Daily Archives: October 16, 2014

Home prices continue to level off | Cross River Real Estate

The pace of home price appreciation in San Diego County fell to a level near its historical average in September, as the housing market continued its return to normalcy after last year’s investor-led run-up in prices.

In September, the median price for a home sold in the county was $445,000, up 5.5 percent from a year earlier, DataQuick reported Monday. Since the real-estate tracker began collecting the data in 1988, San Diego County has averaged an annual home-price gain of 5.2 percent.

“It’s difficult to talk about normal in a boom-bust state, but this is in line with the long-term average and certainly more sustainable,” said DataQuick analyst Andrew LePage.

In August, when annual appreciation was 8.1 percent, the median home price was $448,500.

The slowdown to 5.5 percent in September marked first time the annual pace of home-price appreciation has been near its historical average since July 2012. At that time, however, home values were recovering from the Great Recession, and annual appreciation was on its way to more than 24 percent year-over-year gains, which it reached in June 2013.

Those big home price gains came largely due to investors fixing and flipping distressed properties. Most of that activity is now in the past, with foreclosure resales making up 3.3 percent of the transactions in September. Now, market prices are being driven by traditional factors, such as incomes, supply and mortgage rates.

“Wages aren’t going up, gas, energy, insurance, everything else is going up faster than wages,” said Mark Goldman, a loan officer and real-estate lecturer at San Diego State University. “It’s going to squeeze the housing dollar.”

The number of transactions was nearly flat over the month, declining by 19 sales to 3,305. Activity in the county’s housing market is down 2.3 percent from September 2013, when 3,383 properties changed hands.

Jordan Levine, director of economic research at Beacon Economics, said that his organization is forecasting 4 percent to 6 percent annual appreciation. He noted that DataQuick reports a median price for all homes sold, meaning that even in the days of d

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http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2014/oct/13/

Third quarter homes sales slow but steady | #Waccabuc Homes

If you suspect there were fewer home sales this summer you are correct. But that is not necessarily a bad sign for the real estate market.

Homes sales are returning to a more stable market, say Realtors, noting that a lower number of closings recorded this third quarter compared with the same time period last year is actually a reflection of the long bad-weather winter that held down showings and inventory.

“There is not a lot of volatility in the current market. We are clearly in a stable recovery. And stability is good for the real estate market,” said J. Philip Faranda, president of the Hudson Gateway Multiple Listing Service, part of the Hudson Gateway Association of Realtors, which released its quarterly report Tuesday.

Home sales in all four counties serviced by the Hudson Gateway Multiple Listing Service was 4,545 units, just 90 units or 1.9 percent fewer than in 2013.

Westchester, the largest county in the MLS region, posted a sales decrease of 2.7 percent, to 2,863 units. Rockland followed closely with a 2.4 percent decrease. In Putnam sales actually increased by 3.1 percent, although that was measured against a small base of a few hundred units, according to the association.

“The pace of real estate sales in the third quarter of 2014 was just a shade slower than it was in 2013 when there was a very strong post-recession recover under way,” says the realty group.

By contrast in the first quarter of the year sales soared with a roughly 10 percent jump, but have clearly quieted down.

“Even though sales are down, prices are up — which is a very good sign of the recovery,” said Joseph Rand, manager partner of Better Homes & Gardens Rand Realty.

His high-end condominium in Nyack recently sold at just under $1.3 million.

“We are seeing growth and the market is getting stronger,” he said. “Don’t read too much into one quarter. Now the trajectory is very good and well paced.”

Nationally, there was a decline in existing home sales this summer with analysts seeing it as part of a larger market reset over the past seven or so years.

National Association of Realtors’ Chief Economist Lawrence Yun says one possible reason for the slight decline in sales this summer are modest price appreciations in homes and a lower inventory. The market is less appealing to investors, he said.

Another example of stability in the market is that mortgage interest rates remained relatively low. The average rate for a 30-year conventional mortgage hovered between 4.4 and 4.2 percent during the quarter.

All-cash sales remained popular in closing a deal, said RealtyTrac in noting that almost half the homes sold in the New York metro area in the first half of 2014 had no loan situation.

Price levels appear to be emerging from the recession with increases in median home prices in Westchester and Rockland counties.

The median sale price of a single-family house in Westchester was $682,500, up by 4.7 percent over 2013. In Rockland, the median house was $415,000, up by 2 percent.

However, in Putnam County there was a decrease in single-family houses with the current median price at $320,000, down 3.8 percent from last year but with a relatively low sales volume.

 

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http://www.lohud.com/story/news/2014/10/16/

 

Builders Adjust Sentiment | Katonah Real Estate

Builder sentiment as measured by the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index fell five points in October to a level of 54. Any value above 50 means more builder see the market favorably over those who see unfavorable conditions. The drop was from a 9 year high of 59 in August and returns the index to summer 2014 levels.

Conditions across markets continue to vary with some markets, notably those in the oil and energy belt, continuing with positive outlooks whereas markets struggling where employment trends have not been as strong. Builders continue to note shortages of buildable lots and a scattered concern about skilled labor shortages.

All three components of the index declined with the current sales index down 6 points to 57, expectations for future sales down 3 points to 64 and traffic down 6 points to 41. In every case, these levels are very close to the July-August 2014 levels. The three month moving averages for the four census regions were relatively steady since they span two similar months (August and October) with a high in September.

The housing recovery continues to show the same month to month volatility while generally moving in a positive direction and NAHB expects the trend to continue as mortgage rates remain historically low, house prices rise slowly keeping affordability at a reasonable level and pent-up demand builds.

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2014/10/builders-adjust-sentiment/

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Plunge to Lowest Rate in 16 Months | Bedford Hills Real Estate

Mortgage rates for 30-year fixed mortgages fell this week, with the current rate borrowers were quoted on Zillow Mortgages at 3.81 percent, down from 3.96 percent at this same time last week.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped Wednesday, then hovered around 3.88 percent for most of the week before falling to the current rate.

“Rates dropped to the lowest level since June 2013 on news that the Federal Reserve has more reservations about the health of the U.S. and global economy than expected, which in turn, may delay rate hikes,” said Erin Lantz, vice president of mortgages at Zillow. “With little economic news planned to overshadow the Fed’s latest comments, this week we expect rates to fairly remain stable, hovering just shy of 4 percent.”

Additionally, the 15-year fixed mortgage rate this morning was 2.96 percent, and for 5/1 ARMs, the rate was 2.70 percent.

Purchase Mortgage Application Activity

Zillow predicts tomorrow’s seasonally adjusted Mortgage Bankers Association Weekly Application Index will show purchase loan activity was unchanged from the week prior. To learn more about this Zillow analysis, click here.

What are the interest rates right now? Check Zillow Mortgages for mortgage rate trends and up-to-the-minute mortgage rates for your state.

 

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http://www.zillow.com/blog/mortgage-rates-lowest-in-16-months-162115/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+ZillowBlog+%28Zillow+Blog%29