000 with the seller reducing his price and the buyers increasing their purchase price,” Zermeno said.
“It was a team effort to get it done,” she said. “But I knew I could fight the appraisal.”
In Stephens’ view, the appeal process is not always fair to the appraiser.
Sometimes the person reviewing an appraisal for a lender has less experience than the appraiser does, she said.
“It’s a matter of asking for more and more information (from an appraiser),” she said, “and less and less weight being placed on that information.”
After Nearly Three Years, Negative Equity Refuses to Budge | Chappaqua NY Real Estate
As the nation’s real estate economy has evolved and slowly improved over the past two and a half years, the geography of almost every leading metric measuring the health of local housing markets has changed to reflect local economic trends and conditions except the one that many economists and policy makers consider to be critical to the national economic recovery.
Even though 1.3 million homeowners have reached positive equity since the end of last year and the national percentage of homeowners who owe more on their homes than they are worth declined from 24.1 to 23.7 percent in the second quarter (see One Homeowner Out of Eight Undervalues Their Home), the same eight states account for two out of three underwater mortgages in the nation.
California, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Illinois, Ohio and Georgia accounted for 67 percent of all underwater mortgages in the fourth quarter of 2009. In the second quarter of 2012, those eight states were still home to 67 percent of underwater mortgages, though the total number of underwater mortgages declined from 11,321,676 to 10,746,556, according to an analysis of CoreLogic data. The eight states accounted for 42 to 42.5 percent of the nation’s mortgages during that period.
Negative equity contributes to high rates of mortgage defaults, reduced demand for home purchases
The stubborn concentration of negative equity in a minority of states over nearly three years suggests that the impact of negative equity is felt much more at a regional or local level and that causes may be more local or regional in nature than national, even
The importance of housing debt to the national economy was the subject of a report in the Washington Post yesterday regarding a 2011 White House meeting where several leading economists urged the Administration to take additional steps to reduce housing debt. The economist argued that huge debts resulting from declining home values caused consumers to cut back dramatically on buying cars, appliances, furniture and groceries. The more they owed, the less they spent, whereas people with little debt hardly slowed spending at all. The economists said the president could have significantly accelerated the slow economic recovery if he had better addressed the overhang of mortgage debt left when housing prices collapsed..
In the second quarter of 2012, the most recent CoreLogic data available, Nevada had the highest percentage of mortgaged properties in negative equity at 59 percent, followed by Florida (43 percent), Arizona (40 percent), Georgia (36 percent) and Michigan (33 percent). These top five states combined account for 34.1 percent of the total amount of negative equity in the U.S.
In the fourth quarter of 2009, the first of CoreLogic’s quarterly negative equity reports, negative equity was also concentrated in five states: Nevada, which had the highest percentage negative equity with 70 percent of all of its mortgaged properties underwater, followed by Arizona (51 percent), Florida (48 percent), Michigan (39 percent) and California (35 percent). Among the top five states, the average negative equity share was 42 percent, compared to 15 percent for the remaining 45 states. In numerical terms, California (2.4 million) and Florida (2.2 million) had the largest number of negative equity mortgages accounting for 4.6 million, or 41 percent, of all negative equity loans.
The bulk of negative equity is also concentrated in the low end of the housing market. For example, for low-to-mid value homes (less than $200,000), the negative equity share was 32 percent in the second quarter of this year, almost twice the 17 percent for borrowers with home values greater than $200,000.






