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Bedford Hills Homes for Sale

Pulte net income up in Q3 | Bedford Hills Real Estate

PulteGroup, Inc., Atlanta (NYSE:PHM) on Tuesday reported net income of $178 million, or $0.58 per share. for its third quarter ended September 30, 2017. The gain, which included an insurance related charge of $5 million, compared with net income of $128 million, or $0.37 per share in the prior-year quarter. Earnings per share missed analyst expectations of a gain of $0.59.

Home sale revenues for the third quarter increased 9% over the prior year to $2.1 billion. Higher revenues for the period were driven by a 2% increase in deliveries to 5,151 homes, combined with a 7%, or $25,000, increase in average sales price to $399,000.


Home sale gross margin for the third quarter was 23.9%, down 80 basis points from the prior year, but is up 50 basis points from the second quarter 2017 adjusted gross margin of 23.4%. Home building SG&A expense for the quarter of $237 million, or 11.6% of home sale revenues, included a $5 million charge associated with the resolution of certain insurance matters. Prior year SG&A of $251 million, or 13.3% of home sale revenues, included approximately $12 million of charges for certain restructuring costs and shareholder activities.

Net new orders for the third quarter increased 11% to 5,300 homes, while the value of new orders increased 23% over the prior year to $2.3 billion. The company operated out of 778 communities for the third quarter, which is up 10% over the third quarter of 2016.

Ending backlog for the quarter was up 15% over the prior year to 10,823 homes, as backlog value gained 26% to $4.7 billion. The average price of homes in backlog increased 10% over the prior year to $431,000, which is a 10 year high for the company.

The company’s financial services operations reported third quarter pretax income of $18 million compared with $21 million in 2016. The decrease in pretax income for the period was primarily the result of a more competitive operating environment which impacted pricing during the period. Mortgage capture rate for the quarter was 80%, compared with 81% in the prior year.

“We continue to be extremely pleased with the strength of homebuyer demand and the sustained course of the housing recovery,” said Ryan Marshall, President and CEO of PulteGroup. “Despite the disruptions caused by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, our 11% increase in year-over-year orders for the quarter points to the health of the market, while the 15% increase in our backlog puts us in an excellent position to deliver strong fourth quarter and full-year financial results.”

“Fueled by growing demand among first-time buyers and supported by a strong economy, high employment, and historically low interest rates, U.S. new home sales for 2017 are expected to grow a healthy 5% to 10% over last year,” added Marshall. “We remain optimistic about the strength of future housing demand, as the current housing cycle moves into its seventh year of growth.”

 

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http://www.builderonline.com/money/profits/pulte-net-income-up-in-q3_o?utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=Press%20Release&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=BP_102417%20(1)&he=bd1fdc24fd8e2adb3989dffba484790dcdb46483

Douglas Elliman Launches New Brand Campaign – It’s Time for Elliman | Bedford Hills Real Estate

America’s 4th Largest Brokerage to Unveil New Tagline, New Mobile App, A Re imagined Magazine + Expanded Art Partnerships

 

Douglas Elliman Real Estate, the #1 real estate brokerage in NYC and #4 nationwide, will launch its new brand campaign, It’s Time for Elliman – one that integrates media across all platforms, including newspapers, magazines, billboards, social, indoor and outdoor advertising and, for the first time for the brokerage, television.  The new messaging will debut across television, print and digital media in all of the markets the company serves, including Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, Long Island, The Hamptons and North Fork, Westchester and Putnam Counties, Connecticut, New Jersey, South Florida, Los Angeles, California and Aspen, Colorado.

“With our firm’s expansion efforts well underway across the country, we felt it was time to engage the public in new and exciting ways that drive home the key message that no matter the stage of life of homebuyers and sellers, It’s Time for Elliman, said Dana DeVito, Senior Vice President of Marketing for the nationally recognized firm.

The entire campaign underscores the important emotional and financial decisions involved in almost every real estate transaction. The ads, designed to celebrate diversity in America, underscore how the company’s over 6,000 highly-trained sales agents in 85 offices coast to coast help navigate clients through challenging markets, as well as important life milestones that call for a starter-apartment or a new primary or second residence; or the inevitable time in life when one decides to let go of their longtime, beloved home.

“By stating that ‘It’s Time for Elliman,’ we are reaching both existing and future clients with themes that duplicate the very human experiences and emotions we all share when buying or selling a home,” said Dottie Herman, the firm’s President and CEO.  “Our message will resonate across all of our markets.”

Produced in partnership with award-winning Agency Sacks, highlights of the diverse nationwide campaign include giant billboards strategically located on the Long Island Expressway’s east and westbound approach to and from the Midtown Tunnel, as well on Sunset Boulevard in Los Angeles, one of the most highly trafficked roadways in California. In addition, Douglas Elliman has struck a partnership with the iconic bus service, the Hampton Jitney, which will wrap buses with creative from the new campaign and the Douglas Elliman logo, which has also been redesigned. The company will be well-positioned at private and executive airports in Aspen and Los Angeles where many high net worth clients tend to travel. Douglas Elliman’s brand campaign will also extend to New York City’s highly visible buses and taxi tops.

“In all, we anticipate hitting close to three quarters of a billion potential customers nationwide with It’s Time for Elliman, said Scott Durkin, COO of Douglas Elliman. “Our company will also unveil a new app and revamp its magazine, Elliman, which will appear for the Memorial Day weekend, with its primary emphasis on real estate.”  In September, the magazine will sport a new look.  Elliman will publish four times a year; two issues will be dedicated to re-sale and two issues to new development.

The firm has forged a new strategic partnership with Frieze New York, the art fair that has brought together the world’s leading modern and contemporary art galleries during the month of May 2017 and also has a longstanding relationship with Art Basel Miami and Design Miami which will continue once again in December 2017.

“Art and design are passion points for our company,” added DeVito. “The connection between art, design and real estate is undeniable, as our clients and our agents make a correlation between beauty and design found both inside and outside of the home.”

“Our efforts to increase brand awareness through this new campaign, along with forward–thinking approaches to expanding markets, technology and the visual arts, further propel us to the top of the real estate industry,” stated Durkin.

About Douglas Elliman Real Estate
Established in 1911, Douglas Elliman Real Estate is the largest brokerage in the New York Metropolitan area and the fourth largest residential real estate company nationwide. With more than 6,000 agents, the company operates over 85 offices in Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, New Jersey, Long Island, the Hamptons & North Fork, Westchester, Greenwich, South Florida, Colorado and Beverly Hills. Moreover, Douglas Elliman has a strategic global alliance with London-based Knight Frank Residential for business in the worldwide luxury markets spanning 59 countries and six continents. The company also controls a portfolio of real estate services including Douglas Elliman Development Marketing; Manhattan’s largest residential property manager, Douglas Elliman Property Management with over 250 buildings; and DE Commercial. For more information on Douglas Elliman as well as expert commentary on emerging trends in the real estate industry, please visit www.elliman.com.

 

SOURCE Douglas Elliman

Share of Past Due Mortgages Drop Significantly | Bedford Hills Real Estate

Information released by the Mortgage Bankers’ Association (MBA) indicates that the share of all 1-4 family mortgage loans past due has returned to a level of normality. According to the MBA’s National Delinquency Survey, the share of all 1-4 family mortgages considered past due fell by 14 basis points to 4.52 percent. One year ago 4.99 percent of loans were considered past due.

The current share of loans past due has fallen significantly from its recession-related peak of 10.1 percent in 2010. Moreover, the current share of past due mortgages is below the average percentage between 1980, the beginning of the series, and 2006, 4.8 percent. Additionally, the average between 1987 and 2006 was 4.6 percent.

presentation1

Deeper analysis finds that the underlying composition of mortgages past due has improved, but has not fully recovered. Mortgages considered past due include those that are 30-59 days past due, 60-89 days late, and 90 or more days delinquent. It excludes mortgages that have entered foreclosure.

The figure below presents the distribution of mortgages past due by the 3 categories of lateness. Currently, about half of past due mortgages, 52 percent, are 30-59 days past due, 17 percent are 60-89 days past due, while 31 percent are 90 or more days delinquent. The present composition is better than the distribution at the peak in 2010, when mortgages 90 or more days past due accounted for half, 50 percent, of all past due mortgages.

However, the composition of past due mortgages on average between 1980 and 2006 was even more concentrated in the 30-59 day late category. On average, over the 1980-2006 period, mortgages 30-59 days past due accounted 67 percent of all past due mortgages while mortgages 90 or more days past due represented 16 percent. Also at 16 percent, the share of mortgages 60-89 days past due between 1980 and 2006 is similar to its current percentage of 17 percent.

presentation2

 

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2016/11/share-of-past-due-mortgages-reaches-post-recession-low/

Mortgage rates average 3.54% | Bedford Hills Real Estate

Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage rates increasing to their highest level since late June.

News Facts

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.54 percent with an average 0.5 point for the week ending November 3, 2016, up from last week when it averaged 3.47 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.87 percent.
  • 15-year FRM this week averaged 2.84 percent with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when they averaged 2.78 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 3.09 percent.
  • 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 2.87 with an average 0.4 point, up from last week when it averaged 2.84 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 2.96 percent.

Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. Visit the following link for the Definitions. Borrowers may still pay closing costs which are not included in the survey.

Quote
Attributed to Sean Becketti, chief economist, Freddie Mac.

“A jump last week in the PCE — the price index tracked most closely by the Fed — raised the prospect that inflation might not be completely dead after all. Investors reacted by driving the yield on the 10-year Treasury to its highest point since June. The 30-year mortgage rate jumped 7 basis points to 3.54 percent, the largest 1-week increase in over six months.”

Mortgage rates average 3.41% | Bedford Hills Real Estate

Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage rates dropping further to new 2016 lows in the wake of the Brexit vote. At 3.41 percent, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is just 10 basis points from its November 2012 all-time record low of 3.31 percent.

News Facts

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.41 percent with an average 0.5 point for the week ending July 7, 2016, down from last week when it averaged 3.48 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.04 percent.
  • 15-year FRM this week averaged 2.74 percent with an average 0.4 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.78 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 3.20 percent.
  • 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 2.68 percent this week with an average 0.5 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.70 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 2.93.

Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. Visit the following link for the Definitions. Borrowers may still pay closing costs which are not included in the survey.

Quote
Attributed to Sean Becketti, chief economist, Freddie Mac.

“Continuing fallout from the Brexit vote drove Treasury yields lower again this week. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage followed Treasury yields, falling 7 basis points to 3.41 percent in this week’s survey. Mortgage rates have now dropped 15 basis points over the past two weeks, leaving them only 10 basis points above the all-time low.”

CHICAGO HOME SALES JUMP TO 9-YEAR HIGH | Bedford Hills Real Estate

The city that used to be second is staging something of a comeback, at least as far as home sales are concerned.

Chicagonow.com reports this: After a weak March and several other months of languishing sales activity the Chicago real estate market came roaring back in April with the highest home sales in 9 years and the largest year over year gain in 9 months. Check out the graph below to see these numbers in their historic context. All the April data points are flagged in red and the blue line is a 12 month moving average. However, that blue line is still not quite flashing an upward trend again.

April Chicago home sales were up a whopping 10.1% over last year but when the Illinois Association of Realtors announces the official numbers in a little less than 2 weeks they are going to report it as a 7.9% increase.

 

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http://www.builderonline.com/newsletter/chicago-home-sales-jump-to-9-year-high_c

CoreLogic: Home prices maintain pace, increase 6.3% | Bedford Hills Real Estate

Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, posted similar results to last month, increasing year-over-year by 6.3% in December 2015 compared with December 2014, according to the most recent report from housing data and analytics provider, CoreLogic.

On a monthly basis, home prices are up 0.8% in December 2015 compared to November 2015.

The below chart shows the home price index going back to 2002.

Click to enlarge

home prices

(Source: CoreLogic)

“Nationally, home prices have been rising at a 5% to 6% annual rate for more than a year,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic.

“However, local-market growth can vary substantially from that. Some metropolitan areas have had double-digit appreciation, such as Denver and Naples, Florida, while others have had price declines, like New Orleans and Rochester, New York,” said Nothaft.

Looking ahead, CoreLogic’s HPI Forecast predicts that home prices will increase by 5.4% on a year-over-year basis from December 2015 to December 2016, and on a month-over-month basis home prices are expected to increase 0.2% from December 2015 to January 2016

 

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http://www.housingwire.com/articles/36187-corelogic-home-prices-maintain-pace-increase-63?eid=311691494&bid=1299330

U.S. housing market continuing to slowly stabilize | Bedford Hills Real Estate

Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released its updated Multi-Indicator Market Index® (MiMi®) showing the U.S. housing market continuing to slowly stabilize with one additional state, Rhode Island, and four additional metro areas entering their outer range of stable housing activity: Philadelphia and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania; Phoenix, Arizona; and Albany, New York.

The national MiMi value stands at 81, indicating a housing market that is on its outer range of stable housing activity, while showing an improvement of +0.93% from June to July and a three-month improvement of +2.99%. On a year-over-year basis, the national MiMi value has improved +6.17%. Since its all-time low in October 2010, the national MiMi has rebounded 37%, but remains significantly off from its high of 121.7.

News Facts:

  • Twenty-nine of the 50 states plus the District of Columbia have MiMi values in a stable range, with the District of Columbia (103), North Dakota (97), Montana (93.7), Hawaii (93.5), and California and Utah tied at (90) and ranking in the top five.
  • Forty-six of the 100 metro areas have MiMi values in a stable range, with Fresno (98.9), Austin (96.4), Honolulu (94.1), and Salt Lake City and Los Angeles tied at (92.9) and ranking in the top five.
  • The most improving states month-over-month were Florida (+2.00%), Colorado (+1.99%), New Jersey (+1.83%), Connecticut (+1.80%) and Nevada (+1.48%). On a year-over-year basis, the most improving states were Florida (+14.35%), Oregon (+13.45%), Nevada (12.18%), Colorado (+11.65%), and Washington (+10.18%).
  • The most improving metro areas month-over-month were Orlando, FL (+2.60%), Greenville, SC (+2.55%), Cape Coral, FL (+2.51%), Tampa, FL (+2.19%) and Jacksonville, FL (+2.12%). On a year-over-year basis, the most improving metro areas were Orlando, FL (+18.27%), Cape Coral, FL (+17.75%), Tampa, FL (+15.99%), Palm Bay, FL (+14.98%) and North Port, FL (+14.77%).
  • In July, 49 of the 50 states and all of the top 100 metros were showing an improving three month trend. The same time last year, 20 of the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, and 59 of the top 100 metro areas were showing an improving three-month trend.

Quote attributable to Freddie Mac Deputy Chief Economist Len Kiefer:

“Nationally, all MiMi indicators are heading in the right direction for the second consecutive month and improving more than 6 percent from the same time last year. Florida has some of the most improving housing markets in the country, largely a reflection of more borrowers becoming current on their mortgage payments as the local employment picture improves and house prices rebound. The one area of the country that has been slow to respond has been the Northeast. However, we’ve started to see these housing markets turn around, especially in Pennsylvania, Connecticut, New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine. While many of the locals markets in the Northeast are still weak, they’re steadily trending in the right direction and their pace of improvement is accelerating. Overall, the West remains especially strong, with many markets posting double-digit growth in their MiMi purchase applications indicator compared to a year ago and helping to keep the country on pace for the best year of home sales since 2007.”

Pending Home Sales Dip in June | Bedford Hills Real Estate

After five consecutive months of increases, pending home sales slipped in June but remained near May’s level, which was the highest in over nine years, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Modest gains in the Northeast and West were offset by larger declines in the Midwest and South.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, fell 1.8 percent to 110.3 in June but is still 8.2 percent above June 2014 (101.9). Despite last month’s decline, the index is the third highest reading of 2015 and has now increased year-over-year for ten consecutive months.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says although pending sales decreased in June, the overall trend in recent months supports a solid pace of home sales this summer. “Competition for existing houses on the market remained stiff last month, as low inventories in many markets reduced choices and pushed prices above some buyers’ comfort level,” he said. “The demand is there for more sales, but the determining factor will be whether or not some of these buyers decide to hold off even longer until supply improves and price growth slows.”

According to Yun, existing-home sales are up considerably compared to a year ago despite the share of first-time buyers only modestly improving1. The reason is that the boost in sales is mostly coming from pent-up sellers realizing their equity gains from recent years.

“Strong price appreciation and an improving economy is finally giving some homeowners the incentive and financial capability to sell and trade up or down,” adds Yun. “Unfortunately, because nearly all of these sellers are likely buying another home, there isn’t a net increase in inventory. A combination of homebuilders ramping up construction and even more homeowners listing their properties on the market is needed to tame price growth and give all buyers more options.”

The PHSI in the Northeast inched 0.4 percent to 94.3 in June, and is now 12.0 percent above a year ago. In the Midwest the index declined 3.0 percent to 108.1 in June, but is still 5.0 percent above June 2014.

Pending home sales in the South also decreased 3.0 percent to an index of 123.5 in June but are still 7.8 percent above last June. The index in the West increased 0.5 percent in June to 104.4, and is now 10.4 percent above a year ago.

The national median existing-home price for all housing types in 2015 is expected to increase around 6.5 percent to $221,900, which would match the record high set in 2006. Total existing-home sales this year are forecast to increase 6.6 percent to around 5.27 million, about 25 percent below the prior peak set in 2005 (7.08 million).

 

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http://www.realtor.org/news-releases/2015/07/pending-home-sales-dip-in-june

First-time Buyers are Younger and Less Sophisticated | Bedford Hills Real Estate

A working paper just released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) attempts to determine the reasons why mortgages given to first-time homebuyers perform more poorly than those given to repeat buyers.  The Marginal Effect of First-Time Homebuyer Status on Mortgage Default and Prepayment was written by Saty Patrabansh of FHFA’s Office of Policy Analysis and Research.

Given that homeownership is generally considered a societal benefit and that many government policies focus on incentivizing first-time buyers the author says it is important to understand whether first-time buyers as a group are likely to default at higher rates than repeat buyers both in order to anticipate that an increase in the rate of first-time homeownership could lead to increased foreclosures and negatively affect communities and because, if they do not default at higher rates it is important they not be treated as more risky buyers.

Earlier studies that touched on various aspects of first time homeownership and loan performance have generally used data from FHA guaranteed loans and were not designed specifically to study first-time buyers.  The FHFA study developed a modeling approach specifically to discuss first-time buyer loan performance based on data on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs) originated mortgages.  The study sought answers to two questions:  (1) do first-time homebuyer mortgages perform worse than those of repeat homebuyers? And (2) do any differences persist when borrower, loan, and property characteristics known at the time of origination are held constant?

 

 

Differences in overall loan performance between first-time and repeat homebuyers could be driven by differences in borrower, loan or property factors.  Each of these can be refined into sub-factors.   Borrower factors can be further classified as sophistication, endurance, and intentions. A sophisticated or experienced borrower may find ways to keep mortgages current when faced with trigger events such as going “underwater” on a loan while a less sophisticated buyer make lack that ability.  Likewise an experienced borrower may have a greater tendency to default strategically when events appear to warrant it.  To the extent first-time buyers are less experienced or sophisticated than repeat buyers they can be expected to default at a higher rate and prepay at a lower rate.

Borrower financial endurance can determine the borrowers’ capacity to withstand a trigger event such as by refinancing.  Borrower intentions may determine if homeowners default strategically without a trigger event or fail to refinance even with the capacity to do so.

Loan factors can further classified as those of the product or the institution, Subprime and non-traditionalproducts could default at a higher rate; mortgages with prepayment penalties are less likely to be refinanced.  Loan institutions such as guarantors and services affect performance by their programs and policies.

Property characteristics can have sub-factors such as property quality (properties in poorer condition can tax borrower financial strength) and property location (economic conditions may affect one location more than others.) To the extent that first-time homebuyers chose certain loan products, property quality, or location to a greater degree than repeat buyers may impact their loan performance as a group.

First-time homebuyers are younger as a group than repeat homebuyers and the difference in median age between the two groups steadily increased from 6 years in 1996 to 10 years in 2012.  First-timers are more likely to borrower as individuals, perhaps because they are unmarried, and earn a median monthly income that was lower by about $700 compared to repeat buyers in 1996 and by around $2,000 less in 2012.  Their median credit scores and the loan-to-value (LTV) ratios of their loans were lower as well.  Their payment to income ratios averaged 2 to 4 points higher than repeat buyers but their debt-to-income (DTI) ratios were comparable.

 

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http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/07102015