Tag Archives: Armonk NY Homes

Armonk NY Homes

How Rare are Housing Bubbles? | #Armonk Real Estate

Do house prices experience periodic bull and bear markets like the stock market?  Or are they stable in real (inflation-adjusted) terms most of the time, with big disruptions once or twice in a century?  Two popular house price series tell these very different stories.  Knowing which is better will lead to superior investment outcomes and improved policy decisions.

Karl (Chip) Case, of Wellesley College, and the Nobel Prize-winning Yale professor Robert Shiller, have constructed the most widely-known suite of indices, which are now part of the S&P index family. Here is the Case-Shiller national house price index in real terms from 1890 through December 2013:

Figure 1
Case-Shiller National House Price Index in Constant Dollars, 1890-2013

Housing bubbles

Source: http://www.multpl.com/case-shiller-home-price-index-inflation-adjusted/

And here is a house price series distributed by the data firm of Crandall, Pierce & Co., consisting of the median new home sales price in constant dollars collected by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. (For brevity, we call this the “Crandall” series.)

Figure 2
Crandall, Pierce Median New Home Sale Prices in Constant Dollars, March 1963-March 2014.03

Housing bubbles

Source: Crandall, Pierce & Co., Libertyville, IL.  Reprinted with permission.

Could any two charts describing the same underlying phenomenon look more different?  In the Case-Shiller chart, there was one great bear market in the last 50 years, from late 2006 to early 2012, following a massive price expansion or bubble.1

In the Crandall chart, however, bull and bear markets have alternated in a remarkably regular pattern.  All of the bear markets represent losses of roughly 20%, with the crash of 2008-2011 only a little worse than the three other housing bear markets that occurred in 1968-1970, 1979-1982, and 1988-1992.  The Crandall chart also shows real prices rising pretty smartly – 1.35% per year – while the Case-Shiller chart shows a much slower rise.

Note that the two price series do not purport to measure the same thing.  The Crandall data are for new houses only; the Case-Shiller data are intended to reflect the entire stock of housing capital.2 The Crandall data are for a median house, the size and quality of which are constantly changing; Case and Shiller explicitly adjust for changes in the size and quality of a house. There are many other differences, so it’s understandable that the two series disagree somewhat – but they’re both intended to track house prices, so the contrast between them is striking and troubling.

 

 

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http://www.valuewalk.com/2014/09/rare-housing-bubbles/

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Key Biscayne’s Mashta Point Will List for $60-Fricken-Million | Armonk Real Estate

 

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Mashta Point, originally built by William J. Matheson as his private cove and deepwater anchorage when he owned much of Key Biscayne, is hitting the market for a whopping $60 million, according to the Wall Street Journal. This makes it Mashta Point Dade County’s most expensive listing, and will be Miami’s most expensive residential sale ever if it gets near its asking price.

Matheson built himself a lavish Moorish house, known as Mashta House, on the southern arm of the cove back in 1917, but it was demolished at some point in the 1950s (coincidentally by Mackle Construction, owned by relatives of Curbed Miami’s Editor, Sean McCaughan). Mashta House was known for its fabulous parties, and was said to host the likes of the Vanderbilts, Carnagies, and Mellons during the Roaring 20s, who would alight from their yachts waiting in the cove. In the 1990s Mashta House was replaced by the current house, built on the northern arm of the cove, a 12,000 square foot boxy beige house, with (if we’re counting right) five floors, an elevator, six bedrooms, eight baths, a pool, and a gazebo. Of course the real allure of the property is the land, a long hook-shaped peninsula at the tip of Mashta Island, and that cove. Ohhh that cove.

 

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http://miami.curbed.com/archives/2014/09/08/key-biscayne-60-million-house.php

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Tour a Totally Livable 242-Square-Foot West Village Apartment | Armonk Real Estate

 

[All photos by Max Touhey.]
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Jourdan Lawlor bought her tiny apartment on West 12th Street, in a quaint former dormitory for Hudson River dockworkers, in 2011—three weeks before she met Tobin Ludwig. The director of sales development at The Daily Meal, she was tired of renting and decided to buy, scouring the city for a downtown apartment under $300,000 before settling on this prewar option, a high-ceilinged ground-floor studio that clocks in at a diminutive 242 square feet. That includes closets, cabinets, and a 29-square-foot storage nook above the bathroom door.

Of the 425-square-foot Upper West Side apartment Curbed toured earlier this year, Lawlor said, “That’s huge!”

Having eyed a snazzy Murphy bed from Resource Furniture for about five years, she said, “buying the bed was almost an excuse to buy the apartment.” Lawlor and Ludwig, who heads up a bitters purveyor called Hella Bitter, had been dating nine months before they decided to move in together. “We agreed to renovate and maximize the space,” Lawlor said. “If one if us said the safe word, I would put the apartment on the market the next day. But no one said it. We forget what the word was.” Added Ludwig: “I had not envisioned living here with Jourdan. I thought it would ruin my relationship with her.” (Spoiler alert: it did not.)

 

 

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http://ny.curbed.com/archives/2014/09/03/tour_a_totally_livable_242squarefoot_west_village_apartment.php

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Buying and selling homes could soon be as easy as trading stocks | Armonk Homes

HomeUnion wants to level the playing field for smaller investors, helping them compete with institutional giants to identify bargain-priced single-family rental properties in markets around the country, and then buy and manage them from afar.

Institutional investors try to make a killing by snatching up undervalued homes and renting them out. But it can be harder for smaller investors to get in on the action if they don’t live near the markets with the best deals, or don’t want to be landlords.

 

 

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http://www.inman.com/2014/08/26/buying-and-selling-homes-could-soon-be-as-easy-as-trading-stocks/?utm_source=20140826&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=dailyheadlinesam

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Mortgage Rates Remain Largely Unchanged | Armonk Real Estate

Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage once again showing very little change while remaining near their 2014 lows prior to a better than expected second quarter gross domestic product reading.

News Facts

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.12 percent with an average 0.6 point for the week ending July 31, 2014, down from last week when it averaged 4.13 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.39 percent.
  • 15-year FRM this week averaged 3.23 percent with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.26 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 3.43 percent.
  • 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 3.01 percent this week with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 2.99 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 3.18 percent.
  • 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 2.38 percent this week with an average 0.4 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.39 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 2.64 percent.

Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. Visit the following links for the Regional and National Mortgage Rate Details and Definitions. Borrowers may still pay closing costs which are not included in the survey.

Quotes
Attributed to Frank Nothaft, vice president and chief economist, Freddie Mac.

“Mortgage rates were little changed this week with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate at 4.12 percent, just a basis point lower from the previous week. Meanwhile, on Wednesday afternoon the yield on the 10-year Treasury surged as data showed gross domestic product for the second quarter at a 4.0 percent annualized rate, above expectations.”

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Property firms were major contributors in first half of year to governor’s re-election campaign | Armonk Real Estate

 

The top four donors who contributed during the first half of this year to Governor Andrew Cuomo’s re-election campaign are all in the real estate industry, a review of state campaign filings show.

Leonard Litwin’s Glenwood Management, which has been Cuomo’s top donor overall, was the highest contributor, providing $219,200 to his coffers. The firm was followed by $205,000 that members of the Dolan family and their company Cablevision donated, followed by $125,000 given by limited liability companies owned by Richard LeFrak’s LeFrak Organization. Rounding out the top four: three entities affiliated with Stephen Ross’ Related Companies. The trio gave a total of $125,000, the review of the latest campaign filings show.

The filings are for donations provided to Cuomo’s campaign coffers between January 12 and July 11. During that time, he raked in a total of $8.4 million from all donors.

Other large real estate contributors include Ron Burkle, the California billionaire who purchased stakes in several Meatpacking buildings and the Soho House company. He gave $60,800.

Real estate developer Joseph Moinian, CEO of the Moinian Group, donated $30,000. Andrew Farkas, a real estate investor, donated the same. Jane Goldman, an heir to the Sol Goldman fortune and head of the company Solil Management, donated $25,000.

Others who gave $25,000 were Sheldon Solow, the owner of 9 West 57th Street; Michael Mattone, an executive vice president at the development firm the Mattone Group; and Kenneth Fisher, a partner at builder and owner Fisher Brothers.

 

 

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Mortgage Rates Little Changed Heading Into Holiday Weekend | Armonk Real Estate

 

Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage unchanged or easing slightly lower. Fixed mortgage rates remain lower this week than at the same time last year.

News Facts

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.12 percent with an average 0.5 point for the week ending July 3, 2014, down from last week when it averaged 4.14 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.29 percent.
  • 15-year FRM this week averaged 3.22 percent with an average 0.5 point, unchanged from last week. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 3.39 percent.
  • 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 2.98 percent this week with an average 0.4 point, unchanged from last week. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 3.10 percent.
  • 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 2.38 percent this week with an average 0.4 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.40 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 2.66 percent.

Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. Visit the following links for the Regional and National Mortgage Rate Details and Definitions. Borrowers may still pay closing costs which are not included in the survey.

Quotes
Attributed to Frank Nothaft, vice president and chief economist, Freddie Mac.

“Mortgage rates were little changed from the previous week and remain below levels seen the same time last year, which should provide some help with homebuyer affordability in many markets. Recent housing data was better with pending home sales up 6.1 percent in May and overall construction spending showing a slight improvement with private residential spending now up 7.5 percent on yearly basis.”

 

 

 

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Record-breaking $147 million home once sold for $120 | Armonk Real Estate

 

The most expensive home in the history of the United States once sold for $120. Not $120 million. 120 dollars.

The record-breaking sale occurred last month when hedge fund manager Barry Rosenstein bought a property that can only be described as a “spread.”

Rosenstein bought the property in the East Hamptons in New York for $147 million. According to an article from Forbes, the property once sold for $120.

Admittedly, the $120 sale did take place in 1901, but that’s still an astronomical amount of appreciation for the value of the property. In fact, it’s an appreciation of 122,499,900%. That’s 122 million percent!

The property’s history is particularly fascinating. According to the Forbes article:

The property’s roots trace all the way back to Lion Gardiner, who in 1639 and with a grant from King Charles I, settled ”Gardiners Island” in the bay off Long Island’s South Fork, creating the first English colonial settlement in what would become New York State. Gardiner purchased the property from the Montaukett Indians for “one large dog, one gun, some powder and shot, some rum and several blankets, worth in all about Five Pounds sterling.”

In its time, the property has been owned by a group that included: Pan Am founder Juan Trippe; insurance salesman and tennis promoter Julian Myrick; grandfather of Jacqueline Kennedy Onassis; James Lee; Howard Dean, grandfather of the former presidential candidate; and A. Wallace Chauncey.

In recent years, Christopher H. Browne, the value investor who was managing director of New York investment firm Tweedy, owned the property until his death in 2009. He purchased it for $13.4 million in 1996. He left the property to his partner Andrew Gordon, who died of cancer in 2013.

Rosenstein purchased the property for nearly $115 million more than Browne paid for the property in 1996. And for nearly $147 million more than David Gardner, Lion’s descendant, paid for it in 1901.

 

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http://www.housingwire.com/blogs/1-rewired/post/30398-record-breaking-147-million-home-once-sold-for-120

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Conrad Hilton’s Beached Boathouse In The Keys Asks $6.25M | Armonk Real Estate

 

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A boathouse purportedly custom build for Conrad Hilton, the famous hotel baron and founder of Hilton Hotels, and Paris’ grandpop, is on the market for $6.25 million. The 60 foot 1948 Chris Craft was docked next to the nearby Cheeca Lodge when Hurricane Donna hit in 1960, flinging Hilton’s boathouse up onto US 1, from where it was then rolled on telephone poles to this spot. It has also played host to Presidents Truman and Bush Sr. over the years. The boathouse has a main level cabin and bunk beds in what was probably the upper deck bridge, and comes with 5.24 acres of land and an expansive 300 feet of oceanfront beach, which is fabulously rare in the keys.

 

 

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http://miami.curbed.com/archives/2014/06/18/conrad-hiltons-beached-boathouse-in-the-keys-asks-625m.php

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