Tag Archives: Chappaqua NY Homes for Sale
Storied West Hollywood Condo Has Sumptuous Design for $4.75M | Chappaqua NY Realtor
Mortgage rates have room to move lower | Chappaqua NY Homes for sale
Financial markets are surprisingly stable, especially credit markets. Following the Fed’s September QE3 announcement of open-ended intent to buy mortgage-backed securities, the 10-year Treasury note was left to the mercy of markets.
Since then, 10-year Treasurys have not traded above 1.75 percent or below 1.5 percent. Meanwhile, 30-fixed mortgages have broken as low as 3.25 percent.
In “normal” times, mortgage rates track the ups and downs in 10-year Treasury yields fairly well. There’s a “spread” between 10-year Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities — bond-like investments that fund most mortgage loans — that relects, in part, investor perceptions that Treasurys are safer investments than MBS. The “spreads” we’re seeing now between yields on 10-year Treasury notes and MBS are lower and tighter at any time since “normality” went out the window in 2007.
I had thought that 3 percent was probably the lowest mortgage rates could go, but if the Fed buys MBS for long enough to work off presently infinite refinance demand (which will last many months, maybe through the end of 2013), retail mortgage prices can fall below that barrier just by more compression of “spread.”
Today, the main thing holding rates above 3 percent is the profiteering of big banks, increasing their margins as the Fed tries to shrink them. The worst of the piracy: jacking margins on refis of underwater households. I would say, “Shame,” but to no effect on bank boards and executive suites ethically unreformed through this whole process. All the new rules in the world cannot substitute for a sense of citizenship.
While we enjoy new, super-historical lows, more in prospect, consider the causes …
U.S. data is as unchanged as can be, on a 1.5 percent-2 percent GDP slope but fragile. The September small-business survey by the National Federation of Independent Businesses downshifted by an undetectable 0.1 percent. The trade picture was a bit more cautionary, both imports and exports contracting; imports slide when U.S. demand fades, and exports dim when the outside world fizzles.
The strongest positive here is housing, but its improvement is far oversold in media commentary. Most economic punditry comes from financial markets, which had housing wrong all the way down, and can be counted upon to have it wrong on the way up. Housing industry analysts tend to perpetual optimism, correct only by accident.
The finance guys cannot process the differences between their markets and housing: Their securities are uniform and move all together, while our houses are no-two-the-same, and any concerted market movement is at the neighborhood level.
Terms of credit affect stock and bond markets, but nothing like housing. Imagine if you wanted to sell a share of Apple today, and had a willing buyer at $630 but the NASDQ exchange required an independent appraisal of the stock, made you wait two weeks, and then capped the price at $500 based on “sound underwriting.”
Housing now enjoys very gradual improvement, especially in states whose foreclosure-by-trustee has speeded the process. However, the “recovery” that finance types see propelling the entire economy is still over the horizon.
“Mortgage equity withdrawal” is a measure of net contribution of housing to personal income, during the bubble adding as much as 10 percent per year(!). Since 2008, MEW has subtracted about 3 percent annually from personal income, and still does — no mere headwind, but hail in the face.
The greatest risks are overseas, quantifiable in some ways, but timing unknown. Greece lies prostrate in depression, its national debt still 160 percent of GDP requiring another restructuring transfusion.
That debt is now held by European governments, the ECB and the IMF, none of which can face the need to write off the two-thirds necessary to allow the Greek economy to function. Thus the next transfusion will be just enough to buy time, not for Greece itself, but the utterly corrupt European leadership.
That leadership had a signal week on other grounds. France-based EADS and U.K.-based BAE were close to merger, $90 billion in combined aerospace and defense sales, the merger a benefit to both, enabling competition with the likes of Boeing.
Any big merger in Europe requires multigovernmental approval, and Germany insisted on a Munich headquarters for the new company and expansion of German operations. All media concur: On Wednesday Angela Merkel personally pulled the plug on the merger, and Germany did not attempt any form of denial. “One Europe” the euro objective? Sure.
The global balance is delicate, but the economic/political weakness in Europe, China and emergings still strongly favors the U.S., if only by removing any threat of inflation, which is the prerequisite for continuing QE3 and super-low rates here.
Foreclosures Split America | Chappaqua NY Real Estate
September’s foreclosure data showed America has become bipolar over foreclosures, with dramatic decreases in most states but increases nearly as great in judicial states where lenders are speeding up processing of defaults.
Foreclosure activity nationwide fell to the lowest level in five years in but increased in 14 judicial states, including Florida, Illinois, Ohio, New Jersey and New York as lenders begin to move on backlogged defaults after processing standards fully implementing the Attorneys General agreement take effect.
The national decrease in September marked the ninth consecutive quarter with an annual decrease in foreclosure activity and helped drop the third quarter foreclosure numbers to the lowest level since the fourth quarter of 2007. Foreclosure filings for the quarter decreased 7 percent from August and 16 percent from September 2011. Third quarter filings were down 5 percent from the second quarter and 13 percent from the third quarter of 2011, according to RealtyTrac.
In the West, declines were even more dramatic. In California, notices of defaults were down 20.7 percent from the prior month, and down 48.1 percent compared to last year. In Arizona, new foreclosures were down 37.1 percent, in Nevada down 40.1 percent, down 40.0 percent in Oregon and Washington saw new foreclosures fall 31.2 percent from August. Sales are also down with Arizona down 24.3 percent, Nevada down 19.5 percent, Oregon down 0.3 percent, and Washington down 33.5 percent from the prior month, ForeclosureRadar reported today.
Third quarter foreclosure activity increased on a year-over-year basis in New Jersey (130 percent increase), New York (53 percent increase), Indiana (36 percent increase), Pennsylvania (35 percent increase), Connecticut (34 percent increase), Illinois (31 percent increase), Maryland (28 percent increase), South Carolina (16 percent increase), North Carolina (14 percent increase), and Florida (14 percent increase). Among judicial states foreclosure activity in the third quarter decreased on annual basis in Massachusetts (16 percent decrease) and Wisconsin (12 percent decrease).
However, more foreclosures may be in store. “It was recently reported that the nation’s five largest mortgage servicers have implemented all of the 320 servicing standards required under the national mortgage settlement. The continued decline in Foreclosure Starts clearly shows that even though servicers are now apparently in compliance and clear to move forward with foreclosures, they are still in no rush to foreclose on the majority of delinquent borrowers,” said Sean O’Toole, founder & CEO of ForeclosureRadar.
However, processing time actually increased durinmg the quarter to a national average of 382 days to complete the foreclosure process, up from 378 days in the previous quarter and up from 336 days in the third quarter of 2011. It was the highest average number of days to foreclose since the first quarter of 2007.
The average time to complete a foreclosure increased substantially from a year ago in several states where recent legislation and court rulings have extended the foreclosure process. These states included Oregon (up 62 percent to 193 days), Hawaii (up 62 percent to 662 days), Washington (up 62 percent to 248 days) and Nevada (up 42 percent to 520 days).
The average time to foreclose decreased from a year ago in 15 states, including Arkansas (down 49 percent to 199 days), Michigan (down 15 percent to 226 days), Maryland (down 9 percent to 541 days), California (down 8 percent to 335 days), and New Jersey (down 4 percent to 931 days).
New Jersey documented the second longest state foreclosure timeline in the third quarter behind New York, where the average time to complete a foreclosure was 1,072 days for properties foreclosed during the quarter. Florida registered the third highest state foreclosure timeline, 858 days – down slightly from 861 days in the previous quarter – and Illinois registered the fourth highest state foreclosure timeline, 673 days.
Vacant Homes Plague Neighbors | Chappaqua NY Homes for Sale
The vacant home next to Deborah Jackson’s house has been an eyesore and magnet of blight for much longer than the Chicago homeowner would care to remember.
The roof of the empty townhouse, which is connected to Jackson’s, is shredded and caved in, causing water to leak through Jackson’s walls. Overgrown bushes and bramble peek over the property’s 4-foot fence, and possums and stray cats — instead of a nice family — live inside.
The derelict property, which has been vacant for the better part of 15 years, even appears to pose safety risks. Jackson’s granddaughter was once struck in the face by a detached piece of the home’s roof; sometimes trespassers pay unsettling visits; and the home is infested with snakes.
“Anytime I see people or have heard people, I would always call the police,” she said. “I’m looking at a jungle out here. I can’t sit on my patio. My grandkids don’t want to visit me because of the snakes.”
Unfortunately for Jackson, it’s not the only vacant property in close proximity that causes the 59-year-old schoolteacher distress. The home to her left and the two directly across the street from her in the foreclosure-ravaged South Side Chicago neighborhood of Pullman are also unoccupied.
Jackson’s story captures the heavy toll that vacant homes can take on their neighbors’ quality of life, and, at the same time, it highlights a reality that is galling to residents in hard-hit areas: Many such properties are often left to deteriorate by banks.
Foreclosure nation
Since the housing collapse began, about 4 million Americans have lost their homes to foreclosure, resulting in a persistent glut of vacant homes on the market. Banks and other investors have managed to whittle down this supply somewhat in the past two years.
But according to online foreclosure marketplace RealtyTrac, there are still about 532,000 homes in the possession of banks or government-sponsored investors, and most of them are vacant and not listed. In addition, many of the 950,000 homes that RealtyTrac says are not yet repossessed, but still in some stage of foreclosure, have already been vacated.
The spotlight is usually on the economic impact of vacant homes: their tendency to drag down prices by selling at steep discounts and bloating housing supply. But sometimes less explored are the intangible effects of the empty properties on neighboring homeowners.
Magnets of blight and crime
Ed Jacob, executive director of Neighborhood Housing Services of Chicago, said vacant homes can burden neighbors — some of whom are teetering on the brink of foreclosure themselves — and even put them in harm’s way.
“They become magnets of crime. They’ll get stripped of all their copper,” Jacob said of the vacant properties. “People use them to stash their drugs. It’s a huge psychological effect on homeowners who are hanging on.”
Jackson is no stranger to this phenomenon. Thieves looted a neighboring abandoned property to her left — a different home than the one that’s infested with snakes. Authorities later told her that there was a danger of a gas explosion happening at the home because the burglars had removed the furnace.
“They took everything that wasn’t nailed down,” she said.
Vacant properties can cast such a dark cloud over their communities that, when those homes are finally purchased, it’s sometimes cause for celebration.
Ihsan Atta of Brookfield, WI, recalled living next to a vacant home for months that was teeming with rodents and had overgrown bushes. People living in the neighborhood had become so put off by the decrepit property that when an investment firm snapped it up recently, neighbors rejoiced.
“One neighbor went by— I thought she was so happy, she was going to kiss me,” said Marty Boardman, chief financial officer of Rising Sun Capital Group, the home investor that bought the property.
Are banks to blame?
The blight of vacant properties is often the fault of the financial institutions that own or oversee them. Those financial institutions — whether it be banks or government-backed organizations such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration — sometimes fail to keep up on the properties’ maintenance.
“Often that means that the lawn’s not being mowed and maintenance isn’t being done on the property, and so it’s just going to be an eyesore in the neighborhood,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac.
Financial institutions sometimes turn a blind eye to vacant properties in their portfolios because they either don’t want to pay or can’t afford maintenance costs, experts say.
Labeling some financial institutions “slumlords,” consumer advocates and local governments have tried to hold their feet to the fire.
The City of Los Angeles brought a lawsuit against Deutsche Bank and U.S. Bancorp for allegedly failing to maintain some of their repossessed properties. Also, the National Fair Housing Alliance filed complaints with the Department of Housing and Urban Development against U.S. Bancorp and Wells Fargo for allegedly neglecting repossessed properties concentrated in minority neighborhoods.
If financial institutions sold foreclosures quickly, such properties would have less of a chance to grind on neighborhoods. But according to RealtyTrac, a repossessed property takes an average of 195 days to sell. And that’s after the average 378 days that a home takes to be repossessed by a bank, a period during which the home may be vacated by its former resident.
“Banks don’t know how to sell houses. They’re not very good at it,” said Boardman, whose company flips 30 to 50 homes a year. He pointed to a recent deal in which, he said, it took Chase two months to find an employee who actually had the authority to approve a sale.
‘My hands are kind of tied’
Jackson said that she recently convinced the Chicago Department of Streets and Sanitation to clear debris out of the snake-infested backyard of the abandoned property that abuts her home, a job that she said took three hours for 11 men to complete.
Ideally, either a bank or the city will repossess the home and rehabilitate it. Public records suggest that the home has not been repossessed yet, according to RealtyTrac. But that’s out of Jackson’s hands.
Meanwhile, she’s tried to contact banks tasked with caring for some of the other four vacant homes neighboring her so she can nudge them into tending to the properties. But that’s proved impossible so far.
Two of the vacant homes — much like 80 percent of all repossessed properties in the U.S., by RealtyTrac’s measure — are not listed, so she can’t identify their owners.
She said only one of the four vacant homes surrounding her has a for-sale sign, but no one has answered calls from her or her neighbors when they have dialed the phone number on it.
She’s also tried to determine the other properties’ owners by searching public records, but she has been unable to identify some of the deed-holders and unable to reach the others.
Many concerned neighbors, as well as capable buyers, have hit the same roadblocks, experts say. Bureaucratic ineptitude, profit-driven asset-management strategies and the overall complexity of a securities market where mortgages once traded hands like hot potatoes are all to blame.
Despite the challenges, Jackson said that she is determined to reach the owners of the blighted homes that have tainted her neighborhood for years.
“But right now my hands are kind of tied,” she said.
Chappaqua NY real estate prices up 8.1% – Sales up 1.4% | RobReportBlog | Chappaqua NY Real Estate
Chappaqua NY Real Estate Report – RobReportBlog – Sept 2012Sales over the past six months
2012
70 homes sold
$919,000 median price
2011
69 homes sold
$850,000 median price
Homes sales up 1.4% as the median sales price jumped 8.1%.
Student Loan Interest Hike Could Cripple New Buyers | Chappaqua NY Homes
The doubling of interest on student loans set to take effect July 1 could make it more difficult or impossible for large numbers of young first-time home buyers to qualify for mortgages.
Should student loan interest rates double from 3.4 to 6.8 percent a week from Sunday as scheduled, seven million potential young home buyers with student loans face higher monthly payments and larger student loan debt, both of which could make getting a mortgage more expensive for all and impossible for some.
Higher student loan rates impact future home buyers two ways. They will result in higher payments, as much as $1,000 a year, and also will increase the amount of debt burden that will be calculated in the debt-to-income ratio used by mortgage originators to qualify applicants.
The ideal 33 percent of debt-to-income includes student loan payment, car payment, credit card payments and the monthly mortgage payment, according to an analysis by Selma Hepp, senior economist with the California Association of Realtors. Should interested rates be doubled, she looked at two scenarios. The first one looks at the impact of an average $19,000 loan facing recent California graduates and the second scenarios illustrates the impact of higher student loan debt, $50,000. In both cases, student loan payment increases with doubling of interest. While the average student debt impacts mortgage payment by 2 percent, the larger debt has a 7 percent impact on the mortgage payment. In either case, student loan payments matter in evaluating debt-to-income ratio for potential new homebuyer, Hepp wrote.
The 62 million people echo boomers, currently aged 17 to 31, have been hit hard by the recession, an uncertain job market, no real income growth, tighter mortgage lending rules, and mounting student and credit card debt.
“It is no surprise that some of them do not put priority on homeownership,” Hepp said.
Student loans typically burden graduates for many years after graduation. In a recent study, college seniors who graduated with student loans each owed an average of $25,250, up significantly from an average of $12,750 in 1996. Parents have accumulated student debt as well, $34,000 on average. The aggregate amount of student loan debt in the U.S. is over $1 trillion currently. Between March 31, of this year and 2011, student loan debt rose by $64 billion. However, over the same period, all other forms of household debt fell by $383 billion. Put another way, since the peak in household debt in the third quarter of 2008, student loan debt has increased by $293 billion, while other forms of debt fell by $1.53 trillion.
Yet the echo boomers, or Millienials, are often cited as critical to the long-term recovery of the housing economy. Last week’s State of the Nation’s Housing report from the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Policy, for example, suggested household growth over the next 20 years could potentially spur new home demand to an even greater extent than the Baby Boomers in the 1970s. (See More than a Million New Households a Year Forecast.)
How to Link to Your YouTube Channel for Maximum SEO Link Value | Chappaqua NY Realtor
Chappaqua NY Homes | 3 Things You Need to Know About Facebook’s New Mobile Apps
Facebook is on a roll!
Recently, two new Facebook apps launched – the Pages app and the Photo app.
These new apps are available for the iPhone only — not the iPad, and not Android devices.
There has been a ton of buzz about the development and launch of these new apps. I think it is a brilliant move by Facebook to improve their existing app – to address user complaints about how clunky it can be and how often it crashes. By creating individual apps — each app is much more lightweight and focused on the task at hand. And for marketers and anyone using Facebook, beyond the casual user, these new apps are a welcome addition.
Many of you know how much of a fan I was (and still am) of the Facebook Messenger app – that pushes messages to your phone just like a text message.
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1. Is Facebook planning for a mobile phone?
With the launch of these new apps, there is a lot of buzz about the possibility of a Facebook Mobile Phone. Could this be true? Could Facebook build its own operating system and create a new phone? It’s possible – but in my opinion, the first priority of Facebook, post-IPO, is fixing their flawed mobile application.
There is also the debate about whether having one stand-alone app makes it stand out rather than get buried in a folder on your iPhone; never to be seen again. I tend to agree with The Next Web’s article, that instead of now having Facebook buried in my ‘Social’ folder, it can be found in my ‘Facebook’ folder.
2. When will the ads appear?
I look forward to seeing what else Facebook has up their sleeve. Eventually we will see Facebook ads appearing within their apps. The billion dollar question is how they will integrate those successfully. It is quite the balancing act. Ads are 85% of their revenue, yet they are not seen on mobile devices. (Side note: More than 50% of the people who visit Facebook visit it on a mobile device). If they roll out these ads in an intrusive way – they are going to have their nearly 900M members in an uproar (again), but think of all the opportunities for those who run Facebook ads!
3. What’s on my Facebook app wishlist?
I’d love to see apps for Groups, Events and Ads. The Groups app would be ideal to manage, interact and moderate the ever-growing number of groups I’m in. An Events app would be fantastic, especially for Inman, as we manage our 17 Agent Reboot events and 2 Real Estate Connect events. And of course a stellar Ad management app would, in my opinion, make it easier to create and renew ads, while keeping millions of advertisers happy (and spending more money!)
What’s interesting in this segmenting of Facebook apps is that the discussion of brand fragmenting comes up. This is the same conversation I have when people ask me why I have different Facebook pages for Inman – i.e. we have an Inman News page, Inman Next page, Agent Reboot page, Real Estate Connect page and REmessenger page. Five pages — one company.
We have found that, although our audiences tend to sometimes overlap, it’s ideal to have the right conversations with the right audience by segmenting our brand. I think the same is true for Facebook — by segmenting their product into separate apps, they are speaking to different audiences, but also making many of their users very happy by allowing them to go right to where they want to go — bypassing other areas of Facebook.








